Quote:
Originally Posted by Pestilence
I like Hill....but you know that's not how it works. Hill, as our #1, is going to start getting safeties rotated over the top and he's going to see a bunch of #1 CBs. His stats WILL go up because of the number of targets he's going to get....but it's not like you can just automatically just double his stats. Especially with Smith as QB.
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Okay, but was Maclin getting safeties rotated over the top towards him last year? I'd guess absolutely not.
So, lets say Hill is starting to get safety attention and Robinson is anything close to NFL ready (or hell, Wilson is just the same fairly benign presence he's always been). Shouldn't that do a lot to open up targets for Kelce and the slot WR? I suspect the X will be about the same.
But if they can get defenses back into the 'pick your poison' mode of 2015 when they had to decide if they wanted to let Maclin or Kelce beat them, that's a MASSIVE win.
I think the point isn't necessarily that his stats will be as good but over larger opportunities, but rather that his production over minimal opportunities establishes him as a credible threat that may draw defenses in a way that Maclin simply wasn't doing last year.
Then again, Smith will probably just roll the other way and overthrow a runningback instead.
****! Not a smith thread. Still....****.