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What is clear from watching years of Alex Smith is that he doesn't anticipate guys coming open.
Other than a few rare instances (mostly on predetermined throws), he mostly throws the ball WHEN they are open.
He dropped back and saw a safety near enough to Tyreek Hill that when a pass rusher flashed in his vision, escaping from that scary guy took priority over waiting any longer for Hill to get "Alex Smith open."
He plays from a place of fear and will continue to do so as long as it wins 10-12 games and earns him big fat checks.
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