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Here's what the AFC looks like after this week:
1. Patriots (81%) or Raiders (19%)
2. Raiders (53%) or Chiefs (28%) or Patriots (19%)
3. Steelers (100%)
4. Texans (100%)
5. Chiefs (49%) or Dolphins (23%) or Raiders (28%)
6. Dolphins (77%) or Chiefs (23%)
So basically, the scenarios are (in order of likelihood in my opinion from most to least):
1. Chiefs beat the Chargers and Raiders beat the Broncos - we get the 5 seed and travel to Houston.
2. Chiefs beat the Chargers and Broncos beat the Raiders - we get the 2 seed and have a bye.
3. Chiefs lose to the Chargers and the Dolphins lose to the Patriots - we get the 5 seed and travel to Houston.
4. Chiefs lose to the Chargers and Dolphins beat the Patriots - we get the 6 seed and travel to Pittsburgh.
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