[Rain Man]

Overall, the Chiefs have

...a #1 seed in 11% of scenarios
...a #2 seed in 29% of scenarios
...a #3 seed in 2% of scenarios
...a #4 seed in 0% of scenarios
...a #5 seed in 40% of scenarios
...a #6 seed in 11% of scenarios
...are out of the playoffs in 8% of scenarios

A win over the Raiders changes those figures to ...

...a #1 seed in 17% of scenarios
...a #2 seed in 47% of scenarios
...a #3 seed in 1% of scenarios
...a #4 seed in 0% of scenarios
...a #5 seed in 26% of scenarios
...a #6 seed in 6% of scenarios
...are out of the playoffs in 2% of scenarios

It won't happen, but theoretically a loss to the Raiders would hypothetically change those figures to ...

...a #1 seed in 1% of scenarios
...a #2 seed in 11% of scenarios
...a #3 seed in 0% of scenarios
...a #4 seed in 0% of scenarios
...a #5 seed in 58% of scenarios
...a #6 seed in 17% of scenarios
...are out of the playoffs in 13% of scenarios

In summary, this is kind of a big game.