Thread: Royals 2014 Royals Repository
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Old 06-20-2014, 10:08 AM   #6223
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy View Post
They said it would take a butt load including possibly Duffy to get Samardjia. That's not happening. I think Zobrist is the most likely given his ability to play 2 positions we are weakest at and it wouldn't cost a ton.
Eval I did on another site regarding trading for Samardzija and the potential gains (based on WAR)

  • Shark has 2.3 WAR in 15 starts. 0.15 per start. Worth 2.4 over a half season.
  • Duffy has 1.0 in basically 9 starts. 0.11 per start. Worth 1.8 over a half season. Half win difference.
  • Vargas has 1.9 in 15 starts. 0.13 per start. Worth 2.08 over a half season. 1/3 win difference.
  • Ventura has 1.3 in 13 starts. .1 per start. Worth 1.6 over a half season. 0.8 win difference.
  • Guthrie has 0.8 in 15 starts. 0.05 per start. Worth 0.9 over a half season. 1.5 win difference.

If they could replace Guthrie with Samardzija, the Royals would probably pick up a few wins, at least on paper. It sounds like, though, to acquire Samardzija you're talking about moving either Duffy or Ventura to make that happen. Then the gain is marginal and the cost is extreme.

The Royals would gain a lot more by acquiring a RF at a much lower cost (Rios, Byrd, Seth Smith, etc).

At least for this season... and if Samardzja continues to pitch at this level (something he has yet to prove he can really do). He fell apart from June on last year, and has an ERA approaching 6 in June this season...
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Last edited by duncan_idaho; 06-20-2014 at 10:31 AM..
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