Quote:
Originally Posted by Prison Bitch
FYP
The formulas are provided by OLIVER:
http://www.hardballtimes.com/introducing-oliver/
It probably incorporated his terrible wRC+ of 49 or -37.5 runs last year. His three seasons prior were -16.3 average (-25.3/-20.9/-2.8). So the projections probably think he's closer to -20 runs or so than the 2012 -2.8. Right now he's +1.3. I doubt you'll find even one SABRmetrician who thinks that'll hold.
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Yeah okay. Can't talk about Esky on his own? Have to bring in guys completely irrelevant to the performance of that player? What a joke.
You continue to lean on those projections and tell us how Esky shouldn't be on the team if that's what you want to do. If you want to complain that those others need more HRs no one will argue.