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Old 04-27-2014, 09:19 AM   #4090
alnorth alnorth is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sully View Post
I guess this is as good a place to put this rant as any...

The whole "one run games" stat drives me nuts, because I don't think it's telling of much. How many times is a team down by one run and wins by just one? Quite a few I'd guess, but the one run game stat doesn't take into account being down (or up) by one run, and then adding 2-3 more runs to that. Down by one, score three... But you don't get the credit for winning a "one run game."
I don't know, just seems off to me.
Its a good measure of luck. The expected record of 1-run games, whether you are a good team or a bad team, is about .500. (What seperates the good teams from the bad teams are blowouts)

If you win 93 games while going 29-9 in 1-run games (*cough* 2012 Orioles *cough*), then you benefit from an extraordinary amount of luck.
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