Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho
Key point is slugging percentage. Due to his slow start, he's going to have a hard time posting a great one unless he has an equally hot stretch or two.
It's not just about HR, though. If Butler hits .300 with 15 HR and 40 2B the rest of the way, he's probably going to SLG in the .460 range (assuming about 525 at-bats, .300/15 HR/40 2B would put his slug at .463).
That's good enough to be a productive 4 hitter for the Royals (and many teams in baseball). And would be basically in line with his career averages.
It's going to require him "getting right," though, and proving that last season was an outlier and the start to this year was a fluke.
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After seeing his start I'll be happy if the fatty gets even 20 2B's this season....