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-   -   Chiefs *****The Josh Simmons Thread***** (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=357948)

Dante84 04-24-2025 09:40 PM

*****The Josh Simmons Thread*****
 
More to come!

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="art" dir="ltr">��</p>&mdash; Patrick Mahomes II (@PatrickMahomes) <a href="https://twitter.com/PatrickMahomes/status/1915609374199894055?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 25, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Several teams agree: Josh Simmons had best tape of any OT last year. And they aren&#39;t very concerned with recovery on the torn patella tendon. More of the concern is maturity/character. But he&#39;s going to the ideal, veteran-laden place.</p>&mdash; Jeremy Fowler (@JFowlerESPN) <a href="https://twitter.com/JFowlerESPN/status/1915612949214908901?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 25, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">the <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/chiefs?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#chiefs</a> get LT Josh Simmons out of Ohio State. If Simmons didn&#39;t suffer a torn patellar tendon he would have been the first tackle off the board. I had one team tell me he was the most athletic and talented tackle tape they watched. There are some maturity issues, but this…</p>&mdash; James Palmer (@JamesPalmerTV) <a href="https://twitter.com/JamesPalmerTV/status/1915612506170548549?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 25, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Chiefs?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Chiefs</a> have selected <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/OSU?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#OSU</a> OT Josh Simmons at No. 32, a player recovering nicely from a torn patellar tendon. They are comfortable with his rehab and did endless homework on it. <a href="https://t.co/awdb0JhPed">https://t.co/awdb0JhPed</a></p>&mdash; Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) <a href="https://twitter.com/RapSheet/status/1915612458187722965?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 25, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Chiefs?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Chiefs</a> are selecting Ohio State LT Josh Simmons at No. 32 to close out Round 1.<br><br>A key addition to bolster the offensive line in front of Patrick Mahomes. <a href="https://t.co/oBx2CjzmCe">pic.twitter.com/oBx2CjzmCe</a></p>&mdash; Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) <a href="https://twitter.com/MySportsUpdate/status/1915611903436444006?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 25, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Josh Simmons is the only OT in the SIS draft board stats database (since 2023) without a blown pass block in his draft season <a href="https://t.co/qR42DEPSJu">pic.twitter.com/qR42DEPSJu</a></p>&mdash; Shaun Newkirk (@Shauncore) <a href="https://twitter.com/Shauncore/status/1915616231828095104?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 25, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

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Sassy Squatch 04-24-2025 09:40 PM

https://media.tenor.com/LDb_gwDKX94A...ervous-shy.gif

Coach 04-24-2025 09:41 PM

https://media1.tenor.com/m/Fu5pigAWW...aying-****.gif

staylor26 04-24-2025 09:41 PM

You guys please just give it a chance and trust these guys.

Hammock Parties 04-24-2025 09:42 PM

Let's GOOOOOOOOOOOOO

TomBarndtsTwin 04-24-2025 09:42 PM

Kind of spoiled the pick with this.

Little early.

DRM08 04-24-2025 09:42 PM

They're trying to help Mahomes. I really like that. Now we just have to cross our fingers and hope this Simmons kid is able to play up to his potential.

OnTheWarpath15 04-24-2025 09:43 PM

I guess they think even though he won’t be the same he’ll be good enough.

**** me.

hometeam 04-24-2025 09:43 PM

If this dude can be healthy this is a great pick

Iconic 04-24-2025 09:43 PM

LETS ****ING GO. HATERS CAN SUCK SIMMONS INFLAMED PATELLA.

seriously, dont get the simmons hate on here it's ****ing irrational. good teams take advantage of rare inefficiencies. assuming med evals cleared - which they must have since we drafted him - this is a literal steal at #32 as far as talent is concerned.

great ****ing pick veach.

Bump 04-24-2025 09:43 PM

I knew it with the Mahomes sunglasses emoji, he's gonna be cool and calm in the pocket

louie aguiar 04-24-2025 09:43 PM

Nice pick - picked up an extra 5th is the cherry on top

smithandrew051 04-24-2025 09:44 PM

Have to be right about the medicals.

Absolutely have to be right.

Balto 04-24-2025 09:44 PM

Hahahahahahahahaaha. I guess Veach and front office are stupid huh?!?!?

Love this pick!!!

RollChiefsRoll 04-24-2025 09:44 PM

PROTECT MY QUARTERBACK, BROTHER

Hog's Gone Fishin 04-24-2025 09:44 PM

We lost Both Superbowls because we couldn't protect the QB. Makes sense.

louie aguiar 04-24-2025 09:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath15 (Post 18042037)
I guess they think even though he won’t be the same he’ll be good enough.

**** me.

Who said he won’t be the same? What do you know the chiefs don’t?

scho63 04-24-2025 09:44 PM

Penalty machine - don't we already have two of those?

Yo Murphy. 04-24-2025 09:44 PM

Ohio State Buckeye drafted FINALLY!

Iconic 04-24-2025 09:44 PM

simmons haters wya

kccrow 04-24-2025 09:45 PM

<div class="tenor-gif-embed" data-postid="26388232" data-share-method="host" data-aspect-ratio="1.35593" data-width="100%"><a href="https://tenor.com/view/inbetweeners-****ing-dreadful-dreadful-will-gif-26388232">Inbetweeners ****ing Dreadful GIF</a>from <a href="https://tenor.com/search/inbetweeners-gifs">Inbetweeners GIFs</a></div> <script type="text/javascript" async src="https://tenor.com/embed.js"></script>

Fish 04-24-2025 09:45 PM

https://media.tenor.com/To5Vzy5pM1sAAAAe/ooof.png

kysirsoze 04-24-2025 09:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TomBarndtsTwin (Post 18042032)
Kind of spoiled the pick with this.

Little early.

He said he'll post the thread right away. Gotta stay in the no spoilers thread.

wazu 04-24-2025 09:45 PM

Hope and pray. Could be brilliant. Wasn't my choice but fully support any move Veach makes to protect 15.

FRCDFED 04-24-2025 09:45 PM

Idk how i feel about this pick. Of course I know they don't care what I think. So there's that..

chiefzilla1501 04-24-2025 09:45 PM

We’ve seen in the past few years it’s impossible for us to find a left tackle because we keep winning and getting low draft picks.

How you gonna be mad at this? This is a legit tackle if not for an injury. We have the luxury of taking this shot. And we’ve got the perfect situation to situate him slowly. I think you’re all trying to hard for perfection.

louie aguiar 04-24-2025 09:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Iconic (Post 18042043)
LETS ****ING GO. HATERS CAN SUCK SIMMONS INFLAMED PATELLA.

seriously, dont get the simmons hate on here it's ****ing irrational. good teams take advantage of rare inefficiencies. assuming med evals cleared - which they must have since we drafted him - this is a literal steal at #32 as far as talent is concerned.

great ****ing pick veach.

CP groupthink

pugsnotdrugs19 04-24-2025 09:45 PM

Love this. Especially not even having to trade up.

Jewish Rabbi 04-24-2025 09:45 PM

HORNAY FOR THIS!!!

RunKC 04-24-2025 09:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by staylor26 (Post 18042024)
You guys please just give it a chance and trust these guys.

I don’t have a single issue with the player or his ability. I really like him.

It’s literally the injury. That’s it. I’m terrified.

Bl00dyBizkitz 04-24-2025 09:46 PM

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/3IJRfYvgow8?si=WOWa5ss6WTk2UQcW" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe>

ForeverIowan 04-24-2025 09:46 PM

Have to roll the dice now and again! Lets freaking roll!

BryanBusby 04-24-2025 09:47 PM

Don't understand this at all

FloridaMan88 04-24-2025 09:47 PM

Will he be ready by training camp?

Bump 04-24-2025 09:47 PM

Veach knows it's a gamble and it's one he feels he has to make after the mess of left tackle for the 2024 Chiefs

KC_Connection 04-24-2025 09:47 PM

What a pick. Rest of the league is in shambles at the prospect of playing a protected Patrick Mahomes.

Urc Burry 04-24-2025 09:48 PM

This is a home run. Especially getting a 5th to move back a spot. I would have been okay with moving up a few spots for him.

Dude would have been a top 10 pick.

We have a stop gap, and now… finally… our franchise LT

Abba-Dabba 04-24-2025 09:48 PM

Anyone can be injured in football. It's a great pick with a lot upside.

pugsnotdrugs19 04-24-2025 09:49 PM

1) We were an injury away from starting Wanya again.

2) Moore may not be good enough, we don’t know.

3) Jawaan is gone after this year.

This makes all the sense in the world especially for an elite talent that may need time to ease in.

warpaint* 04-24-2025 09:49 PM

Rock & roll. I like it. Jawaan's salary shifts to Trey after next season & this dude slides in.

KCUnited 04-24-2025 09:49 PM

Simmons walking into training camp

https://i.imgur.com/h51qqUu.gif

ShortRoundChief 04-24-2025 09:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bump (Post 18042123)
Veach knows it's a gamble and it's one he feels he has to make after the mess of left tackle for the 2024 Chiefs

Picking where they do, a good move.

DJ's left nut 04-24-2025 09:49 PM

This was goddamn stupid as hell and I have nothing more to add.

Good luck with hoping this guy does something that literally nobody in the history of the league has ever done - come back from a blown patella to be an effective staring tackle.

It's literally never happened.

But hey, super double grafts for the win, right?!?

Balto 04-24-2025 09:49 PM

Can’t wait to hear from the haters.

Yo Murphy. 04-24-2025 09:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Urc Burry (Post 18042133)
This is a home run. Especially getting a 5th to move back a spot. I would have been okay with moving up a few spots for him.

Dude would have been a top 10 pick.

We have a stop gap, and now… finally… our franchise LT

Excellent value at our most in dire position. Homerun.

Sassy Squatch 04-24-2025 09:50 PM

They seem confident his medicals won't be a long term issue from the reports I'm reading. Better be right.

kccrow 04-24-2025 09:50 PM

Not a single ****ing brain cell in my body can support this pick right now. Not one. Absolutely ****ing mind boggling. I can't express how much I hate it.

I've seen a lot of shitty picks from this franchise in the past but this one has the potential to be among the top 5 absolute worst ever at an absolutely critical juncture.

They need to pray to baby Jesus that he defies all odds, and those odds are horrendous.

KC Hawks 04-24-2025 09:50 PM

Just not a fan of taking someone in the first round who won't help us next year.

Abba-Dabba 04-24-2025 09:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Urc Burry (Post 18042133)
This is a home run. Especially getting a 5th to move back a spot. I would have been okay with moving up a few spots for him.

Dude would have been a top 10 pick.

We have a stop gap, and now… finally… our franchise LT

Picking up the fifth was phenomenal. Absolutely a homerun.

Chieftain 04-24-2025 09:50 PM

Andy seemed happy. Talent is there. Could be a major steal.

Iconic 04-24-2025 09:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18042100)
Love this. Especially not even having to trade up.

yep. traded down, got a free 5th, and picked up the best OT as far as the tape goes.

veach is a ****in baller.

DRM08 04-24-2025 09:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18042136)
1) We were an injury away from starting Wanya again.

2) Moore may not be good enough, we don’t know.

3) Jawaan is gone after this year.

This makes all the sense in the world especially for an elite talent that may need time to ease in.

If nothing else, it would be cool if Simmons is healthy enough to be a solid Right Tackle when Taylor leaves next year. Even if he's damaged goods as a LT, maybe he can still be pretty helpful at the RT spot.

ShortRoundChief 04-24-2025 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18042146)
This was goddamn stupid as hell and I have nothing more to add.

Good luck with hoping this guy does something that literally nobody in the history of the league has ever done - come back from a blown patella to be an effective staring tackle.

It's literally never happened.

But hey, super double grafts for the win, right?!?

Where’d you get your medical degree sir?

louie aguiar 04-24-2025 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sassy Squatch (Post 18042149)
They seem confident his medicals won't be a long term issue from the reports I'm reading. Better be right.

I’m sure they did their homework- they know a lot more than any of us

Gary Cooper 04-24-2025 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RunKC (Post 18042105)
I don’t have a single issue with the player or his ability. I really like him.

It’s literally the injury. That’s it. I’m terrified.

Yeah, but any player can sustain a serious injury. I wish they picked Conerly but Washington had to snag him away.

chiefzilla1501 04-24-2025 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FloridaMan88 (Post 18042119)
Will he be ready by training camp?

Doesn’t matter. Jaylon Moore and jawaan are here. And they’re exactly the type of guys you play right away but don’t feel too sorry if someone outplays them. Take your time with Simmons.

Balto 04-24-2025 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18042146)
This was goddamn stupid as hell and I have nothing more to add.

Good luck with hoping this guy does something that literally nobody in the history of the league has ever done - come back from a blown patella to be an effective staring tackle.

It's literally never happened.

But hey, super double grafts for the win, right?!?

LIES….Stop the hate!

Hammock Parties 04-24-2025 09:51 PM

<iframe width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/eyvuFqVu8Mc" title="The Chiefs pick OT Josh Simmons from Ohio State with pick #32 in the 2025 NFL Draft." frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe>

DJ's left nut 04-24-2025 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by staylor26 (Post 18042024)
You guys please just give it a chance and trust these guys.

Like we did with Skyy Moore?

You'd have backed any swinging dick they took.

No, I absolutely will not ignore literally every single data point that has EVER existed.

This is ****ing dumb.

OnTheWarpath15 04-24-2025 09:51 PM

Reminder from kccrow:



Let's talk about the data set I shared in March regarding Patellar injuries in the NFL, since not many care to read. It's here: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/article...rmance%20level
31/56 (55%) players returned to the NFL from a patellar injury (RTP).
Of those, 13/50 (26%) returned to play as many games post-injury as they had pre-injury (RTP Games).
Only 8/50 (16%) returned to start as many games post-injury as they had pre-injury (RTP Starts).
The 6 (11%) in the remainder, despite returning to the NFL, never saw another snap.
Of the 50 that saw snaps, only 12 (24%) returned to prior PFF level of performance at any point (RTP Performance)
Among those 12, 7 (14%) returned to prior performance after 1 year and 5 (10%) after 2 years.
OL specifically was 6/17 (35%) RTP, 1/16 (6%) RTP Games, 1/16 (6%) RTP Starts, and 2/16 (13%) RTP Performance with 1 RTPP (6%) after 1 year and 1 (6%) after 2 years.

We are not talking about great odds here people. The media and agents can cook this up howevery they want to cook it. Its a blood-flow injury, so it's going to heal up just fine. Healing up doesn't mean he's ever going to be able to play the same. The elasticity of that tendon is forever affected. His ability to generate power and torque from his quads to the ground is forever affected.

You can look deeper at the stats if you want. Purely looking at OL, he has a 13% chance of ever returning to play at his prior level of performance (this favors Simmons over RTP Starts or RTP Games). Data says 83% of NFL first-round picks on the offensive line hit. So, chances are you'll play somewhere on the OL. 59% actually hit at OT, so a healthy portion of guys drafted to be OTs end up playing some other position.

So if he has a 13% shot of returning to his prior form and a 59% chance of playing OT, then he falls somewhere in the neighborhood of an 8% chance he'll make it as an OT. He has about an 11% chance of ever being anything on the OL.

Is that what you want from your 1st round pick, folks? I don't. In fact, that screams 7th rounder or UDFA. That doesn't even scream 2nd or 3rd rounder.

I'd be willing to take a shot in the dark in round 3. I mean, there is that remote potential that he ends up defying all odds. It's not due to his youth because less experienced, and younger players actually have worse odds in the study. It's merely one of those "so you're telling me there's a chance" situations.

xztop123 04-24-2025 09:51 PM

Fight me. I’m at Palm Springs for stage coach. I told you assholes. I have Gracie hunts -#.

Bl00dyBizkitz 04-24-2025 09:51 PM

I think it's one thing to throw down a 6th rounder on a guy with a history of heart murmurs, but this is a 1st rounder. This is damn risky.

Balto 04-24-2025 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kccrow (Post 18042150)
Not a single ****ing brain cell in my body can support this pick right now. Not one. Absolutely ****ing mind boggling. I can't express how much I hate it.

I've seen a lot of shitty picks from this franchise in the past but this one has the potential to be among the top 5 absolute worst ever at an absolutely critical juncture.

They need to pray to baby Jesus that he defies all odds, and those odds are horrendous.

Hahahahaha

Chris Meck 04-24-2025 09:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Balto (Post 18042147)
Can’t wait to hear from the haters.

Well, I hope you're right. How's that?

But I don't think any of us are going to be happy with this.

pugsnotdrugs19 04-24-2025 09:52 PM

There are people really writing off a 22 year old coming back from an injury?

Younger people recover better. Give it a shot.

The board ****ing sucked. Like who did you want?

Kman34 04-24-2025 09:52 PM

Wasn't really onboard with this pick.. But now that its happened... I'm rooting for the kid... I remember Trey Smith had real questions about his health and that worked out.. So,, if they think he will be fine then I'm trusting the Chiefs..

xztop123 04-24-2025 09:52 PM

Let’s cook. Veach is undefeated.

ForeverIowan 04-24-2025 09:52 PM

You freaking OWE (!!!!) it to Mahomes to take this gamble. Period! Cant have 15 playing the majority of his career behind a parking cone at left tackle. We had a freaking guard trying to hold up out there in a Super Bowl. Utterly ridiculous!

Sassy Squatch 04-24-2025 09:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18042175)
There are people really writing off a 22 year old coming back from an injury?

Younger people recover better. Give it a shot.

The board ****ing sucked. Like who did you want?

Henderson or Burden personally.

MahomesMagic 04-24-2025 09:53 PM

Technically (obviously not full comparison) this guy was Trent Williams.


If he is healthy we won the draft.

-King- 04-24-2025 09:53 PM

So what's the best case scenario? Moore is great so Simmons doesn't see the field till 2026 at RT? Or that Moore sucks and Simmons replaces him this year or next? While also hoping he recovers from his injury.



Wow. We better have the best O-line ever starting 2026 cause wtf?

Delano 04-24-2025 09:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kccrow (Post 18042080)
<div class="tenor-gif-embed" data-postid="26388232" data-share-method="host" data-aspect-ratio="1.35593" data-width="100%"><a href="https://tenor.com/view/inbetweeners-****ing-dreadful-dreadful-will-gif-26388232">Inbetweeners ****ing Dreadful GIF</a>from <a href="https://tenor.com/search/inbetweeners-gifs">Inbetweeners GIFs</a></div> <script type="text/javascript" async src="https://tenor.com/embed.js"></script>

They didn’t draft my guy wahhhhhh.

The redskins drafted your guy to be a damn guard just calm down.

smithandrew051 04-24-2025 09:53 PM

I’m typically pretty optimistic, but I can’t get there with this one.

The history of this particular injury is just too awful.

Zero issues with the player or position. That all makes sense.

The record for guys who have had this injury is just so so bad.

Hammock Parties 04-24-2025 09:53 PM

In Veach We Trust

notorious 04-24-2025 09:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KCUnited (Post 18042143)
Simmons walking into training camp

https://i.imgur.com/h51qqUu.gif

Alright KC, you are going to have to explain this one, again.

Pepe Silvia 04-24-2025 09:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18042146)
This was goddamn stupid as hell and I have nothing more to add.

Good luck with hoping this guy does something that literally nobody in the history of the league has ever done - come back from a blown patella to be an effective staring tackle.

It's literally never happened.

But hey, super double grafts for the win, right?!?

DJ is usually right so I trust his opinion. Bad move.

Sassy Squatch 04-24-2025 09:53 PM

Mahomes seems to be VERY happy with the pick. Hope they didn't whistle past the graveyard just to appease him on this.

Deberg_1990 04-24-2025 09:53 PM

I like it. The Chiefs can nurse him along slowly this year and basically red shirt him if need be.

TRR 04-24-2025 09:54 PM

Won’t play a down in 2025. We’ll see him in St Joe in 2026 competing with Moore for reps or at RT. Glad we didn’t trade up for him but way too many holes and talent at #32 to take someone that essentially wastes year one on IR and I can’t stand the maturity issue reports I hear about him.

I feel as excited about this pick as I did the Felix pick.

KC_Connection 04-24-2025 09:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath15 (Post 18042169)
Reminder from kccrow:



Let's talk about the data set I shared in March regarding Patellar injuries in the NFL, since not many care to read. It's here: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/article...rmance%20level
31/56 (55%) players returned to the NFL from a patellar injury (RTP).
Of those, 13/50 (26%) returned to play as many games post-injury as they had pre-injury (RTP Games).
Only 8/50 (16%) returned to start as many games post-injury as they had pre-injury (RTP Starts).
The 6 (11%) in the remainder, despite returning to the NFL, never saw another snap.
Of the 50 that saw snaps, only 12 (24%) returned to prior PFF level of performance at any point (RTP Performance)
Among those 12, 7 (14%) returned to prior performance after 1 year and 5 (10%) after 2 years.
OL specifically was 6/17 (35%) RTP, 1/16 (6%) RTP Games, 1/16 (6%) RTP Starts, and 2/16 (13%) RTP Performance with 1 RTPP (6%) after 1 year and 1 (6%) after 2 years.

We are not talking about great odds here people. The media and agents can cook this up howevery they want to cook it. Its a blood-flow injury, so it's going to heal up just fine. Healing up doesn't mean he's ever going to be able to play the same. The elasticity of that tendon is forever affected. His ability to generate power and torque from his quads to the ground is forever affected.

You can look deeper at the stats if you want. Purely looking at OL, he has a 13% chance of ever returning to play at his prior level of performance (this favors Simmons over RTP Starts or RTP Games). Data says 83% of NFL first-round picks on the offensive line hit. So, chances are you'll play somewhere on the OL. 59% actually hit at OT, so a healthy portion of guys drafted to be OTs end up playing some other position.

So if he has a 13% shot of returning to his prior form and a 59% chance of playing OT, then he falls somewhere in the neighborhood of an 8% chance he'll make it as an OT. He has about an 11% chance of ever being anything on the OL.

Is that what you want from your 1st round pick, folks? I don't. In fact, that screams 7th rounder or UDFA. That doesn't even scream 2nd or 3rd rounder.

I'd be willing to take a shot in the dark in round 3. I mean, there is that remote potential that he ends up defying all odds. It's not due to his youth because less experienced, and younger players actually have worse odds in the study. It's merely one of those "so you're telling me there's a chance" situations.

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