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kccrow 04-04-2022 07:42 AM

George Karlaftis
 
I can't stop fixating on this guy in the first round. The more I see him in the early 20's in mocks, the more I want KC to make the deal to go get this kid.

He reminds me of Ryan Kerrigan and Justin Smith. If he's somewhere in between, he'd be well worth a 20-ish pick. I just like his game. Great power in his punch. Good hand usage. Alot of moves but a staggering bull rush. Great feet. Excellent burst off the snap. What he doesn't have is great bend and agility which negates his speed rush.

But those traits, the ones involving power and speed-to-power, those win in the NFL. I don't care about his 40 time. He ran faster than the Bosa brothers. It's fine. He has elite vertical and broad jumps and a respectable bench press. I just imagine the day he gets stronger, and he will. If he learns to use better power rush technique, he's going to be very solid.

I think a lot of the lack of sacks this past year was the volume of double-teams and no other real threat on Purdue's defense. You watch his games though and he's putting tackles in the dirt. He's getting hits on the QB. He had a solid win rate as a pass rusher.

I love this guy as a SDE prospect. I want him to be a Chief. If you can go out and get a Sam Williams in the 2nd to pair with this guy as a bendier, more athletic WDE, I think you'll have an incredible pair of bookends for the foreseeable future.

So, am I missing something? Do I not see some fatal flaw?

The Franchise 04-04-2022 07:51 AM

He’s Breeland Speaks 2.0. /s

Tribal Warfare 04-04-2022 08:17 AM

Why? All his main accolades/success are against lightweight OTs he pushes those guys around, but when that doesn't work he's neutralized very very low ceiling could be good but not a gamewrecker

DJ's left nut 04-04-2022 08:30 AM

Guys with higher floors and lower ceilings get slept on a bit by the draft nerds. I'm as guilty of it as anyone.

But you're spot on in how he'd fit with someone like Williams or even Ojabo long-term.

He's a set and forget SDE and a guy who you can just write into the lineup alongside Clark from Day 1. Then as Ojabo or Williams get up to speed, you have a really nice strength/speed pairing.

And like I said, I'd go after Jones/Wyatt to complement the whole thing. If you could get Karlaftis/Jones/Williams with the first 3 selections, you'd absolutely murder this draft.

But my philosophical opposition to trading up remains pretty strong this year.

staylor26 04-04-2022 08:45 AM

Karlaftis and Ojabo are my dream picks at 29 and 30.

htismaqe 04-04-2022 08:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 16230970)
Guys with higher floors and lower ceilings get slept on a bit by the draft nerds. I'm as guilty of it as anyone.

But you're spot on in how he'd fit with someone like Williams or even Ojabo long-term.

He's a set and forget SDE and a guy who you can just write into the lineup alongside Clark from Day 1. Then as Ojabo or Williams get up to speed, you have a really nice strength/speed pairing.

And like I said, I'd go after Jones/Wyatt to complement the whole thing. If you could get Karlaftis/Jones/Williams with the first 3 selections, you'd absolutely murder this draft.

But my philosophical opposition to trading up remains pretty strong this year.

Agreed. Not a fan of trading up but if he's there at 29, I'd absolutely love to take him.

htismaqe 04-04-2022 08:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tribal Warfare (Post 16230959)
Why? All his main accolades/success are against lightweight OTs he pushes those guys around, but when that doesn't work he's neutralized very very low ceiling could be good but not a gamewrecker

This just isn't true. Have you actually watched him play?

DJ's left nut 04-04-2022 08:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by staylor26 (Post 16230986)
Karlaftis and Ojabo are my dream picks at 29 and 30.

It's funny, but if you kick around the mock drafts, you'll find the Chiefs have so much damn draft capital they can go after 3 DL and 3 WRs and still be able to get a DB and LB that can probably play early in the season. And that's without doing any trade-downs to get additional day 2 capital.

The Franchise 04-04-2022 08:58 AM

I'm still torn between Karlaftis and Cam Thomas.

Tribal Warfare 04-04-2022 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 16231003)
This just isn't true. Have you actually watched him play?

Yes, I wanted to get excited about his play considering the media reverence but his moves are sheer power to the QB, pushing lighter guys like they're JV. When he deals with OTs who prepared for it like technicians who can get him off balanced are "punch" when he's out of the stance not so great. Ultimately, I was hoping to the maniacal explosion and effort that Jared had, or having picture perfect technique who plays faster than expected.

I was looking for it but left unimpressed if you want a game changer.

Tribal Warfare 04-04-2022 09:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Franchise (Post 16231007)
I'm still torn between Karlaftis and Cam Thomas.

Cam Thomas does look like a possible monster

htismaqe 04-04-2022 09:16 AM

The thing is, the idea that he only pushed around lighter guys isn't true.

He pushed around EVERYBODY, including some very very good B1G tackles.

O.city 04-04-2022 09:37 AM

I'd still be a bit shocked if they actually end up with 2 firsts this year. I think they end up moving one of them for some DE or WR prior to the draft.

The Franchise 04-04-2022 09:44 AM

They are not trading a 1st round pick for a WR.

kccrow 04-04-2022 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 16231078)
I'd still be a bit shocked if they actually end up with 2 firsts this year. I think they end up moving one of them for some DE or WR prior to the draft.

It would be relatively counter-productive to trade a potential HOF WR to turn around and trade the best part of the compensation for a lesser WR. I'm not even sure who would be on the market that would command that at this point. The same goes for DE.

Most of the teams that needed to clear cap have done so and those that haven't don't have those types of guys to trade, unless you think the Titans are trading us AJ Brown or the 49ers are trading us Nick Bosa.

DJ's left nut 04-04-2022 09:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kccrow (Post 16231105)
It would be relatively counter-productive to trade a potential HOF WR to turn around and trade the best part of the compensation for a lesser WR. I'm not even sure who would be on the market that would command that at this point. The same goes for DE.

Most of the teams that needed to clear cap have done so and those that haven't don't have those types of guys to trade, unless you think the Titans are trading us AJ Brown or the 49ers are trading us Nick Bosa.

O.City believes that late 1st round picks have no value.

And simultaneously that teams can/should trade us superstar players for them.

I don't get him sometimes...

O.city 04-04-2022 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 16231114)
O.City believes that late 1st round picks have no value.

And simultaneously that teams can/should trade us superstar players for them.

I don't get him sometimes...

Rubics cube of logic.

bsp4444 04-04-2022 10:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 16231004)
It's funny, but if you kick around the mock drafts, you'll find the Chiefs have so much damn draft capital they can go after 3 DL and 3 WRs and still be able to get a DB and LB that can probably play early in the season. And that's without doing any trade-downs to get additional day 2 capital.

That's a lot of contracts due at once. I wonder if we do trade down, do we add some picks next year to sort of spread this out.

DJ's left nut 04-04-2022 10:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bsp4444 (Post 16231162)
That's a lot of contracts due at once. I wonder if we do trade down, do we add some picks next year to sort of spread this out.

They won't all hit.

That's why you use all the picks.

Of the 8 picks in the first 4 rounds, if 4 of those guys earn a 2nd contract, you're in REALLY good shape. And hell, if more of them do, you got 4 years of dirt-cheap production out of them and now have trade assets going into year 4 or at least someone that can help you with comp pick calculations.

It's not something worth worrying about when you have about 1/2 a roster under contract for the coming season.

Chargem 04-04-2022 10:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Franchise (Post 16231007)
I'm still torn between Karlaftis and Cam Thomas.

Why not both?

Quote:

Originally Posted by bsp4444 (Post 16231162)
That's a lot of contracts due at once. I wonder if we do trade down, do we add some picks next year to sort of spread this out.

Or just trade some of the players in the last year of the deal, 3-4 years from now, for more assets. Lots of options.

staylor26 04-04-2022 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bsp4444 (Post 16231162)
That's a lot of contracts due at once. I wonder if we do trade down, do we add some picks next year to sort of spread this out.

All the more reason to keep 2 picks in the 1st so we have a couple 5th year options.

BossChief 04-04-2022 11:58 AM

If we don’t think Ojabo is a good risk/reward, I’d love to see us get Karlaftis, Cam Thomas AND Sam Williams. That sets this teams pass rush up for the forseable future while replacing what used to be “a dog” in Clark to “a dog” in Williams.

Those 3 in rotation staying fresh would be amazing value.

htismaqe 04-04-2022 12:03 PM

I don't think they take 3 edge rushers in one draft. That seems a little extreme.

The Franchise 04-04-2022 12:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 16231334)
I don't think they take 3 edge rushers in one draft. That seems a little extreme.

I think it's two and a veteran.

JohnnyHammersticks 04-04-2022 12:16 PM

I like Karlaftis a lot, but I don't think he makes it past the Cardinals or one of the Eagles 1st round picks, so if we want him we better be prepared to move up.

CatfishBob2 04-04-2022 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 16231334)
I don't think they take 3 edge rushers in one draft. That seems a little extreme.

I see two and maybe a dart at an RAS freak late

Throw some competition in there to complete the overhaul of this DL

htismaqe 04-04-2022 12:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnnyHammersticks (Post 16231364)
I like Karlaftis a lot, but I don't think he makes it past the Cardinals or one of the Eagles 1st round picks, so if we want him we better be prepared to move up.

I like Karlaftis but I'm not trading up into the teens for him. I'm not trading into the teens for anybody really...

Kellerfox 04-04-2022 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Franchise (Post 16231356)
I think it's two and a veteran.

I could see two early plus an additional one with one of our 7ths.

JohnnyHammersticks 04-04-2022 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 16231378)
I like Karlaftis but I'm not trading up into the teens for him. I'm not trading into the teens for anybody really...

Yeah this is kind of where I'm at too.

kccrow 04-05-2022 06:56 AM

Putting this in here instead of in the first round mock thread...

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tribal Warfare (Post 16233344)
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/3YuioqgnAVc" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>

High floor, try hard in Karlaftis not a gamewrecker which is what you trade up for like Wyatt who is a badass.

George doesn't play like Kerrigan if anything Hali was a Kerrigan clone.

Furthermore the way he rushes won't work as an NFL DE consistently unless he's the second coming of Reggie White or prime JJ Watt.

That's why I like Cam Thomas because he does play like a bigger Hali/Kerrigan

This was literally the worst game of his career because they wanted him to keep using a speed rush to the outside, which isn't the way he should be used, and you picked it as your end-all-be-all example of him being a terrible player? Don't cherry-pick a bad game. I can cherry-pick a shit show from every favorite on the list sans maybe Hutchinson's 2021 tape. I'm fine with you using it as an example of his weakness, but you should also be talking about his strengths and presenting that tape if you're going here.

Players that can power rush are absolutely the top rushers year-over-year in the NFL, not speed rushers. There are a few speedy standouts, but they are rare commodities. Ideally, you have a guy with power that can bend a bit better but it's hard to get it all in one package.

Do I wish Karlaftis could bend better? Yes. I think he can be taught a few things to help him out. The guys behind him though have much more significant overall issues in their games.

My next guy would be Sam Williams from a talent perspective but he has some power issues at this stage. I love his potential, but he has to get stronger and develop much more of a power rush for the NFL and he has to set the edge against the run much better (like most coming from college).

Cam Thomas is virtually the same guy as Karlaftis. I like him a lot but very much the same issues and less developed hand play.

Ebiketie doesn't really fit a 4-3 very well. I see him as a 3-4 OLB. He's a guy I like a ton but I do worry about his ability to set the edge in the NFL in an even front.

Mafe is kind of in that group of guys without a lot of bend but I think he has more than Karlaftis and Thomas. That said I don't think he comes with the same power. He's a nice player but very, very inconsistent. I don't like his production overall. If you can get him to be consistent he could turn out to be a better pro. I don't like his age but its' not a complete deal-breaker. I'd be fine with him as the pick, but he comes with some significant bust potential in my eyes.

After this group, I think there's a very big drop-off again either in athleticism or development and I'm really not about to talk about them this early.

DJ's left nut 04-05-2022 08:27 AM

Yeah I'm not sure why anyone is still touting Ebiketie here.

He's not an even-front player. At all.

And I'm not 100% sure he even has the first step to be a truly good OLB.

He's not on my draft board at all if I'm KC and he'd probably draw a late 2nd/early 3rd grade from me if I ran a 3-4.

I'm really confused by the folks that still have him going to KC. It just seems lazy.

htismaqe 04-05-2022 08:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 16233513)
Yeah I'm not sure why anyone is still touting Ebiketie here.

He's not an even-front player. At all.

And I'm not 100% sure he even has the first step to be a truly good OLB.

He's not on my draft board at all if I'm KC and he'd probably draw a late 2nd/early 3rd grade from me if I ran a 3-4.

I'm really confused by the folks that still have him going to KC. It just seems lazy.

I feel the same way and I'd add Mafe to that list. I'm just not sure either of them are a good fit in KC unless they're going to switch things up.

O.city 04-05-2022 08:31 AM

If Karlaftis had good bend and was a speed rusher he'd be going top 5. There's a reason guys are available at the end of the first. You aren't getting a perfect prospect.

The Franchise 04-05-2022 08:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 16233513)
Yeah I'm not sure why anyone is still touting Ebiketie here.

He's not an even-front player. At all.

And I'm not 100% sure he even has the first step to be a truly good OLB.

He's not on my draft board at all if I'm KC and he'd probably draw a late 2nd/early 3rd grade from me if I ran a 3-4.

I'm really confused by the folks that still have him going to KC. It just seems lazy.

They don’t do research into the types of DEs that Spags uses. They just see DE and put him in the mock.

DJ's left nut 04-05-2022 08:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 16233515)
I feel the same way and I'd add Mafe to that list. I'm just not sure either of them are a good fit in KC unless they're going to switch things up.

I still feel like the Steelers at 52 is a potential landing spot for Ebiketie but I don't see a good fit before that and if he gets by Pitt he could start a slide into the early/mid 3rd.

He does remind me a bit of Harold Landry, though. So there is definitely pro potential there. I just don't see it happening here.

htismaqe 04-05-2022 08:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 16233517)
If Karlaftis had good bend and was a speed rusher he'd be going top 5. There's a reason guys are available at the end of the first. You aren't getting a perfect prospect.

Of course not.

There's no such thing as a perfect prospect.

Holding out for one is a fool's errand.

The Franchise 04-05-2022 08:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 16233517)
If Karlaftis had good bend and was a speed rusher he'd be going top 5. There's a reason guys are available at the end of the first. You aren't getting a perfect prospect.

No shit?

EVERY DE in this draft isn't a perfect prospect.

Walker? Needs work on his passrush.
Thibodeaux? Effort issues.
Hutchinson? Didn't really do dick before this year.

You aren't getting a perfect prospect at DE....no matter where you draft one.

staylor26 04-05-2022 09:01 AM

LMAO

O.City would’ve been scared to draft Oweh, Phillips, Ojulari, and Rousseau last year too.

O.city 04-05-2022 09:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 16233533)
Of course not.

There's no such thing as a perfect prospect.

Holding out for one is a fool's errand.

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Franchise (Post 16233552)
No shit?

EVERY DE in this draft isn't a perfect prospect.

Walker? Needs work on his passrush.
Thibodeaux? Effort issues.
Hutchinson? Didn't really do dick before this year.

You aren't getting a perfect prospect at DE....no matter where you draft one.

Quote:

Originally Posted by staylor26 (Post 16233562)
LMAO

O.City would’ve been scared to draft Oweh, Phillips, Ojulari, and Rousseau last year too.

Dipasses, I'm saying it's ok.

I don't have a problem getting a guy like that at the end of the 1st. That's what you're gonna get.

I was responding to Tribal with his criticism. Guys that don't have issues aren't available there. They go in the top 5.

Your Khalil Macks and Myles Garretts

Couch-Potato 04-05-2022 09:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kccrow (Post 16233417)
Putting this in here instead of in the first round mock thread...



This was literally the worst game of his career because they wanted him to keep using a speed rush to the outside, which isn't the way he should be used, and you picked it as your end-all-be-all example of him being a terrible player? Don't cherry-pick a bad game. I can cherry-pick a shit show from every favorite on the list sans maybe Hutchinson's 2021 tape. I'm fine with you using it as an example of his weakness, but you should also be talking about his strengths and presenting that tape if you're going here.

Players that can power rush are absolutely the top rushers year-over-year in the NFL, not speed rushers. There are a few speedy standouts, but they are rare commodities. Ideally, you have a guy with power that can bend a bit better but it's hard to get it all in one package.

Do I wish Karlaftis could bend better? Yes. I think he can be taught a few things to help him out. The guys behind him though have much more significant overall issues in their games.

My next guy would be Sam Williams from a talent perspective but he has some power issues at this stage. I love his potential, but he has to get stronger and develop much more of a power rush for the NFL and he has to set the edge against the run much better (like most coming from college).

Cam Thomas is virtually the same guy as Karlaftis. I like him a lot but very much the same issues and less developed hand play.

Ebiketie doesn't really fit a 4-3 very well. I see him as a 3-4 OLB. He's a guy I like a ton but I do worry about his ability to set the edge in the NFL in an even front.

Mafe is kind of in that group of guys without a lot of bend but I think he has more than Karlaftis and Thomas. That said I don't think he comes with the same power. He's a nice player but very, very inconsistent. I don't like his production overall. If you can get him to be consistent he could turn out to be a better pro. I don't like his age but its' not a complete deal-breaker. I'd be fine with him as the pick, but he comes with some significant bust potential in my eyes.

After this group, I think there's a very big drop-off again either in athleticism or development and I'm really not about to talk about them this early.

Not an Ojabo fan then, eh?

DJ's left nut 04-05-2022 09:16 AM

Yeah - I think y'all missed O's point.

And for once he actually has one that makes sense.

The Franchise 04-05-2022 09:19 AM

I'm so used to O.City saying something dumb....I just kind of went on autopilot. My bad.

staylor26 04-05-2022 09:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 16233579)
Yeah - I think y'all missed O's point.

And for once he actually has one that makes sense.

Well he was just saying he was out on Karlaftis because he saw somebody make a Breeland Speaks comparison, so it’s kind of hard to keep up…

kccrow 04-05-2022 09:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Couch-Potato (Post 16233577)
Not an Ojabo fan then, eh?

I am but I would not touch him now in the 1st. Not with an Achilles. I'd burn 50 if he's still around.

Sent from my SM-G781V using Tapatalk

RunKC 04-05-2022 09:39 AM

Listen up O.City we’re all telling you something mother****er

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SAGA45 04-05-2022 11:38 AM

Karlaftis has better hands than many give him credit for. It's just not as pretty when he wins and looks more like he is relying on power. His game is quite ugly in fact...he looks like he belongs in the 60's/70's. I like him.

Tribal Warfare 04-05-2022 04:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kccrow (Post 16233417)
Putting this in here instead of in the first round mock thread...



This was literally the worst game of his career because they wanted him to keep using a speed rush to the outside, which isn't the way he should be used, and you picked it as your end-all-be-all example of him being a terrible player? Don't cherry-pick a bad game. I can cherry-pick a shit show from every favorite on the list sans maybe Hutchinson's 2021 tape. I'm fine with you using it as an example of his weakness, but you should also be talking about his strengths and presenting that tape if you're going here.

Players that can power rush are absolutely the top rushers year-over-year in the NFL, not speed rushers. There are a few speedy standouts, but they are rare commodities. Ideally, you have a guy with power that can bend a bit better but it's hard to get it all in one package.

Do I wish Karlaftis could bend better? Yes. I think he can be taught a few things to help him out. The guys behind him though have much more significant overall issues in their games.

My next guy would be Sam Williams from a talent perspective but he has some power issues at this stage. I love his potential, but he has to get stronger and develop much more of a power rush for the NFL and he has to set the edge against the run much better (like most coming from college).

Cam Thomas is virtually the same guy as Karlaftis. I like him a lot but very much the same issues and less developed hand play.

Ebiketie doesn't really fit a 4-3 very well. I see him as a 3-4 OLB. He's a guy I like a ton but I do worry about his ability to set the edge in the NFL in an even front.

Mafe is kind of in that group of guys without a lot of bend but I think he has more than Karlaftis and Thomas. That said I don't think he comes with the same power. He's a nice player but very, very inconsistent. I don't like his production overall. If you can get him to be consistent he could turn out to be a better pro. I don't like his age but its' not a complete deal-breaker. I'd be fine with him as the pick, but he comes with some significant bust potential in my eyes.

After this group, I think there's a very big drop-off again either in athleticism or development and I'm really not about to talk about them this early.

A long excuse, for a big worry trade up

staylor26 04-05-2022 04:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tribal Warfare (Post 16234464)
A long excuse, for a big worry trade up

Aren’t you the guy that shit on the Nick Bolton pick?

Feels like you just can’t see a good football player when they’re right in front of you.

Tribal Warfare 04-05-2022 04:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by staylor26 (Post 16234469)
Aren’t you the guy that shit on the Nick Bolton pick?

Feels like you just can’t see a good football player when they’re right in front of you.


Yep, I missed on Bolton and I admitted it. .

I don't hide on bad takes


I bet we could find a ****ton of bad takes you had too


Thus, my point still stands until proven otherwise

staylor26 04-05-2022 05:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tribal Warfare (Post 16234487)
Yep, I missed on Bolton and I admitted it. .

I don't hide on bad takes


I bet we could find a ****ton of bad takes you had too


Thus, my point still stands until proven otherwise

That’s not the point.

You clearly get so caught up in upside and athleticism that you can’t see a guy that’s clearly a good football player for what they are.

Karlaftis, like Bolton at the end of the 2nd, would be an excellent value at the end of the 1st.

Yes, he’s not going to blow everybody away with his upside/athleticism, but when paired with a high upside guy on the right side (Ojabo or Williams for example), he’s a perfect fit at SDE.

Tribal Warfare 04-05-2022 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by staylor26 (Post 16234520)
That’s not the point.

You clearly get so caught up in upside and athleticism that you can’t see a guy that’s clearly jsut a good football player for what they are.

Karlaftis, like Bolton at the end of the 2nd, would be an excellent value at the end of the 1st.

Yes, it is don't cast stones in glass houses especially with personal attacks. We can disagree but coming after someone in a general matter offers bigtime trolling when you're wrong.


He can be good, but won't be a gamewrecker all-pro

staylor26 04-05-2022 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tribal Warfare (Post 16234523)
Yes, it is don't cast stones in glass houses especially with personal attacks.


He can be good, but won't be a gamewrecker all.-pro

Who the **** said he would be? Is that seriously your expectation picking at the end of the 1st?

This is exactly the kind of shit you said about Bolton, hence me bringing it up. You’re proving my point.

Again, this isn’t about having a bad take. It’s not a personal attack either. It’s an observation.

Tribal Warfare 04-05-2022 05:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by staylor26 (Post 16234526)
Who the **** said he would be? Is that seriously your expectation picking at the end of the 1st?

This is exactly the kind of shit you said about Bolton, hence me bringing it up. You’re proving my point.

Again, this isn’t about having a bad take. It’s not a personal attack either. It’s an observation.


Trading up in the 1st round is what your projecting.

OK, I'll get on your ass about bad takes then too

staylor26 04-05-2022 05:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tribal Warfare (Post 16234530)
Trading up in the 1st round is what your projecting

I never projected anything.

Pretty sure kccrow is the one projecting a trade up, and even then, it’s less than 10 spots.

Again, if your expectations are All-Pro outside of the top 20, then you’re being unrealistic.

If Karlaftis can be a Justin Smith or Ryan Kerrigan type of player, that’s a damn good pick outside of the top 20.

Tribal Warfare 04-05-2022 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by staylor26 (Post 16234532)
I never projected anything.

Pretty sure kccrow is the one projecting a trade up, and even then, it’s less than 10 spots.

Again, if your expectations are All-Pro outside of the top 20, then you’re being unrealistic.

If Karlaftis can be a Justin Smith or Ryan Kerrigan type of player, that’s a damn good pick outside of the top 20.

He doesn't play like Kerrigan, he's not a technician like he was coming up and is now.

For Karlaftis to be productively consistently with his style he'll have to be prime JJ Watt

BossChief 04-05-2022 11:23 PM

If Karlaftis has a chance at becoming Justin Smith, you won’t have anybody complaining if you moved up a few spots to get him. Nothing crazy and hopefully using a third next year to do so.

htismaqe 04-06-2022 06:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BossChief (Post 16234868)
If Karlaftis has a chance at becoming Justin Smith, you won’t have anybody complaining if you moved up a few spots to get him. Nothing crazy and hopefully using a third next year to do so.

Exactly.

bigjosh 04-06-2022 07:06 AM

I dont think any edge within our striking distance is an elite enough prospect to trade away extra picks. Especially George.

Receivers that are elite prospects on the other hand, are within striking distance. Including ones with elite measurables and production.

I know everyone wants to move up for an edge, but im not about moving up for one that has the same skillset and size as someone we could grab at 29.

DJ's left nut 04-06-2022 07:29 AM

Nate Taylor has us using a 3rd to move up from 29 to 21 w/ the Patriots pick.

I can get behind that. For Karlaftis or Williams or whoever. If the guy they want is sitting there at 21 and all it costs them is a 3rd to get there, I'm game.

That's the first suggested trade-up that I can stomach.

(Then he goes and blows the rest of the mock by taking Boye Mafe at 30, which is just a bad pick, IMO. Still don't know how you take a 24 yr old rookie w/ productivity and polish issues that high)

htismaqe 04-06-2022 07:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 16235046)
Nate Taylor has us using a 3rd to move up from 29 to 21 w/ the Patriots pick.

I can get behind that. For Karlaftis or Williams or whoever. If the guy they want is sitting there at 21 and all it costs them is a 3rd to get there, I'm game.

That's the first suggested trade-up that I can stomach.

(Then he goes and blows the rest of the mock by taking Boye Mafe at 30, which is just a bad pick, IMO. Still don't know how you take a 24 yr old rookie w/ productivity and polish issues that high)

:thumb:

RunKC 04-06-2022 07:38 AM

I projected a trade like that for awhile but I believe it will take a 3rd, 4th and likely a later day 3 pick.

But I don’t think Karlaftis or Johnson will be there so I wonder who that would be for?

htismaqe 04-06-2022 07:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RunKC (Post 16235053)
I projected a trade like that for awhile but I believe it will take a 3rd, 4th and likely a later day 3 pick.

But I don’t think Karlaftis or Johnson will be there so I wonder who that would be for?

JJJJAAAAMMMEEESSSSOOONNNN!!!!GAAAAAAAAA

O.city 04-06-2022 07:42 AM

If Karlaftis falls I'd love to take him. Not sure about trading up for him though.

htismaqe 04-06-2022 07:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 16235065)
If Karlaftis falls I'd love to take him. Not sure about trading up for him though.

I'm not trading any more than a 3rd for anybody. Those 1st and 2nd round picks are way too valuable.

The Franchise 04-06-2022 07:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 16235046)
Nate Taylor has us using a 3rd to move up from 29 to 21 w/ the Patriots pick.

I can get behind that. For Karlaftis or Williams or whoever. If the guy they want is sitting there at 21 and all it costs them is a 3rd to get there, I'm game.

That's the first suggested trade-up that I can stomach.

(Then he goes and blows the rest of the mock by taking Boye Mafe at 30, which is just a bad pick, IMO. Still don't know how you take a 24 yr old rookie w/ productivity and polish issues that high)

He’s also missing our 4th round pick from the Dolphins.

I like double dipping on DE but Mafe and Drake Jackson aren’t it.

He did take your boy Dulcich.

DJ's left nut 04-06-2022 07:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RunKC (Post 16235053)
I projected a trade like that for awhile but I believe it will take a 3rd, 4th and likely a later day 3 pick.

But I don’t think Karlaftis or Johnson will be there so I wonder who that would be for?

Yeah, I think Taylor was being generous there.

Let's say Williams is available. The Packers are one spot away from that pick and would presumably be willing to 'block' us there. IF you're the Patriots and the Chiefs are on the phone offering a 3rd, you call the Packers and say 'hey, I'm moving out of this spot unless you give me a 3rd to move up 1..."

And the Packers probably make that deal. If you're the Chiefs, you're likely gonna have to 'lose' the trade by the draft charts to get up there.

And that's where I start saying no-dice.

I just want the draft to get here already, dammit. I'm tired of jerking off.

O.city 04-06-2022 07:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 16235067)
I'm not trading any more than a 3rd for anybody. Those 1st and 2nd round picks are way too valuable.

If they hit, sure.

Those end of the first picks just aren't as valuable as we all want them to be. IF you can package them somehow to go up and get an impact player, do it.

htismaqe 04-06-2022 07:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 16235069)
Yeah, I think Taylor was being generous there.

Let's say Williams is available. The Packers are one spot away from that pick and would presumably be willing to 'block' us there. IF you're the Patriots and the Chiefs are on the phone offering a 3rd, you call the Packers and say 'hey, I'm moving out of this spot unless you give me a 3rd to move up 1..."

And the Packers probably make that deal. If you're the Chiefs, you're likely gonna have to 'lose' the trade by the draft charts to get up there.

And that's where I start saying no-dice.

I just want the draft to get here already, dammit. I'm tired of jerking off.

Same here.

htismaqe 04-06-2022 07:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 16235071)
If they hit, sure.

Those end of the first picks just aren't as valuable as we all want them to be. IF you can package them somehow to go up and get an impact player, do it.

Just stop.

O.city 04-06-2022 07:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 16235077)
Just stop.

Besides the fifth year option, is there a difference in the player taken at 29 or 30 and the guy taken at 45-50 in a normal draft year?

DJ's left nut 04-06-2022 07:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Franchise (Post 16235068)
He’s also missing our 4th round pick from the Dolphins.

I like double dipping on DE but Mafe and Drake Jackson aren’t it.

He did take your boy Dulcich.

Yeah, for the same reasons I like Dulcich as well.

I wish I knew who he had on his board around those picks. I just cannot see a scenario where Mafe and Jackson are the 'right' gets there.

I will say that he's pretty tuned into what the Chiefs like and so are some of the other podcast guys - they have sources here and there. And to see Mafe and Logan Hall so routinely noted as possible early picks makes me really nervous.

I mean I don't hate either of those guys, but those are late 2nd, early 3rd guys to me. And when someone with a finger on the pulse of the organization suggests that they are really strong considerations....man, I hope that's just a media echo chamber where those guys sit around and talk themselves into the same handful of dudes (y'know, kinda like the CP draft forum) and not a line they're getting from the front office.

And NOBODY is talking Sam Williams to the Chiefs. And that gives me a sad.

htismaqe 04-06-2022 07:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 16235081)
Besides the fifth year option, is there a difference in the player taken at 29 or 30 and the guy taken at 45-50 in a normal draft year?

That's the problem - this isn't a normal draft year. You keep ignoring that fact.

O.city 04-06-2022 07:49 AM

I know and understand you draftniks wanna sit tight and make all those picks and hit on all those draft picks.

I don't think the Chiefs will and or feel the same.

O.city 04-06-2022 07:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 16235083)
That's the problem - this isn't a normal draft year. You keep ignoring that fact.

Are there 30 first round pick players in this draft?

I dont' think so.

So sure, it's a good draft. It's not generational.

O.city 04-06-2022 07:51 AM

If they draft a RB with a top 50 pick....well thats not good.

htismaqe 04-06-2022 07:52 AM

Unless Veach's presser was a complete smokescreen or an outright lie, the Chiefs absolutely do view it the same way.

If it weren't for the COVID year, this would be one of the worst draft classes in a long time, similar to 2013.

There's about 15, maybe 20, blue chip prospects in this class. There's about FIFTY players in that second tier, maybe more, and Veach mentioned it explicitly in his press conference.

I'd be willing to concede that picks 29 and 30 aren't all that valuable in a normal year if you're willing to concede that this simply isn't a normal year.

RunKC 04-06-2022 07:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 16235071)
If they hit, sure.

Those end of the first picks just aren't as valuable as we all want them to be. IF you can package them somehow to go up and get an impact player, do it.

I will be livid if Brett Veach packages his first rd picks to effectively move from two top 32 picks to only one. That’s a lot of hands in one basket. No bueno.

That’s not smart.

There are so many good players that can be had at the end of the first rd. It’s proven every single year

O.city 04-06-2022 07:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 16235093)
Unless Veach's presser was a complete smokescreen or an outright lie, the Chiefs absolutely do view it the same way.

If it weren't for the COVID year, this would be one of the worst draft classes in a long time, similar to 2013.

There's about 15, maybe 20, blue chip prospects in this class. There's about FIFTY players in that second tier, maybe more, and Veach mentioned it explicitly in his press conference.

I'd be willing to concede that picks 29 and 30 aren't all that valuable in a normal year if you're willing to concede that this simply isn't a normal year.

Thats my point though. That second pool is always right there where it is this year from a pick perspective. When you're at the end of the first you're just picking from it.

It's definitely bigger this year due to the Covid year, absolutely.

DJ's left nut 04-06-2022 07:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 16235081)
Besides the fifth year option, is there a difference in the player taken at 29 or 30 and the guy taken at 45-50 in a normal draft year?

Statistically, yes.

https://harvardsportsanalysis.wordpr...l-draft-picks/

But it does seem that a lot of the study being done on this suggests that the curves are MUCH flatter than conventionally believed. A top 10 pick isn't actually 3 times more likely to succeed than a pick at 30 or whatever the 'draft charts' say.

I think what the 'large numbers' tend to wash out is the value of the QBs taken that high and what they bring to the table over any other position. But when it comes to the other positions? Seems like there's just not much utility in trading way up to attack them.

And that if you believe in the flatter curve, trading back from say 29 to 46 for a 3rd rounder is a no brainer.

For the TL;DR crowd, here's a chart this guy made based on the actual on-field performance of draft picks over the last 20 years or so:

https://harvardsportsanalysis.files..../11/value3.jpg

It's just a MUCH tighter gradient.

The Franchise 04-06-2022 07:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 16235082)
Yeah, for the same reasons I like Dulcich as well.

I wish I knew who he had on his board around those picks. I just cannot see a scenario where Mafe and Jackson are the 'right' gets there.

I will say that he's pretty tuned into what the Chiefs like and so are some of the other podcast guys - they have sources here and there. And to see Mafe and Logan Hall so routinely noted as possible early picks makes me really nervous.

I mean I don't hate either of those guys, but those are late 2nd, early 3rd guys to me. And when someone with a finger on the pulse of the organization suggests that they are really strong considerations....man, I hope that's just a media echo chamber where those guys sit around and talk themselves into the same handful of dudes (y'know, kinda like the CP draft forum) and not a line they're getting from the front office.

And NOBODY is talking Sam Williams to the Chiefs. And that gives me a sad.

I’m not sure he’s clued in on guys like that. He’s never been huge on the draft.

I need to go back and look at his past ones.


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