ChiefsPlanet

ChiefsPlanet (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/index.php)
-   Nzoner's Game Room (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/forumdisplay.php?f=1)
-   -   Chiefs An analysis of franchise momentum: The Chiefs' Dow Jones Average. (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=216061)

notorious 05-15-2017 01:31 PM

Mother **** you, Herm and mother **** you, Pioli.

ct 05-15-2017 01:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rain Man (Post 12872602)
It's been five years since I've updated the Chiefs' franchise momentum chart. If you look back, my last update was just after the final game of the Romeo Crennel era, and according to the numbers that game had become the lowest point in Chiefs franchise history.

Well, I've got some good news. Dorsey and Reid have clawed back nearly all of the -27.09 score that marked the low-water mark of the franchise, and have brought the Chiefs back almost to break even at an index of -0.05. If not for that referee stealing the playoff game from them, the Chiefs would be handily positive right now, and they were actually in the black for the last two regular season games of 2016. That's a huge accomplishment.

Andy and Dorsey have been at the helm for four years, and this four-year stretch has shown the second-greatest four-year increase in momentum in franchise history, eclipsed only by the 1966-1969 summit of Everest. Here are the five greatest four-year increases in franchise momentum in Chiefs history.

1966-1969 / +29.08
2013-2016 / +27.05
1990-1993 / +25.95
1989-1992 / +19.72
1991-1994 / +17.98

If you add to this the natural optimism of having a top-ten pick as a quarterback, optimism appears to be the name of the game for the Chiefs right now.

:clap::clap::clap:

Sweet Daddy Hate 05-15-2017 07:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by notorious (Post 12873340)
Mother **** you, Herm and mother **** you, Pioli.

All day long this.

KChiefs1 05-15-2017 08:24 PM

Appreciate the effort.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

kccrow 05-15-2017 10:33 PM

So the Chiefs are a sin wave? Sweet...

And by the way Rain Man, that was some clever work. Kaddooooooooooos.

ct 05-16-2017 09:16 AM

this could be a very interesting analysis exercise from the fantasy football standpoint

see what correlations show up for draft position career arcs, RB lifespans, QB growth for early starters vs bench time in early careers

Direckshun 05-16-2017 12:33 PM

Hey! We're in the black!

lawrenceRaider 05-16-2017 12:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rain Man (Post 12872602)
It's been five years since I've updated the Chiefs' franchise momentum chart. If you look back, my last update was just after the final game of the Romeo Crennel era, and according to the numbers that game had become the lowest point in Chiefs franchise history.

Well, I've got some good news. Dorsey and Reid have clawed back nearly all of the -27.09 score that marked the low-water mark of the franchise, and have brought the Chiefs back almost to break even at an index of -0.05. If not for that referee stealing the playoff game from them, the Chiefs would be handily positive right now, and they were actually in the black for the last two regular season games of 2016. That's a huge accomplishment.

Andy and Dorsey have been at the helm for four years, and this four-year stretch has shown the second-greatest four-year increase in momentum in franchise history, eclipsed only by the 1966-1969 summit of Everest. Here are the five greatest four-year increases in franchise momentum in Chiefs history.

1966-1969 / +29.08
2013-2016 / +27.05
1990-1993 / +25.95
1989-1992 / +19.72
1991-1994 / +17.98

If you add to this the natural optimism of having a top-ten pick as a quarterback, optimism appears to be the name of the game for the Chiefs right now.

Well done.

Rain Man 01-22-2018 12:09 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Latest update of the franchise stock index through the end of 2017. As you'll recall, we ended last season on the most minor of negative cumulative scores, basically breakeven after 57 years. The early season success pushed the franchise strongly into positive ground, but the midseason slump brought it almost back to zero again. The late season surge pushed it back up, and then the playoff loss to the Tennessee Triplettes knocked it back down. Right now, the cumulative franchise index stands at +1.56. Andy's squad had modest success this year with a winning record and playoff spot, gaining 1.61 points to put the franchise back into the black.

Andy remains the first coach since Marty to have a positive franchise stock value during his tenure. Only four of the thirteen coaches in Chiefs history have a positive score during their tenure: Stram, Mackovic, Schottenheimer, and (so far) Reid.

ChiefGator 01-22-2018 05:22 AM

Awesome! Love the numbers crunching.

COchief 01-22-2018 07:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rain Man (Post 13375925)
Latest update of the franchise stock index through the end of 2017. As you'll recall, we ended last season on the most minor of negative cumulative scores, basically breakeven after 57 years. The early season success pushed the franchise strongly into positive ground, but the midseason slump brought it almost back to zero again. The late season surge pushed it back up, and then the playoff loss to the Tennessee Triplettes knocked it back down. Right now, the cumulative franchise index stands at +1.56. Andy's squad had modest success this year with a winning record and playoff spot, gaining 1.61 points to put the franchise back into the black.

Andy remains the first coach since Marty to have a positive franchise stock value during his tenure. Only four of the thirteen coaches in Chiefs history have a positive score during their tenure: Stram, Mackovic, Schottenheimer, and (so far) Reid.

This is pretty cool if you love data, would like to see the coach, GM, and QB added into the data and chart even though it's fairly easy to spot them as is.

Rain Man 01-28-2019 04:15 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Here's the 2018 update of the Franchise Wellness Index.

We currently stand at a franchise index of +9.3144. We briefly surpassed that level this season after the Week 14 win over the Ravens (9.7952 index) and the Week 17 win over the Raiders (9.5342 index), and significantly surpassed it in the win over the Colts in the playoffs. (More on that in a moment.)

To put things into relative perspective, we last approached that level at the end of the regular season in 2003, when we stood at 9.2934, a week before the Indianapolis no-punt game threw us into a long-running funk.

The last time (prior to 2018) that we were above this level was after a Week 10 loss to the Raiders in the year 2000 (the Gunther era), when we stood at 9.9561. This was obviously on the way down from the Marty era so it didn't feel special and we had negative momentum. So whatever. The next week was a 21-7 loss to the 49ers and it would take us 18 years to climb back up to this level.

However, if you aren't aware of this, we were given a loss in our final game this year. After the Colts game and before we lost a Super Bowl on a coin flip, our Chiefs index topped out at a level of +12.4388. We haven't seen that level of happiness in a long time.

Going back through time to find the last moment we were above a 12.4388, we had a local high of 13.0559 in, believe it or not, 1999. Gunther's Chiefs were riding a four-game winning streak, sitting at 9-5 after a win in Pittsburgh, and we had a ten-year tailwind of Marty propping up our morale. Alas, we lost the next week to Seattle and then lost a heartbreaker to Oakland that knocked us out of a playoff spot. (I think this was the Jon Baker game.)

But things are looking good! It looks like we're happier now than at pretty much any time during the Vermeil era, and we're at around the level that Marty's teams were in 1995. Plus, we now have a franchise quarterback. Investors are bullish on the Chiefs.

htismaqe 01-28-2019 04:17 PM

Great thread.

Rain Man 01-28-2019 04:32 PM

We're really on an epic run right now, but we just started at a low point. There have been three life-altering rises in Chiefs history.

From 1960 through Super Bowl IV, the Chiefs rose 33.48 points, starting at 0 and rising to +33.48 under Hank Stram.

From 1989 through 1997, the Chiefs rose 42.4 points from Marty's arrival up to the kickoff of the vegetable oil game against the Cheaters. We went from -23.35 to +19.07

From 2013 through the present, the Chiefs have risen 36.4 points from Andy's arrival to the current moment. We went from -27.09 to our current +9.31.

htismaqe 01-28-2019 04:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rain Man (Post 14078010)
We're really on an epic run right now, but we just started at a low point. There have been three life-altering rises in Chiefs history.

From 1960 through Super Bowl IV, the Chiefs rose 33.48 points, starting at 0 and rising to +33.48 under Hank Stram.

From 1989 through 1997, the Chiefs rose 42.4 points from Marty's arrival up to the kickoff of the vegetable oil game against the Cheaters. We went from -23.35 to +19.07

From 2013 through the present, the Chiefs have risen 36.4 points from Andy's arrival to the current moment. We went from -27.09 to our current +9.31.

So in other words, when they win it all next year, this will officially and OBJECTIVELY be the most successful era of Chiefs football ever.


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 01:59 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.