Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho
(Post 14710173)
Like I said earlier... games QBed by garbage game managers (other teams’ trash) like Steve Bobo, Elvis Grbac, Matt Cassel, and Alex Smith are meaningless.
It’s like flipping a coin. Just because I got 1 heads and 7 tails in my last 8 flips doesn’t have any effect on what I get on my next flip.
With a coin flip, it’s a true 50/50 prop each time. Fortunately, the Chiefs have a much better chance than 50/50 tomorrow.
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According to ESPN's computer, the Chiefs probability to win is 89%.
Looking at the teams head-to-head:
Our offense is ranked in the top 5, their's is something like 15th. Our offense is more efficient, both in yards/play and points/play. We score about 28.5 points/game, they score about 23. Our OL is ranked in the top 10, their's around 20th. We gave up 25 sacks, they gave up 49.
On defense, we're ranked in the top 10, they're ranked somewhere around 20th. Our defense only gives up 3rd down conversions about 34% of the time, theirs about 50%. We can consistently generate a pass rush with our down four DL, they can't. To get pressure, they will have to manufacture it by bringing LBs/S/CBs. Our secondary can play man and put the brakes on Hopkins and Fuller. Their secondary can't play man against Hill, Watkins (who didn't play in the first game), and Hardman. And they have no answer for Kelce.
And our rushing defense has finally turned the corner with the addition of Pennel, Clark getting healthy and the addition of Suggs. Also, Hitchens didn't play in that game either. Say what you want about his play, he's been consistently getting our front-7 lined up properly pre-snap. And it's made a big difference.
Carlos Hyde won't be running wild in this match-up.
And that right there is probably the biggest reason they won that game. If you look closely, Watson didn't beat us with his arm. He threw 30-42 for 280 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs. Not great. It was their running game that beat us.
And that won't happen tomorrow.
And as for coaching. Even without Andy's incredible record after a bye, he's far better than Bill O'Brien. Billy O' doesn't do anything better than Andy.
Spags is better in all respects than Crennel. And Spags is far better at making adjustments.
As long as something ridiculous doesn't happen, like a meteor crashing into the Chiefs sideline during the game, we got this, people.
