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-   -   Royals 2013 Kansas City Royals Repository Thread (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=267564)

cabletech94 06-15-2013 08:41 AM

it might be too early to say this, but, i can honestly say that i am on pins and needles with this team.

IN MID JUNE!!!!!

let's go royals!!!!!

Raiderhater 06-15-2013 08:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -King- (Post 9753275)
Only 1 game out of .500. Didn't think I'd say that this soon after the losing streak.

They've come roaring back with a vengeance, haven't they?

siberian khatru 06-15-2013 08:59 AM

And we said a month ago if they can just avoid those typically deep slumps ... And what did they do? Go 4-20.

If they'd just go 10-14, or 9-15 ... that's bad, but it's not crippling bad. Why can't they make that curve shallower? Why does it always have to be so steep?

This pitching WILL suffer some regression. I hope the bats can improve enough to prevent another deep trough.

Sure-Oz 06-15-2013 09:02 AM

The Royals didn't trade for Shields to just be a .500 team this year, if they are close they need to make moves happen

Mama Hip Rockets 06-15-2013 09:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by siberian khatru (Post 9753340)
And we said a month ago if they can just avoid those typically deep slumps ... And what did they do? Go 4-20.

If they'd just go 10-14, or 9-15 ... that's bad, but it's not crippling bad. Why can't they make that curve shallower? Why does it always have to be so steep?

This pitching WILL suffer some regression. I hope the bats can improve enough to prevent another deep trough.

People have been saying this since early April. I'm not so sure anymore.

Sure-Oz 06-15-2013 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thurman merman (Post 9753348)
People have been saying this since early April. I'm not so sure anymore.

Guthrie has been lucky as hell...if he continues to not strikeout anyone with his HR rate and get runners on they will score more. He's been nails though getting guys out lately with runners on.

GloryDayz 06-15-2013 09:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach (Post 9753248)

I like that kid already!

Saul Good 06-15-2013 09:40 AM

The chewing chick in the background cracks me up.

Nightfyre 06-15-2013 10:07 AM

The guy on the right: "That's my boy." as he gets left hanging.

Prison Bitch 06-15-2013 10:24 AM

Mendoza is the bomb.

Nightfyre 06-15-2013 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 9753218)
You have to make a "qualifying" offer, which is a contract of at least one year for at least a set amount based on average contracts of other FA pitchers or some such (kind of like the franchise tag).

If you don't make the offer, you don't get compensation for the pitcher. If no one signs the pitcher before the MLB drat, you don't get compensation.

I'd be hesitant to offer Santana a long-term deal because of his age, his tendency to have terrible years, and his heavy reliance on his slider. But he's been damn good for KC and the trade has worked out perfectly.

If they stay in it, you keep him. You will need him down the stretch and would like to line up Shields and Santana 1-2 in a potential playoff series.



What's crazy is that Santana's AVG FB velocity is up, but only slightly (0.2 MPH). I think the main difference is that his HR/FB rate was crazily high last year.

He's locating better and playing in front of a tremendous run-prevention defense. He does seem to be working in the change and two-seam fastball more, but not a HUGE change.

I dunno. Santana is pretty inconsistent throughout his career. I would consider selling high on him. And Guthrie. There is no reason to believe that Guthrie will continue to experience his recent success. We have Duffy and Paulino ready to come back in July. I'm just saying.

duncan_idaho 06-15-2013 10:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 9753436)
I dunno. Santana is pretty inconsistent throughout his career. I would consider selling high on him. And Guthrie. There is no reason to believe that Guthrie will continue to experience his recent success. We have Duffy and Paulino ready to come back in July. I'm just saying.

It's unlikely anyone would trade anything of helpful value for Guthrie.

Santana typically has 2 good to great years for every bad year. He's generally pretty consistent throughout a season, whether he's having a good one or a bad one.

Selling high on him midseason probably doesn't help as much as you think it might. You'd have to sell to a contender, and it would be hard to find one of those willing to part with an everyday 2B or RF that makes the same type of impact as Santana.

You probably get more value from him by keeping him the entire season, making a qualifying offer, and picking up a comp. pick i next year's draft.

He'd be a great chip to trade if they're not IN the race at the trade deadline. But you weaken a big part of the rotation by moving him... even with Paulino and Duffy coming back, there's no guarantee those guys are good to go from Day 1.

If the Royals make the playoffs, they need a better No. 2 than Jeremy Guthrie, Luis Mendoza or Felipe Paulino.

Archie F. Swin 06-15-2013 10:59 AM

Has there never been a parallel between KC Royals and BBQ sauce in franchise history?

Nightfyre 06-15-2013 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 9753451)
It's unlikely anyone would trade anything of helpful value for Guthrie.

Santana typically has 2 good to great years for every bad year. He's generally pretty consistent throughout a season, whether he's having a good one or a bad one.

Selling high on him midseason probably doesn't help as much as you think it might. You'd have to sell to a contender, and it would be hard to find one of those willing to part with an everyday 2B or RF that makes the same type of impact as Santana.

You probably get more value from him by keeping him the entire season, making a qualifying offer, and picking up a comp. pick i next year's draft.

He'd be a great chip to trade if they're not IN the race at the trade deadline. But you weaken a big part of the rotation by moving him... even with Paulino and Duffy coming back, there's no guarantee those guys are good to go from Day 1.

If the Royals make the playoffs, they need a better No. 2 than Jeremy Guthrie, Luis Mendoza or Felipe Paulino.

I had forgotten that players who aren't with the ballclub for the entirety of the season do not produce a compensatory selection anymore. DM played the Santana thing pretty well really. Sisk for a year of Santana at 12 mill and a comp pick (which broadens our money pool for the draft) is a pretty good get.

BigCatDaddy 06-15-2013 11:04 AM

I'm neg bombing the next poster that mentions trading any contributor off the major league roster at the moment.

Demonpenz 06-15-2013 11:22 AM

I am glad the guys really stuck together and kept it loose. Baseball is such a grind.

boogblaster 06-15-2013 11:42 AM

watched last 8 games .. they finally lookin like a baseball team .. GO ROYALS ....

CaliforniaChief 06-15-2013 11:45 AM

And it all comes back to...Moose and Hosmer.

Hosmer is showing signs to me. Moose is not. But if we're going to sustain this run and win more games than lose, those two guys have GOT to contribute.

cabletech94 06-15-2013 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaliforniaChief (Post 9753517)
And it all comes back to...Moose and Hosmer.

Hosmer is showing signs to me. Moose is not. But if we're going to sustain this run and win more games than lose, those two guys have GOT to contribute.

can you imagine what will happen when gordo comes out of his slump?

AND/IF/(MAYBE) moose turns it around?


#holycrapgodmode!

DeezNutz 06-15-2013 12:55 PM

I'd rather try to extend Santana than Shields because of the mileage on the latter's arm/body.

Kidd Lex 06-15-2013 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy (Post 9753464)
I'm neg bombing the next poster that mentions trading any contributor off the major league roster at the moment.

We need to trade Frenchy for a bag of balls. :thumb:






Oh you said contributor.

Nightfyre 06-15-2013 01:14 PM

Well, the good news is that there are no more scheduled blackouts for Royals games on mlb.tv's schedule. The bad news is that I'm on to night flying which means work will prevent me from enjoying the weekday games live.

Shogun 06-15-2013 02:02 PM

The 30 MLB teams ranked 1-30 in @BBTN Web Gems this season. Check out where your team ranks... http://twitter.com/ESPNStatsInfo/sta...349440/photo/1

duncan_idaho 06-15-2013 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 9753573)
I'd rather try to extend Santana than Shields because of the mileage on the latter's arm/body.

Would it surprise you to hear that Ervin Santana actually has thrown MORE innings in his career than James Shields (by about 20-25)?

I was shocked to see that.

Given fairly equal mileage and age (Shields is 1 year older), I'll take the fastball/changeup guy over the fastball/slider guy.

I think Shields more as a staff leader/sage type.

Nightfyre 06-15-2013 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 9753644)
Would it surprise you to hear that Ervin Santana actually has thrown MORE innings in his career than James Shields (by about 20-25)?

I was shocked to see that.

Given fairly equal mileage and age (Shields is 1 year older), I'll take the fastball/changeup guy over the fastball/slider guy.

I think Shields more as a staff leader/sage type.

I would take Shields as well.

DeezNutz 06-15-2013 02:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 9753644)
Would it surprise you to hear that Ervin Santana actually has thrown MORE innings in his career than James Shields (by about 20-25)?

I was shocked to see that.

Given fairly equal mileage and age (Shields is 1 year older), I'll take the fastball/changeup guy over the fastball/slider guy.

I think Shields more as a staff leader/sage type.

Hilarious. I actually checked Baseball Reference prior to that last post, but I was apparently mesmerized by the number of 200+ inning seasons for Shields, who has 6 to Santana's 4. Just assumed...and then...well...****.

gblowfish 06-15-2013 04:15 PM

Story from Jo Poz on how much Yuni Betancourt sucks....
http://joeposnanski.blogspot.com/201...his-yuni-verse.

Prison Bitch 06-15-2013 05:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 9753573)
I'd rather try to extend Santana than Shields because of the mileage on the latter's arm/body.

Not much mileage on an arm that throws nothing but fastballs and changeups.

Mama Hip Rockets 06-15-2013 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shogun (Post 9753643)
The 30 MLB teams ranked 1-30 in @BBTN Web Gems this season. Check out where your team ranks... http://twitter.com/ESPNStatsInfo/sta...349440/photo/1

Nice!

Nightfyre 06-16-2013 06:06 PM

The next month will present some critical questions for the Royals front office.

June 26 (10 days remain) Dyson must be brought up. So. Will Lough be optioned or Frenchy DFA'd?

July 11 Paulino will be added to the 25-man roster again. Who is the odd man out of the rotation - Mendoza or Davis? And who is optioned/DFA'd to make room?

Further, do they option Duffy to preserve service time or bring him up as well and how do they make room for him?


What say you CP?

Nightfyre 06-16-2013 06:20 PM

Payroll should also be interesting next year. Moose and Hos move to arbitration, I believe. Alex and Billy get raises. Chen and Frenchy come off the books. Anyone have any idea how much net payroll that gets us?

SAUTO 06-16-2013 06:24 PM

Eleventybillion?
Posted via Mobile Device

Sure-Oz 06-16-2013 06:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 9755558)
The next month will present some critical questions for the Royals front office.

June 26 (10 days remain) Dyson must be brought up. So. Will Lough be optioned or Frenchy DFA'd?

July 11 Paulino will be added to the 25-man roster again. Who is the odd man out of the rotation - Mendoza or Davis? And who is optioned/DFA'd to make room?

Further, do they option Duffy to preserve service time or bring him up as well and how do they make room for him?


What say you CP?

I believe they should let Duffy start awhile in AAA...

Cut bait with Getz and Franceour IMO...but i dont see them letting franceoer go at all

Nightfyre 06-16-2013 06:53 PM

So big changes:
Qualifying offer to Santana will be 14 mill. I would venture to guess he would at least consider such an offer. (+1MM)

Shields will be paid 13.5 mill next year with escalators. (+3MM)

Gordon goes from 9MM to 10MM (+1MM)

Butler actually stays at 8MM (0MM)

Guthrie goes from 5MM to 11MM (+6MM)

Frenchy is gone (-6.5MM)

Hoch is gone (-4.6MM)

Chen is gone (-4.5MM)

Davis moves from 2.8MM to 4.8MM (+2MM)

Escobar stays at 3MM (0MM)

Paulino goes to arbitration and probably gets his same 2MM (0MM)

Perez goes up half a mill. (+0.5MM)

Holland/Collins/Hos/Moose/Mendoza/Johnson/Kottaras/Getz all go to arbitration

Herrera/Crow/Cain/Duffy/Hayes/Giavotella/Lamb/Lough/Dwyer are all under three years service.

Tejada is gone (-1.1MM)

Arguelles is in the last year of his contract. (0MM increase)

Who knows what we are doing with: Gutierrez/Marks(2 options left I think?)/Joseph (2 options left I think?)/Moore/Bueno(any options left?)/Smith(one option left?)/Rincon/Berry/Teaford

GloryDayz 06-16-2013 06:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 9755558)
The next month will present some critical questions for the Royals front office.

June 26 (10 days remain) Dyson must be brought up. So. Will Lough be optioned or Frenchy DFA'd?

July 11 Paulino will be added to the 25-man roster again. Who is the odd man out of the rotation - Mendoza or Davis? And who is optioned/DFA'd to make room?

Further, do they option Duffy to preserve service time or bring him up as well and how do they make room for him?


What say you CP?

I agree, and next month is when the grind of a long season will really set in...

I hope these kids can grind through it and shut-up all us old-timer critics and come out of it in a position where they are contending for the division... If they have the division scared and the rest of the league too, it might be an awesome August at the K...

We'll see....

Hootie 06-16-2013 07:08 PM

they should trade for Alfonso Soriano.

Mama Hip Rockets 06-16-2013 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by unnecessary drama (Post 9755713)
they should not trade for Alfonso Soriano.

fixed your post

Hootie 06-16-2013 08:24 PM

expiring contract; cubs will eat most of his salary; would be *sadly* our best power hitter

wouldn't cost much at all

although Gordon would have to play RF which I can't imagine would be that tough of a transition for a GOLD GLOVE stud OF like Gordon

Nightfyre 06-16-2013 08:26 PM

Let Soriano play 2B again. Cain in right, Dyson in Center. Lough as a fourth OF.

Hootie 06-16-2013 08:28 PM

I think I already changed my mind about Soriano LMAO

Chiefspants 06-16-2013 08:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by unnecessary drama (Post 9755994)
expiring contract; cubs will eat most of his salary; would be *sadly* our best power hitter

wouldn't cost much at all

although Gordon would have to play RF which I can't imagine would be that tough of a transition for a GOLD GLOVE stud OF like Gordon

You want to trade for a known clubhouse poison who's hitting a notch above .250 with an OPS below .700?

Okay, hootie.

Chiefspants 06-16-2013 08:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by unnecessary drama (Post 9756019)
I think I already changed my mind about Soriano LMAO

ROFL

Nightfyre 06-16-2013 08:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by unnecessary drama (Post 9756019)
I think I already changed my mind about Soriano LMAO

LMAO I wonder what it would take to land Starlin Castro. He's having a down year, but he is inked through 2019 with a 2020 club option... He could play 2B and our middle infield would be set for a huge window.

Hootie 06-16-2013 08:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 9756032)
LMAO I wonder what it would take to land Starlin Castro. He's having a down year, but he is inked through 2019 with a 2020 club option... He could play 2B and our middle infield would be set for a huge window.

more than we have to offer

and we need power...Castro makes no sense.

Sure-Oz 06-16-2013 08:39 PM

The Royals need serious power, it may cost us Ventura but they have to do the best they can to bring a power hitter here, maybe 2 new hitters

Nightfyre 06-16-2013 08:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by unnecessary drama (Post 9756048)
more than we have to offer

and we need power...Castro makes no sense.

Castro makes a ton of sense long-term. Moose/Hos/Perez start hitting for power and we are going to be looking for a #2 hitter.

Gordon
Castro
Hos
Butler
Moose
Salvy
Cain
Dyson
Escobar


If we are selling out to contend now, Utley still makes the most sense. The Phillies are 8 GB and Utley is in the last year of his deal.

Chiefspants 06-16-2013 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 9756065)
Castro makes a ton of sense long-term. Moose/Hos/Perez start hitting for power and we are going to be looking for a #2 hitter.

Gordon
Castro
Hos
Butler
Moose
Salvy
Cain
Dyson
Escobar


If we are selling out to contend now, Utley still makes the most sense. The Phillies are 8 GB and Utley is in the last year of his deal.

I am unsure if Dyson is part of the long-term picture (as a starter, anyways) a RF with power would make more sense, IMHO.

Nightfyre 06-16-2013 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefspants (Post 9756075)
I am unsure if Dyson is part of the long-term picture (as a starter, anyways) a RF with power would make more sense, IMHO.

I really think Dyson makes a ton of sense in CF long-term. He has the bat speed to stick, imo. He may lack pop, but in terms of getting on base and getting extra bases, he has been great this year. His defense is also a plus.

Chiefspants 06-16-2013 08:44 PM

Remember when a lot of people thought John Buck was going to win the homerun title this April?

.217/.274/.406

Chiefspants 06-16-2013 08:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 9756100)
I really think Dyson makes a ton of sense in CF long-term. He has the bat speed to stick, imo. He may lack pop, but in terms of getting on base and getting extra bases, he has been great this year. His defense is also a plus.

I think this line-up needs a true power hitter. At this time, the jury is very much out on Moose's productivity long term.

Prison Bitch 06-16-2013 08:45 PM

We have to wait another month to see where we are. We just had a 4-19 stretch once. There's no point trading for guys until we have a good idea where we are. We have to be within 5 of Detroit or the wild card to do anything

Nightfyre 06-16-2013 08:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefspants (Post 9756111)
I think this line-up needs a true power hitter. At this time, the jury is very much out on Moose's productivity long term.

If moose doesn't pan out long-term then you look to fill your 3B slot with a true power hitter. If you're in win now mode you go after Utley.

Nightfyre 06-16-2013 08:54 PM

If you get Utley, I think you can look at sending moose down to AAA and platooning Tejada and Johnson at 3B.

Sure-Oz 06-16-2013 08:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 9756131)
If moose doesn't pan out long-term then you look to fill your 3B slot with a true power hitter. If you're in win now mode you go after Utley.

Moose may be helpful if they actually let him get his confidence back in AAA and get some success. he's currently being benched here and there and just playing awful offensively.

Nightfyre 06-16-2013 08:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sure-Oz (Post 9756176)
Moose may be helpful if they actually let him get his confidence back in AAA and get some success. he's currently being benched here and there and just playing awful offensively.

Ah my post was just a minute slow. I agree, fwiw. Though he is starting to hit with better contact again (as is Hosmer.)

DeezNutz 06-16-2013 09:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 9756100)
I really think Dyson makes a ton of sense in CF long-term. He has the bat speed to stick, imo. He may lack pop, but in terms of getting on base and getting extra bases, he has been great this year. His defense is also a plus.

Yeah, he's been an OB machine this year: .286.

He's a fourth outfielder. At. Best.

Nightfyre 06-16-2013 09:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 9756351)
Yeah, he's been an OB machine this year: .286.

He's a fourth outfielder. At. Best.

With respect to his OBP, his career line is slightly more flattering at .317 and last year he got on at a .328 clip. Not superman but certainly serviceable and much moreso than Frenchy.

mr. tegu 06-17-2013 07:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gblowfish (Post 9753908)
Story from Jo Poz on how much Yuni Betancourt sucks....
http://joeposnanski.blogspot.com/201...his-yuni-verse.

The slow pitch softball Tigers with only 6. :LOL:

BigCatDaddy 06-17-2013 07:22 AM

Myers called up! Let the march for ROY begin.

duncan_idaho 06-17-2013 01:02 PM

Ventura with another solid start at Omaha last night:

5 IP | 3 H | 1 BB | 5 K

They're still keeping him on a pitch count. Want to see him continue working on the control and pitch count issues before he gets the call. But the stuff is electric.

Chiefspants 06-17-2013 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 9756977)
Ventura with another solid start at Omaha last night:

5 IP | 3 H | 1 BB | 5 K

They're still keeping him on a pitch count. Want to see him continue working on the control and pitch count issues before he gets the call. But the stuff is electric.

A 2014 rotation of...

Shields
Duffy
Guthrie
Davis/Paulino
Ventura

..Could make Santana's loss much easier to manage.

BigCatDaddy 06-17-2013 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefspants (Post 9757001)
A 2014 rotation of...

Shields
Duffy
Guthrie
Davis/Paulino
Ventura

..Could make Santana's loss much easier to manage.

I expect more from Paulino than I do Duffy. I'd also like to see Mendoza brought back. He is looking like a proven avg starting pitcher. Ventura and Duffy are still huge question marks.

Shields
Paulino
Guthrie
Davis
Mendoza

I wonder what type of bat Duffy and or Ventura could bring back.

duncan_idaho 06-17-2013 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy (Post 9757015)
I expect more from Paulino than I do Duffy. I'd also like to see Mendoza brought back. He is looking like a proven avg starting pitcher. Ventura and Duffy are still huge question marks.

Shields
Paulino
Guthrie
Davis
Mendoza

I wonder what type of bat Duffy and or Ventura could bring back.

Duffy is a question mark, no doubt. But the strides he was making before TJ were definitely encouraging. He's guaranteed to be back in 2014. Not so sure with Paulino. I'd guess the rotation looks like this to start the year:

Shields
Guthrie
Davis
Paulino
Duffy

with Mendoza in long relief, waiting to slide in because of injury or ineffectiveness.

Rotation won't be as good at the No. 2 spot in that case. The key will be getting production from Nos. 4 and 5 to balance it out. Davis, Paulino and Duffy all have the raw ability to fill the No. 2 role, but don't have the track record.

sedated 06-17-2013 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefspants (Post 9757001)
Duffy
Davis/Paulino
Ventura

..Could make Santana's loss much easier to manage.

It’s outrageously optimistic to project any of those guys to even get close to Santana’s 2.80 (ish) ERA

Chiefspants 06-17-2013 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy (Post 9757015)
I expect more from Paulino than I do Duffy. I'd also like to see Mendoza brought back. He is looking like a proven avg starting pitcher. Ventura and Duffy are still huge question marks.

Shields
Paulino
Guthrie
Davis
Mendoza

I wonder what type of bat Duffy and or Ventura could bring back.

Danny Duffy may end up being the hardest throwing lefty in the majors, discarding him so quickly (after what he was flashing last year) would be pretty unwise.

Chiefspants 06-17-2013 01:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sedated (Post 9757029)
It’s outrageously optimistic to project any of those guys to even get close to Santana’s 2.80 (ish) ERA

I doubt they get "close" to Santana's E.R.A. I suppose I am just much more optimistic about our complete 2014 rotation after hearing the positive reports about Duffy, Paulino, and Ventura.

duncan_idaho 06-17-2013 01:21 PM

Oh, I also think Ventura is the most special of the SPs they've brought through the system under this regime. Since he got "right" entering last year, he's done nothing but produce. And he has handled the difficult promotions with relative ease.

He has good trade value, but his size will diminish some of that. Duffy also has value, but is still too close to the injury to fetch top price.

duncan_idaho 06-17-2013 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sedated (Post 9757029)
It’s outrageously optimistic to project any of those guys to even get close to Santana’s 2.80 (ish) ERA

Right. But Santana will probably finish the year around 3.25.

I'd guess they're the same at No. 1, slightly worse at No. 2, slightly worse at No. 3, better at No. 4, better at No. 5, with a slight net loss.

But that kind of depends on how Ervin Santana closes the year.

mr. tegu 06-17-2013 01:24 PM

So is keeping Santana just out of the question?

BigCatDaddy 06-17-2013 01:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 9757026)
Duffy is a question mark, no doubt. But the strides he was making before TJ were definitely encouraging. He's guaranteed to be back in 2014. Not so sure with Paulino. I'd guess the rotation looks like this to start the year:

Shields
Guthrie
Davis
Paulino
Duffy

with Mendoza in long relief, waiting to slide in because of injury or ineffectiveness.

Rotation won't be as good at the No. 2 spot in that case. The key will be getting production from Nos. 4 and 5 to balance it out. Davis, Paulino and Duffy all have the raw ability to fill the No. 2 role, but don't have the track record.

I'm just a big Paulino guy. He had some back luck in 11 that brought his numbers down a bit and in 2012 he was lights out in 7 starts with a 1.7 ERA or something sick like that. Obviously he wasn't going to keep up that rate, but for a pitcher to have 7 starts like that in a row shows some real tremendous ability.

I like Duffy's upside as well. I wonder if he struggles as a starter if he wouldn't make a pretty good closer. He'll have a place on this team somewhere.

Saul Good 06-17-2013 01:25 PM

What is Santana's trade value right now?

Chiefspants 06-17-2013 01:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mr. tegu (Post 9757051)
So is keeping Santana just out of the question?

That would be a question for Mr. David Glass. My heart tells me he would consider an offer, my mind tells me he will flee to the absolutely exploding market for starting pitchers.

Bowser 06-17-2013 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mr. tegu (Post 9757051)
So is keeping Santana just out of the question?

Probably. He's going to get offered a huge contract by someone if he keep this pace up. That type of thinking doesn't sit well with a cheap owner.

Chiefspants 06-17-2013 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saul Good (Post 9757059)
What is Santana's trade value right now?

If we're five games back at the deadline, the consensus has been we should hold onto him for a potential playoff run. However, if we're over 10 games back, we should definitely shop him for a better bat at RF or 2B.

Ceej 06-17-2013 01:27 PM

All trade value inquiries should be directed to resident trade value guru ChiefsandOsfan.

mr. tegu 06-17-2013 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefspants (Post 9757060)
That would be a question for Mr. David Glass. My heart tells me he would consider an offer, my mind tells me he will flee to the absolutely exploding market for starting pitchers.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bowser (Post 9757062)
Probably. He's going to get offered a huge contract by someone if he keep this pace up. That type of thinking doesn't sit well with a cheap owner.

We will be unloading a lot of payroll after this season. I wonder how much that would play into it. It isn't like we will be after any big name free agents at any other position. At least I don't think we would.

duncan_idaho 06-17-2013 01:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mr. tegu (Post 9757051)
So is keeping Santana just out of the question?

They'll make a qualifying offer to him, to ensure they get a draft pick in compensation, but it's unlikely he signs a one-year deal.

And I don't think a team like KC can really afford to take the RISK of a 4-year, $60 million deal with Santana. If he reverts/go bad/finally throws one slider too many, that contract becomes crippling.

It's a combination of risk and cost.

Saul Good 06-17-2013 01:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefspants (Post 9757064)
If we're five games back at the deadline, the consensus has been we should hold onto him for a potential playoff run. However, if we're over 10 games back, we should definitely shop him for a better bat at RF or 2B.

I feel like we should consider moving him regardless of our record if the value is there. We have replacements for Santana. We have nothing in RF nor 2b.

Chiefspants 06-17-2013 01:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mr. tegu (Post 9757070)
We will be unloading a lot of payroll after this season. I wonder how much that would play into it. It isn't like we will be after any big name free agents at any other position. At least I don't think we would.

Unfortunately, we might have to unload 3/4th of the team to be able to make a competitive offer toward Santana.

It's important to remember that Zack Greinke (Who Santana is currently outpitching) signed a 6 yr/147m contract last season.

Also, Anibal Sanchez (who did not have Santana's resume) nabbed a 5 yr/80m contract last season.

If Santana continues his incredible production, it's not crazy to suggest that he'll be offered a contract somewhere between (the yearly monetary value of) these two deals (due to his age and propensity for homeruns, I doubt his deal exceeds Greinkes. However, with this market, who knows.)

Why the Royals are out of it might be because we have never offered a contract that exceeds 5/55m.

Chiefspants 06-17-2013 01:36 PM

I will say that I love Santana, and I feel like Kauffman is one of the best home ballparks he could have due to his pitching style, but I doubt we can offer a 4/70 or even a 4/60 to stay competitive for him this offseason.

Would he would sign a team friendly deal (for the ballpark and the team)?

Well, we can dream.


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