If we beat the Pat's and end up 12-4 and the Patriots and up 12-4 we would hold the tie break meaning we would be the #2 unless Houston wins out.

OP Updated

1. Ravens 10-2
2. Patriots 10-2
3. Texans 8-4
4. Chiefs 8-4
5. Bills 9-3
6. Steelers 7-5

Ravens take over top seed.

We have a decent chance at the #2 seed now. We have to beat New England and then they have to drop one more.

Their offense is a dumpster fire and Buffalo can certainly beat them as all things currently stand.

Game isn’t over unless the TD stands

Houston wins.
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/201...7b9777e03a.jpg

But then don't we need Buffalo to drop one as well? Or even two? I have no idea if we own tiebreakers over them.

Nope just need Texans to drop one and we're the two.

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oh shit you right

i imagine baltimore takes care of buffalo next week

we'd be even with them in conference record if everything else holds, so then it goes to strength of victory/schedule, and we got that over them easy

You are right. I was getting mixed up thinking about the Bills getting the bye over us.

Yep. Bills are a much better team. If Tannehill beats us twice then we were not going anywhere anyway. If Mahomes doesn't miss Hill we go up 17-0 on the Titans and I doubt we lose. The Bills have a fantastic secondary and a running QB like Allen could pick up big 3rd downs on the road.

yeah we'd also need the texans to drop one

better hope TEN can help us out there

We’re not losing another game till next year.

What month next year?

love you bro

October or early November.

I worded that wrong.

Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain

The thing that sucks is with New England or Baltimore wherever we play you cant predict the weather. I'm pretty confident even with good weather dont score 40 on either. That wind really ****ed up Mahomes game today which I think is a key competent in beating either team in January.

You hope we don’t run into that stuff when it matters most but it’ll cause issues for all teams.

Brady in mucky cold weather, what Lamar showed today... it was awful as far as passing goes.

Just gotta battle til the end.

Weather cuts both ways, but the bottom line is we’ll need to stop the run (including the QB) and cover RB’s better than we have shown at times.

If we can do that, the offense will do their part.

Baltimore is going to wind up with HFA.

Well the big thing is playing 2 games instead of 2. Unless you believe Houston will win out which I dont. I believe the best scenario for us is to win out and either

1. Baltimore loses 2 more games

2. New England loses tonight. We beat them and either Buffalo beats them or they have another fluke loss.

It's an outside chance for us of course but it's out best chance.

We will beat them.

They were hot when we played them last time and we curb stomped them.

I honestly don’t think they will beat Buffalo.

We will be the 2 seed at 12-4

Baltimore could easily lose at home if they play a team that can stop the run.

Lamar isn't going to beat you passing, period.

Bills
Jets
Browns
Steelers

I guess they -could- drop 2 of those.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The Bills quietly control their own destiny for the #1 seed in the AFC. <a href="https://t.co/mbsqNpnjsq">https://t.co/mbsqNpnjsq</a></p>&mdash; Brandon Kiley (@BKSportsTalk) <a href="https://twitter.com/BKSportsTalk/status/1201361091521064960?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">December 2, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Baltimore could easily lose their QB in the next month. Its bullshit people said Mahomes was getting hit too much but a QB who's carrying the ball like a RB 10-15 times a game with a smaller frame isnt taking too many hits.

This isnt college football.

The key to beating Baltimore is jumping out to a first quarter lead.

This is why it’s imperative that Andy and Mahomes work out the kinks before playoff time. I’m sure they will.

We’re one Lamar injury away from being the favorite in the AFC.

**** Baltimore.

**** NE.

**** Buffalo.

This Chiefs team is going to win out

DAMN ****IN STRAIGHT!!!!!

We were killing Baltimore 30-13 with 13 minutes left in the game before we went into that soft prevent crap.

They were hot coming in and we shut them down and ran them off the field.

And no Tyreek

KC wont get a first round bye this year. But if they can stay healthy and play like they did today, they won't need one.

This.

If you don't believe this, get off the Mahomes train right now.

You're not a fan.

There's still a lot of possibilities in play.

This is going to be a fun month of football.

What needs to happen for us to get a bye:

We win out against

@NE
Denver
@Chicago
Chargers

Very doable, maybe even probable.

NE loses a game against

Cincy - nope
Buffalo - Buffalo has a great chance to win this one
Miami - Miami has consistently upset them numerous times over the years.

For us to get the #1 seed, those things need to happen AND

Baltimore needs to lose 2 of these games:

@Bills #2 total defense..13th against the run
Jets #6 total defense...#1 run defense
@Browns #15 total defense...24th against the run
Steelers #5 total defense....11 run defense...this game will be very hard fought division battle.

It’s certainly not a gimme that they don’t drop 2 of those.

Yeah I don't know about that Bills line. Patriots loss tonight was not a common game with Buffalo, doesn't hurt NE in the tiebreaker with them.

If you're going to get crazy here, you also have to include Houston losing a game and Buffalo losing, maybe twice. Chiefs are technically 5th in the conference as it stands now. We need to worry about beating the Patriots. We lose that game next week and it'll probably be hard to climb out of the 4 seed.

Agreed...but we’re not gonna lose another game.

It’s gonna suck if we miss the #1 seed by 1 game after giving away that Titans game...but this team is getting hot at the right time.

If Frank Clark’s injury isn’t serious, that could definitely change my outlook.

1. #Ravens (10-2) at BUF, NYJ, at CLE, PIT

1. #Patriots (10-2) vs KC, at CIN, vs BUF, MIA

3. #Texans (8-4) vs DEN, at TEN, at TB, TEN

4. #Chiefs (8-4) at NE, vs DEN, at CHI, LA

The odds of us getting a bye is less than 10% IMO. If we lose next week I think the odds of us getting the 3 seed are less than 10%.

According to Rany J IF we win out odds of a bye stand at 59%. I watched that Bills Pats game. I see the Bills getting revenge in that one.

That doesn't mean shit to us, as long as the Pats lose, that's all that matters. Bills don't have to win the division, just have to beat the Pats.

If we lose next week we can't pass the Patriots. If the Texans won we'd essentially be 2 behind them with 3 to play.

Well theoretically if the Bills won out and we beat the Patriots, the Bills would get the bye and not us.

It seems like the bottom line is that if we win out and NE (in addition to ours), Buffalo, and Houston each lose one more game then we will have a bye. The one seed also remains in play but requires all of the above plus two Baltimore losses.

This team is very competitive on the road. It has a decent shot of winning at NE/Bal/Buf in the playoffs. I am more worried about that home game on wildcard weekend.
But first order of things is to go 12-4 and let the chips fall where they may.

If we beat NE next week and Buffalo beats the Ravens then the Bills are the #1 seed

I'd take my chances despite how tough Buffalo could be in January playing the Pats round 1 here opposed to going to New England with a bye

TEX is going to be pissed at you for being unrealistic.

And what team(s) would that be at this point? :hmmm:

Idk if the Chiefs can stop the run for a whole game but we know they can get up a few scores and that's the key to beating Baltimore.

Ryan Clark

https://youtu.be/7LFuYkhT1dw

****ing bizarroland, ain’t it.

Told you.

The next Power Rankings should go:

1. Ravens
2. Niners
3. Saints
4. Chiefs
5. Seahawks
6. Texans
7. Patriots
8. Packers
9. Bills
10. Vikings

Well, we need to have a running game for that to work. Hunt being wasted over there in Cleveland as a backup for a going nowhere team.

How many times when the Chiefs can stop the run?

So if we win out, the Pats would need to drop another one. Need the Texans to lose one as well. They have the Titans twice so hopefully they'll drop one there.

Ravens aren't losing 2 i doubt, but I just don't know that I see them being 14-2.

Need the Steelers and Bills to do some damage for us.

There is virtually no realistic scenario where we can get the #2 seed after taking another loss. As it is currently, our only path is to win out and hope the Bills take down the Pats also and the Texans drop one more.

The Titan loss really forced us into this very very narrow path to get a bye.

Chiefs just have to do their part and let the chips fall where they may.

Play good football.

Frustrating to look at...we should be 10-2 and the 1 seed right now.

Still think the 2 seed is attainable, gotta be the goal now.

The Achilles' heel of the Chiefs is stopping the run. Looking at the four games that were lost:

Colts: Mack ran 132 yds
Texans: Hyde ran 116 yds
Packers: Rogers threw the final td but they did collectively run over 100 yds
Titans: Hill ran 157 yds

In playoff, teams will use this blueprint to go against the Chiefs.

The Ravens are the cream of the crop in the AFC. They've won however many in a row and have beat some damn good teams.

So if the Ravens some how lose to Buffalo and we steam roll NE then the Bills will have a shot at winning the division over the Patriots in week 16.

That would give me wood!

Yeah, if Buffalo can beat the Ravens and the Chiefs beat NE, it would be for the division that week.

The Bills need to lose another one for sure though.

Who is Hill on the Titans? Do you mean Henry?

Anyway, CP said that running on the Chiefs is not how to beat them. There was an article, with real life stats and everything, posted here before the Colts game that "proved" that narrative wrong. Go back and pull it up and read all the CP logic that was in agreement with it. LMAO

That Packers game was where Rodgers killed us with passes to his RBs. Our LBs are too slow footed for coverage. So you put in an extra DB, and they run at you.

My mistake. It turned out the Titans ran 225 yds collectively.

It's not as black and white as that, though.

The Titans beat us because of special teams mistakes and Tannehill throwing all over us at the end.

Aaron Rodgers beat us, not Green Bay's running game.

Not what beat the Chiefs.

The Patriots game will be a ton of Edelman and a scary James White. If we keep those guys under control, we win. Thats IT!

Need to do what the Texans did, double those two guys at all times.

Most likely scenario for the Chiefs to get a bye as the 2 seed is this.

wk 14: Ravens beat Bills, Chiefs beat Pats, Houston beats broncos

wk15: Chiefs beat Broncos, Tennessee beats Houston, Bills beat Steelers, Pats beat Bengals, Ravens beat Jets

wk 16: Bills beat Pats, Ravens beat browns, Chiefs beat Bears, Houston doesnt matter

wk17: Pats beat fins, bills beat jets, Chiefs beat chargers, houston vs ten doesnt matter

1 - Ravens 14-2
2 - Chiefs 12-4
3 - Pats 12-4
4 - Houston 11-5
5 - Buffalo 12-4
6 - Steelers 9-7 - or whatever you want here.

You can interchange a Houston loss anywhere they just need to drop one. Pats just need to drop 2 more somewhere but i thought this was most likely. Ravens i don't think are losing anymore games although it could happen, again most likely to me that would also give the Bills an L we'd need.

Yeah, that's how it will have to play out I think. Ravens aren't likely to lose 2 now, so need them to beat Buffalo and Buffalo to beat NE.

I actually love that scenario. Pats as the 3 seed could go beat Baltimore in the Divisional Round. Belichik seeing that offense twice is huge.

I think we would beat Houston or whoever at home off a bye.

Set up an AFC Title rematch at home against an aging QB who finally didn’t get a bye and is traveling for the second straight week.

3 seed is coming to KC if they win.

Shit you’re right. Never mind. I still like that scenario though.

If you can get the bye, you take it and don't worry about the rest.

Just having to win 2 vs 3 is always better.

And it would be tough for Hou to pass the Pats to get the 3 seed because they would have to have 4 losses which would then put them ahead of us. So NE going to BAL before going to us is very unlikely.

Honestly any type of bye would be icing on the cake at this point. I think back to Mahomes in Denver. That night I would have signed up for a healthy Mahomes and getting the 3 or 4 seed in a heartbeat.

Yeah, if the Texans Chiefs and Pats all finish at 12-4, would we end up with the 3 or 2?

3 way tie would have the Texans move on due to head to head sweep. From there they would revert to 2 team tie breaker where Chiefs win via head to head as well. So we would be the 3 NE the 4. So I guess technically NE could come to us but not with us having a bye as well.