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unless you don't like Carpenter |
If Santana would be enough to help position you for Oct and to advance, there is no price too high. If there is, that price certainly isn't Wong.
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Woooo another pitching prospect! The Astros have some outstanding arms developing in the minors... might even add Carlos Rodon next year. Im happy. Maxwell was shit. Norris trade wasn't much, but oh well. JUST KEEP TANKING!
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The difference between Santana and Joe Kelly for another month is not worth Kolten Wong. |
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Santana would be your #2. |
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Lance Lynn: 3.75 xFIP Shelby Miller: 3.35 xFIP Ervin Santana: 3.50 xFIP You could make an argument that Santana would be the number 3, but his WAR is actually less than Lynn. It's quite likely that the Cardinals do with Wacha/Martinez what the Rays did with Matt Moore two years ago. It's a damned sight better option than Westbrook/Kelly. |
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Long-term, both those guys might be better than Santana. But neither gives you this year what Santana would. Don't let Santana's bad season a year ago fool you. Santana is having an excellent season, and isn't by fluky measures. Miller has been awesome, and I won't argue with slotting Santana behind him (though I'm concerned about how Miller stretches out as the season goes on). |
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Santana's slider is a devastating pitch, and he's pitched well this year, but his fastball is mediocre. Wacha's fastball already grades out as a superior pitch. His change is not in the same class, but he also has a developing curve.
Furthermore, you have to think about what we'd be asking Santana to do: hold down a rotation spot until rosters expand. The difference between Santana and Kelly is significant, but marginal over the course of a month. I don't know why Royals fans expect the Cardinals to act desperate and irrationally. Dayton Moore is your GM, not ours. |
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However, common sense says that facing an 8-man lineup every night would make things a bit easier, not to mention facing anemic offenses like Chicago and Pitts. '13 Santana would be having a statistically disgusting year for you guys. |
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xFIP = ((13*(Flyballs * League-average HR/FB rate))+(3*(BB+HBP))-(2*K))/IP + constant |
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