Lamar Jackson threw 36 TDs against Miami, Arizona, the Jets, Clevelandx2, Cincyx2, Pittsburghx2, et al.

We did the same thing to them in week 3 that Tennessee did on Saturday- get up on them and force them to throw. Jackson started heaving ducks and jump balls. And they lost.

That offense is predicated on Derrick Henry. Period. Tannehill has a completion percentage of almost 76% and a passer rating of 143 when throwing out of play action, which he does over a quarter of the time. If you can take that away by jumping out to a big lead Tannehill will still be decent but not unstoppable.

I agree.... we have to get them off the field on 3rd/4th down. Then score the TD. I wonder if we see a lot of 46 defense in this game? I wonder about playing a 5 down lineman set to confuse the blocking versus a 4 man line .

Is Tannehill mobile?

Forgot about that and they only sacked Mahomes twice.

That game was also the only game that Hill had over 100 yds receiving with 157 and I forgot about the fact he got hurt in the 2nd quarter IIRC and missed the next 3 weeks.

The Titans have won with their QB throwing for a combined 150 yards in two games.

Over my life, I've seen the chiefs have great running games. I know how that works in the playoffs when you get behind.

Top 5 passer rating for a single season... Rodgers, Peyton, Foles... Tannehill is 4th. People are sleeping in Tannehill. He can dime it into places you shouldn't even throw if it's less than 15 yards and might be the most accurate passer I've seen throwing on the run. And he throws 40 yard bombs on the money. Plus he has massive targets. People are really underestimating what he can do. He also scores pretty much anytime the Titans are in red zone.

There's a reason he got dumped by Miami......he is basically at best Alex Smith. If you get ahead of them and take them out of their game he is going to struggle.

We need the Bellicheck scheme, Take away their best player. Make someone else beat you.

We need to blitz every play. Fill running lanes. 8 men in the box, Go man on man outside. Force Tannehill to beat us throwing the ball. Seems pretty simple plan to me. Execution could trip up the plan but how else would you scheme it?

Also, take the ball if you win the coin flip. Try to get up early and force them out of running the ball the catch up.

Reid said he designed some plays for use against the Patriots, right? Now's as good a time as any to break those bad boys out.

"counteracting some of the comments being made . . ." is essentially trying to develop an argument. A case. But that's semantics . . .


I wouldn't describe Tannehill as a "nobody." I think it's more accurate to describe him as "limited." He doesn't seem to possess elite arm strength or talent. He pre-snap reads are only correct about half the time. He often doesn't find the open receiver when blitzed/pressured.

But he's tough, mobile, a tough tackle, and isn't scared to pull the trigger in any moment. Whoever is running the TEN offense seems to be getting about as much efficiency out of Tannehill as he can, but as we saw in the Patriots game, put him consistently in 3rd-and-long situations, and Tannehill has trouble converting for 1st downs. Part of that might've been the lack of elite weapons available, or maybe inconsistent play-calling, or even variable play design quality. Or maybe a combination of all of the above.

Regardless, Tannehill had a lot of trouble converting 3rd downs with his arm against the Patriots. And some trouble again against the Ravens, if we can use the "50% of possessions resulting in a score" statistic as a ruler.

Lamar has some of the same limitation issues as a passer. He doesn't possess elite level accuracy. His pre-snap reads are driven entirely on what his pre-snap motion tells him. And he's wrong often. He doesn't have elite talent at receiver. He doesn't have much ability to manipulate defenses in-play with either his eyes or his body yet. And he doesn't throw with very much anticipation. Consequently, GR has designed a passing attack that is predicated on getting to 3rd and short, using motion to overload one side, and short throws on one read designs.

Force him to sit in the pocket and read a defense and he has trouble. At least right now.

Overall, I think that Tannehill is a better, or more well-rounded QB than Lamar, but that's obvious; Tannehill has more than a decade more experience in the NFl to work with.

You just play them the way the Patriots did yes Henry got his but they scored 14 points on offense, they do that here and they lose.

He played WR in college, IIRC. He can run and knows how to be a little shifty.

I personally thought Titans might lose until they prevented the 2pt conversion. I can see the point that QBs and coaches play different based on circumstances. I watched Vince Young comeback against Cardinals and Giants. Down 21 in 4th. Going 99 yards in 2 minutes. McNair a yard short to Dyson in Super Bowl. Titans music City miracle. I'm more just reminiscing now :)

I'm pretty surprised the line is -7.5 for Chiefs.

That’s just for the first quarter.

Not overconfident in any way. I thought Titans would lose to Patriots, Ravens and now Chiefs. But the posters here think Tannehill setting records is garbage, that MVP Lamar us overrated and one playoff win merits an automatic win. Titans are not a 9-7 team. Mariota was 2-4 and Tannehill is 9-3 knocking off the best team in the NFL. People are saying Titans defense sucks and offense has no weapons outside of Henry. I guess Ravens and Patriots have nobody and the entire NFL sucks, trophy already belongs to the Chiefs.

Vegas thinks that TEN will run all over us; partly they're using stats from the regular season game. They think that the Chiefs offense will be as inefficient scoring as they were back in week 10, or whatever. They're giving a nod to the Titans defense; they think they forced us to kick FGs, not that we simply weren't in sync. Some books might figure it out and the line will move. Maybe 2 points. Already took the -7.5. Definitely not going to see a better number than that.

The Titans pass D sucks and they got lucky enough to play 2 teams that suck at throwing the ball.

Yep.

Well it is called The Lamar Hunt Trophy after all.

Who's that?

Hopefully that works out for the Chiefs. Since Lamar Jackson did it against teams he beat, I guess Tannehill will win against the Chiefs, agaun. Patriots beat the Dolphins, until they didn't. I'm not sure why people can't grasp that the regular season no longer matters in the playoffs.

This is the type of game that will emphasize how big of a pick up Suggs is. He’s not a young energetic rusher anymore, but he’s a damn good run defender on the edge.

I’d like up in a beat front with 3 DT’s and have Clark/Suggs on the edge with Ragland crashing running lanes.

Over-confident would be believing you'll score 50 points when it happened 1 time out of 17 games just because it happened the other day one time. Titans already beat the Chiefs one time. Vikings and Rams great offenses are enjoying not winning a Super Bowl. Maga

I'm not sure why people can't grasp that the regular season no longer matters in the playoffs.

Titans already beat the Chiefs one time.

LMAO couldn't even go 1 post without contradicting yourself.

It didn't. Just like the Ravens and Patriots playing at home with a better record than the Titans.

Yeah, Suggs is perfect for going against the Titans. It will be really interesting to see what Spags does with this D against Henry. The prospect of 3 DTs + Suggs and Clark on the edge is something I hadn't considered before. I like how you think.

Oh GTFO. You’re the noob, no one on here thinks the Patriots or Ravens suck. You can find posts from yours truly as recent as last Saturday/Sunday where I said that Tennessee isn’t a true 9-7 team and would give the Ravens a battle.

They still shouldn’t win this AFCCG and the odds reflect that. Doesn’t mean they won’t.

The Titans are playing well....I expect them to give the Chiefs a fight. Henry is a truck & I do think it's possible they could win.

But they're bringing a popgun offense to town. Tannyhill threw for like 100 yards both games. That ain't gonna work. Their only hope is for the Chiefs to screw around offensively. For more than one quarter apparently judging by yesterday.

Chiefs cover.

Personally, I’m looking past the Titans. I’m focused on whether the Chiefs SB opponent will be Green Bay or San Fran.

That's a fair assessment...and if KC was rolling into the AFCCG by beating both the Patriots/Raven, on the road, we would all be ecstatic. Your team just completed the Chiefs worst-case-scenario...nobody, here, wanted those 2 teams on the road.

Titans absolutely deserve to be playing next Sunday...they earned it.

That said...Mahomes being down 24-0 then coming back was probably the worst case scenario for Tennessee. Chiefs are awake now...that was some seriously transcendent offense. They also lost the previous match-up...so nothing will be taken for granted.

It's really, really hard to win 3 times, on the road, in the playoffs.

Chiefs points scored: 451
Titans points scored: 402

Chiefs offensive yards: 6,067
Titans offensive yards: 5,805

Chiefs point differential: +143
Titans point differential: +71

Patrick Mahomes is the best player in football.

Add in..

Chiefs points allowed: 308
Titans points allowed: 331

Chiefs record: 12-4
Titans record: 9-7

Chiefs finished season going 7-0 with their last game being a blitzkreig over the team that won the Titans division.

Titans needed to beat a resting Texans squad to even make the playoffs before beating Zombie Brady and the best throwing runningback in the league

Cute is right.

Really hope Jones is ready to rock and the whole DL for that matter. Tennessee’s OL has been pushing people around up front.

This game will be a great tuneup for a potential matchup with SF, if both teams win.

Chiefs did that yesterday too

Dolphins dumped everyone. Because their coaches are terrible. Not surprising guys like Tannehill and Stills are good on teams that can make the playoffs. How is top 10 passer rating, top 10 completion percentage, top 10 yards per attempt basically like Alex Smith. All-time... Not top 10 this season but all-time. In his first year with a new team. I guess you'll see next week but don't be surprised if forced to throw he'll go off. Even the other day he had 3tds to Henry's 1.

No previous outcome MATTERS in the playoffs, but what they show us about matchups and tendencies can inform expectations of outcomes.

Lamar Jackson is a great QB and a good player. But at this stage in his career, he also kind of needs the game to stay on schedule/script to be effective as a passer.

It’s not dissimilar to Tannehill, actually. Who is best when the play-action game is set up and he’s in third and medium or less.

Tannehill fits that scheme and setup nicely. He still has things to prove when he consistently faces 3rd and long, as we saw against New England.


I like that alignment, especially if Jones is healthy and is lined up like a 34 DE. Saunders-Pennel-Jones would be a pretty good combo of size and athleticism.

I am not over confidant the Titans have been Reid's kryptonite. I think he is 1-7 against them.

Hey guys. And ladies. Remember the narrative last year. Chiefs against the Colts in the playoffs. How to get over that based on history. We did. And in a big way. Now here comes the Titans. Same scenario. But we have a different team than earlier this year and past years. That will make a difference.

Those stats are great and show Tannehill operating efficiently within the framework of the Titans’ offense.

But this is a fan base that watched Alex Smith for five years. We understand how much the offense and scheme and playing within it bumped up Smith’s passer rating, completion percentage, and even YPA. It also saw how flat Smith fell when the offense got off schedule and was faced with playoff defenses and elite QBs.

From what I’ve seen of Tannehill and the Titans, it’s a fair comparison.

Chiefs offense was #7 in yards this year after setting an NFL record for yards per play last year. I really think the 2018 offense is back now that Mahomes and the line are healthy. How many times in NFL post-season history has a team scored a TD on 7 straight drives?

I'm glad mahomes blew up and went crazy yesterday, scoring 50 points and showing everyone that the titans "have zero chance" of beating the chiefs.

Its exactly what we need, the same narrative vrabels been riding all postseason. I would be terrified if i was a chiefs fan. But dont be, keep on being over confident.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Chiefs?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Chiefs</a> hosting the AFC title game again this year has me driving to work like ... <a href="https://t.co/GJ0d94AFQf">pic.twitter.com/GJ0d94AFQf</a></p>&mdash; BJ Kissel (@ChiefsReporter) <a href="https://twitter.com/ChiefsReporter/status/1216743991649165312?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 13, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

It’s because Tannehill’s success is heavily dependent on the run. If you lessen the probability of the run, play-action becomes much less effective.

I haven’t watch Tennessee play outside of the Chiefs and Ravens games, but the factor above is why many are comparing Tannehill to Smith. If the run is removed from their game plan, can Tannehill still perform to the level needed?

Eh, it works both ways. If I was a Titans fan I'd be scared shitless of the fact that the Chiefs played the absolute worst mistake ridden football imaginable for almost 20 minutes of game time then ended up blowing out the other team.

I'm terrified because I am a Chiefs fan.

But it ain't because of the Titans.

Vrabel and his boys will do the best they can to keep dragging the game back into the stone age. I don't suspect Reid will oblige them.

It's a perfect set up because the Chiefs need to flush every ****ing New England turd possible.

You're going to have to try harder to troll.

There are some dummy loudmouths predicting 51-0 Chiefs.

Most of us are well aware of how tough the Titans are.

Most of us know you're 9-3 since switching to Tannehill.

Most of us know Derrick Henry is ****ing Earl Campbell in his prime.

We SHOULD win this game, because as we learned for the last 50 years, when it comes to play-off wins, great QB's will generally beat the game managers.

We wandered in the desert for longer than Moses.

Now we have Patrick Mahomes.

Most of us have great respect for everything that Vrabel and the Titans have accomplished so far.

Derrick Henry is frightening.

In the end, I think we will just have too much horsepower for them.

But this will be a very, very tough game.

You beat us on complete flukes last time and you know it.

Gimpy Mahomes torched your D.

Playing on the road is absolutely a talking point because it’s a huge hurdle to get to the Super Bowl.
Since the wild-card round of the playoffs started in 1970, ONLY 10 wild-card teams (playing on the road) have advanced to the Super Bowl. That is approximately 7% success rate.

Lol, fans don't play the games, players do.

And the Chiefs remember losing to the Titans in Tennessee in fluky fashion with some awful special teams play. Hell, Frank Clark even brought it up in his post game interview. 'Didn't they best us at their place, earlier? Yeah, we owe them one. Period.'

Chiefs players are VERY focused and know what's coming. They were in this position last year. No one on that team is overlooking the Titans. They are on a mission to finish what they failed to do last year.

Good luck.

No kidding.

The Chiefs played the sloppiest 1st quarter I’ve ever seen from a team. And won by 20.

But Jeff Fisher says sign me up!

Is it confirmed whether Tannehill plans on passing for more than 90 yards this week? That will greatly impact my scared-ness.

Good luck with that

with a suspect line. Mahomes was really get the ball out of his hand quickly that game -- more so than any game in his career.

Terrified? Seriously? We’ve exercised huge demons the last two seasons. I’m done with being terrified as a Chiefs fan. I’m looking forward to the game and while I respect what your team has done this season, I fully expect to be hoisting the Lamar Hunt trophy next Sunday afternoon.

You know what’s crazy guys?

Mahomes was playing on a healing ankle in his first game back from his knee injury.

Erving was the LT. Rankin tore his ACL in this game. Schwartz got hurt and played on a hurt ankle. We had no cohesion on the OL at that time.

Mahomes still put up 446 yards and 3 TD’s.

Mahomes destroyed these guys playing injured with a defective OL.

He’s going scorched Earth on Sunday

The only people that should be terrified when it comes to the Chiefs are the people that have to face Patrick Mahomes.

We absolutely cannot start out slow this game. If we do that again....it’s going to be tough to come back. For the love of ****ing God.....start scoring points in the first quarter.

He’s not “going off” chap. He’s ****ed, congrats getting this far but exit stage left. Enjoy the moment because your time is coming and there’s nothing you can do about it. You’re merely a speed bump on the way to a title. It’s our turn.

Let us know how heavy it is bro!

It's going to be tough coming back against a run-first team that Mahomes torched for 450+ earlier in the season?

I don't want to start out slowly either, but this is an odd statement.

I think it's funny that Titans fans are on here laughing at the overconfidence of the Chiefs fans, yet go to their message board and read and EVERYONE there expects the Titans to dominate the Chiefs in Arrowhead and roll into the Super Bowl. ROFL

Yeah, cause the Titans just 'dominated' the Chiefs in Week 10. Lol. Chiefs put up, what, 500+ total yards offense? Couldn't stop them then. Chiefs were missing several key players and it still took two fluky special teams gaffes in the last 5 minutes of the game for them to pull it out.

So, again, lol. More power to you all if you really believe you're gonna come in here and roll us next Sunday.

We'll see how that works out for you.

We’ve seen it happen. They have the offensive line and Henry to keep it out of Mahomes hands. I’m not saying it’s guaranteed but I’d rather they start out strong.

Agreed.

It’s obvious that Vrabel is going to run the same exact playbook that Bill ran in the AFCCG.

Their only hope is running the ball and keeping Mahomes off the field.

Metaphorically you damned literalist!LMAOLMAOLMAO

I was actually thinking that when we were down 21-0 and they picked up that 3rd down near our 20.

I'm standing there thinking "okay, hold them to a FG here, get a score, get a stop, get a score. Go into half down 24-14, score on the opening possession and at 24-21, they'll be heeled and we've got a good shot. But man, if this were the Titans, we'd probably be in a world of shit right now..."

Because yeah, you spot TN a 21 point lead and they can do a lot to bleed the clock on you.

I agree 100% with Andy to defer to the 2nd half precisely because it allows you to do what KC did yesterday. And I think I'd do it if the Chiefs win the toss next week. Buuuuuut....against TN I'd think a little harder. There's a real advantage to getting out in front of them early and as much as a 10-0 lead against them might be more valuable than a chance to double-dip over the halves.

It's NOT gonna happen, but I would agree that IF the Chiefs got down 24-0 against the Titans, like they did the Texans, they would probably be screwed.

Now that being said, there's NO ****ING WAY that happens.

The first quarter against the Texans was every bit fluky. The final 3 quarters proved that out.

The week 10 4th quarter against the Titans was fluky. The Chiefs dominated the majority of that game. Even with injuries and it just being Mahomes first game back from the knee injury.

If both teams show up and play their 'A' game, Chiefs win walking away. It would take a C- effort from the Chiefs and some other fluky shit to lose this game. Not saying it's not ENTIRELY IMPOSSIBLE, but, yeah, it's not happening.

Chiefs will be in the Super Bowl in 3 weeks. Mark it down.

lol yup I definitely have battered Chief syndrome.

Would this be a game where if we won the toss Reid doesn't defer?

If anything, they'd be better served to come out playing with a bit of confidence and moxie. That first quarter was an abomination of scared, anxious, and desperate football from the coaching staff on down, with the surprising exceptions of Mahomes and Reid.

I'd still defer. Just always give me the chance to double dip. Especially with this offense.

We also know as KC fans that a freight train be derailed from time to time :D

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They're everything that has gotten the Chiefs beat for years and years...

"We're gonna run the ball and be physical with our game manager QB and play good defense" how many years did we do that shit and get beat by the team with the elite QB?

Shit I totally forgot Butker missed an extra point, a bad snap ruined another FG and then the last one was blocked.

That is some fluky shit

They need to clean that shit up.

You can’t say it’s not going to happen because it just ****ing did.

I also thought I heard/read a stat where TN dominates teams in the 3rd quarter this season. That could factor into Andy's decision.

alot but because of my BCSD I could see us on the losing end. Once we get to the SB hopefully my BCSD will go away. :D