Henry is the issue. He is going to get his yards. Probably around 150 or so. It would be great if we could somehow hold him below 60 in the first half, but I just don't know how we do that given our season-long situation at LB. Spags is definitely going to have to come up with some wizardry to make anything like that happen.

However . . .

As I've stated before, the Titans are not efficient with their drives. They end up stalling out and punting about 60% of their drives, going all the way back to our meeting in week 10. In that game they only scored on 4 possessions.

The Chiefs offense scores on over 60% of possessions. So even if Henry gets his season average, I think the Chiefs will end up out-scoring the Titans.

And in our previous metting it was Pat's first game back and he was just a little rusty.

Yet he still threw for 446 yards and 3 TDs. And missed at least two relatively ordinary TD throws.

I'm going to keep doing my research, but right now I just don't see how TEN keeps up, unless we have a hurricane during the game.

Recall how all season we bitched about the Titans loss. Wow, loss got them in and they took out NE and Baltimore, and got us Suggs, and we still got home field throughout. And now we get to show what a fluke that game was. Destiny.

You seem nice! Unfortunately, we're going to kick your ass!

Good luck. ;)

Kelce doesn’t get enough credit for being how good he is

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">����right here is super star stuff by <a href="https://twitter.com/tkelce?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@tkelce</a> for the <a href="https://twitter.com/Chiefs?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Chiefs</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/Chiefs?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Chiefs</a> fans show 87 some love here this is dope to free up <a href="https://twitter.com/TooLoose26?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@TooLoose26</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/ArrowheadPride?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@ArrowheadPride</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/RealMNchiefsfan?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@RealMNchiefsfan</a> <a href="https://t.co/KmzKnKwwsf">pic.twitter.com/KmzKnKwwsf</a></p>&mdash; Dan Orlovsky (@danorlovsky7) <a href="https://twitter.com/danorlovsky7/status/1216777285120004098?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 13, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

So another piece of statistical data: The Chiefs allow about 50% of opponent's offensive drives inside the red-zone to end in a TD. Good enough for 10th most difficult RZ defense to score upon.

The Titans, OTOH, allow opposing offenses to score inside the RZ at a Texans' like clip of 68% of the time. The only team in the league that allows more TDs in the RZ is . . . the Texans at 71%.

Another area of significance is QB pressures/knockdowns. The Chiefs average 8.8% QB KDs/play (9th), while the Titans are dead last in the league at 4.5%. We send a blitz about 29%/plays, TEN does about 26%/play. But the Chiefs knock the QB down more often. This might be significant to the game, especially if we can get a two score lead and force TEN to pass more. The ability to turn Suggs, Jones and Clark loose more often per drive should be a difference-maker.

But that stat about RZ defensive efficiency might be the most important advanced stat between these two teams. Again, in the week 10 meeting, the Chiefs only converted 3 of 7 scoring drives into TDs, well below not only the team average, but also below the NFL average against TEN. If our offense can play to at least 80% of the efficiency displayed yesterday, that would be at least 2 more Chiefs TDs in that game.

Bottom line, if Andy and Pat can get our receivers to catch the ball, our offense should score a TD on about 7 out of 10 possessions. Or at about the same efficiency that they did against the Texans.

Conversely, our defense held the Titans to slightly below their season average scoring in the RZ.

Assuming the Chiefs offense doesn't start the game with a bunch of dropped passes and stalled drives, they should be able to establish a lead early in the game. That will be key to limiting Henry's impact on the game, IMO.

I’d stack the box. Play Sorenson at the LOS and play man

Spas is also gonna dial up run blitzes.

Keeping the Titans off down and distance schedule is key.

And don’t make special teams blunders spotting them 14 points

run blitzes are a good idea; get to Henry before he gets going. Send LB'ers in the A and B gaps.

He's a long striding big back.

Your best bet is to get him as soon after the hand-off as possible, before he gets revved up.

100% agree. The last thing you want is for him to be running at your defense full steam. That's a recipe for disaster.

Just hit “reply” to quote a single post. The multi quote lets you respond to multiple posts at once - once engaged, every post you click on will highlight and be quoted when you hit the reply button.

Question I haven’t found an answer on from other Titans fans: What’s Jayon Brown’s status? Is he expected to play and/or be healthy?

I know he’s your best coverage LB; seems like a massive dropoff from him to Woodward.

Can we invite that Texans Bill guy to bang the drum?

How could that not be the plan> Sell out with everyone in the box to stop the run, Go one on one outside. Make Tannehill beat you. A shootout with Tannehill vs. Mahomes. who wins that battle?:thumb:

Nick Wright actually made a good point about the potential game plan.

Sell out to stop the run early while you’re building a lead presumably, then shift to more 2 high safety looks as the game goes on.

That’s an underrated plan of attack that really only KC can rely on with their offense.