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Mizzou might be playing this deal just right.
Sooner rather than later, I would guess the Big 12 gets tired of their shit and would just like to see them gone. Don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out. |
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Incidentally, if you think that the Big XII is going to get some fat new contract without aTm, Nebraska, or Colorado, you're more optimistic than I am. |
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What the hell good does it do to hold Mizzou hostage? Does it really make a league look attractive to other schools? As long as Mizzou is trying to escape, there will be zero stability to the conference. |
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Kind of like the girlfriend caught cheating the second time, its over and she should not have been given a second chance. |
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It may be better to again avoid the ugliness of a court fight and negotiate another settlement, but that is up to the conference. Mizzou is not entitled to a settlement if the Big 12 decides they want to play hardball, they have to convince a judge to ignore their contract. |
All that said, I think Neinas' public statements that basically signalled a possible unwillingness to bend on the 2 year 90% penalty is stupid. The conference gains nothing from this, either they have the right to the penalty or not. Feel free to talk behind the scenes, but they shouldn't be publicly waving it in MU's face like this.
If MU were to voluntarily decide not to leave, they would need to do so out of a perceived position of strength, as if they were magnanimously doing it for the good of the rivalry. Now, if MU doesn't leave (and people in the SEC don't come out saying they didn't want MU or something), some might perceive that the Big 12 bullied them into staying because of the penalty. Because of this bonehead move by the commissioner, I think Mizzou only stays if the SEC decides they'd rather have an East team to balance out the divisions, leaving MU with no options, but still pissed at the Big 12 and ready to leave ASAP, basically another TA&M situation. |
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If I'm Mizzou, I'm probably going to be so outraged by this development, that if I had any inkling at all of staying, that is gone now. If, as Mizzou, I have an SEC invite in my pocket, I don't wait. Screw the penalty, fight it in court, and even if I lose, I rely on increased alumni donations and/or bigger SEC payments to tide me over, and even if that doesn't happen, I just eat the penalty rather than allow the public to perceive that MU is meekly crawling back under the cloud of a monetary threat by the Big 12.
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If an intact conference loses a member and settles for $6 million, what damages are due when a member leaves after 27% of their original partners have left? I would say that if this goes all the way through the courts (which won't happen), there is a better chance of a judge ruling that the contract signed by Mizzou has been voided by the loss of members than for Mizzou to be forced to pay more than Nebraska or Colorado settled for. I stand by my estimate of 3-6 million. |
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What we are receiving is nothing short of abuse by the commissioner. Why the **** would we stay in a conference that treats its remaining members this way? |
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