duncan_idaho |
04-21-2014 10:26 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Deberg_1990
(Post 10575791)
Yea, i dont truly believe he will stay this bad the whole year. He will most likely bounce back of course. But by how much? 15 HRs and 60-70 RBIs? Not good enough IMO.
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Key point is slugging percentage. Due to his slow start, he's going to have a hard time posting a great one unless he has an equally hot stretch or two.
It's not just about HR, though. If Butler hits .300 with 15 HR and 40 2B the rest of the way, he's probably going to SLG in the .460 range (assuming about 525 at-bats, .300/15 HR/40 2B would put his slug at .463).
That's good enough to be a productive 4 hitter for the Royals (and many teams in baseball). And would be basically in line with his career averages.
It's going to require him "getting right," though, and proving that last season was an outlier and the start to this year was a fluke.
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