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There was a guy who made a killing in the lockout season. You know why? He bet the under in every game. His philosophy was that with teams playing more games back to back and more four out of fives that scoring would be depressed. He was right. |
Mark Cuban's blog:
Back to Backs in the NBA Posted on December 21, 2005 I dont think anyone questions the perspective that teams playing on the 2nd game of back to backs are at a disadvantage. Beyond fatique, the impact of travel, trying to adjust to time zone changes and more add up to make it difficult for players and teams. Heck, I get tired from them, I cant imagine how tough it is on the guys. Opinion aside, I decided to do some homework. With the help of Elias Sports and our stats gurus from Indiana University, we were able to quantify the impact of both back to back games and 4 games in 5 nights. Rather than providing the statistical mumbo jumbo, which wouldnt make sense without all the background and other data, suffice it to say, that our analysis provides us with a comparison between any given team and what we feel to be an average team. The best teams would be expected to win by 5 to 8 points at home against this average team. Less on the road. THe worst teams would lose to the average team by 7 to 10 points at home. For this season, through december 15th, the 2nd game of a back to back makes a team 3.5 points worst. In other words, the best teams are still good, but on the 2nd game of back to back, particularly on the road, they become much closer to average. Making them beatable. Its far worse for the 4th game in 5 nights. ON those nights, a team is 8 points worse. Again, more on the road. So basically, a team should lose to just about any but the worst teams if they are on the road. Meaning, that the schedule gods can have a HUGE impact on the standings. That the day the Circus or a concert is scheduled at your arena could block out a night, that would in turn force the schedule to create multiple 4 game in 5 nights situation and possibly cost a playoff seeding ! I dont have the number of either for this season as a whole yet. Im sure someone out there can get it done if so inclined. What i did get back from our friends at Elias are the W L records per team for the 2nd game of a back to back over the last 5 years and through the 15th of dec for thisyear. ATL 2001-02 Won-Lost: 8-14 ATL 2002-03 Won-Lost: 9-14 ATL 2003-04 Won-Lost: 7-14 ATL 2004-05 Won-Lost: 4-19 ATL 2005-06 Won-Lost: 0- 5 BOS 2001-02 Won-Lost: 7-13 BOS 2002-03 Won-Lost: 9-10 BOS 2003-04 Won-Lost: 8- 9 BOS 2004-05 Won-Lost: 12- 8 BOS 2005-06 Won-Lost: 1- 5 CHA 2004-05 Won-Lost: 6-17 CHA 2005-06 Won-Lost: 4- 4 CHI 2001-02 Won-Lost: 5-18 CHI 2002-03 Won-Lost: 5-18 CHI 2003-04 Won-Lost: 5-17 CHI 2004-05 Won-Lost: 13- 9 CHI 2005-06 Won-Lost: 4- 2 CLE 2001-02 Won-Lost: 6-17 CLE 2002-03 Won-Lost: 5-19 CLE 2003-04 Won-Lost: 8-12 CLE 2004-05 Won-Lost: 6-14 CLE 2005-06 Won-Lost: 1- 3 DAL 2001-02 Won-Lost: 13- 6 DAL 2002-03 Won-Lost: 11- 5 DAL 2003-04 Won-Lost: 12- 7 DAL 2004-05 Won-Lost: 12- 6 DAL 2005-06 Won-Lost: 3- 3 DEN 2001-02 Won-Lost: 4-16 DEN 2002-03 Won-Lost: 6-18 DEN 2003-04 Won-Lost: 11-12 DEN 2004-05 Won-Lost: 9-11 DEN 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 4 DET 2001-02 Won-Lost: 13-10 DET 2002-03 Won-Lost: 11-13 DET 2003-04 Won-Lost: 15- 8 DET 2004-05 Won-Lost: 12- 9 DET 2005-06 Won-Lost: 5- 2 GS 2001-02 Won-Lost: 5-18 GS 2002-03 Won-Lost: 10-10 GS 2003-04 Won-Lost: 9-13 GS 2004-05 Won-Lost: 9-11 GS 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 3 HOU 2001-02 Won-Lost: 4-15 HOU 2002-03 Won-Lost: 13- 8 HOU 2003-04 Won-Lost: 12- 7 HOU 2004-05 Won-Lost: 9- 7 HOU 2005-06 Won-Lost: 1- 4 IND 2001-02 Won-Lost: 10-13 IND 2002-03 Won-Lost: 12-11 IND 2003-04 Won-Lost: 15- 7 IND 2004-05 Won-Lost: 10-13 IND 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 3 LAC 2001-02 Won-Lost: 5-16 LAC 2002-03 Won-Lost: 6-13 LAC 2003-04 Won-Lost: 8-15 LAC 2004-05 Won-Lost: 10-12 LAC 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 3 LAL 2001-02 Won-Lost: 8-11 LAL 2002-03 Won-Lost: 11- 8 LAL 2003-04 Won-Lost: 10- 9 LAL 2004-05 Won-Lost: 5-14 LAL 2005-06 Won-Lost: 1- 4 MEM 2001-02 Won-Lost: 3-13 MEM 2002-03 Won-Lost: 6-14 MEM 2003-04 Won-Lost: 11-10 MEM 2004-05 Won-Lost: 12-11 MEM 2005-06 Won-Lost: 4- 3 MIA 2001-02 Won-Lost: 13- 9 MIA 2002-03 Won-Lost: 4-16 MIA 2003-04 Won-Lost: 10-13 MIA 2004-05 Won-Lost: 10- 6 MIA 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 4 MIL 2001-02 Won-Lost: 11- 9 MIL 2002-03 Won-Lost: 9-14 MIL 2003-04 Won-Lost: 10-10 MIL 2004-05 Won-Lost: 8-12 MIL 2005-06 Won-Lost: 4- 2 MIN 2001-02 Won-Lost: 10- 9 MIN 2002-03 Won-Lost: 12- 8 MIN 2003-04 Won-Lost: 13- 7 MIN 2004-05 Won-Lost: 9-12 MIN 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 2 NJ 2001-02 Won-Lost: 12- 8 NJ 2002-03 Won-Lost: 10-10 NJ 2003-04 Won-Lost: 7-13 NJ 2004-05 Won-Lost: 9-11 NJ 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 3 CHA 2001-02 Won-Lost: 8-11 NO 2002-03 Won-Lost: 11-11 NO 2003-04 Won-Lost: 11-11 NO 2004-05 Won-Lost: 5-18 NOK 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 4 NY 2001-02 Won-Lost: 7-10 NY 2002-03 Won-Lost: 2-17 NY 2003-04 Won-Lost: 10-10 NY 2004-05 Won-Lost: 5-16 NY 2005-06 Won-Lost: 1- 2 ORL 2001-02 Won-Lost: 6-15 ORL 2002-03 Won-Lost: 7-12 ORL 2003-04 Won-Lost: 5-15 ORL 2004-05 Won-Lost: 10-11 ORL 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 4 PHI 2001-02 Won-Lost: 9-12 PHI 2002-03 Won-Lost: 12- 8 PHI 2003-04 Won-Lost: 6-13 PHI 2004-05 Won-Lost: 10- 9 PHI 2005-06 Won-Lost: 3- 4 PHO 2001-02 Won-Lost: 6-13 PHO 2002-03 Won-Lost: 6-14 PHO 2003-04 Won-Lost: 6-15 PHO 2004-05 Won-Lost: 17- 5 PHO 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 4 POR 2001-02 Won-Lost: 10-13 POR 2002-03 Won-Lost: 11-12 POR 2003-04 Won-Lost: 9- 8 POR 2004-05 Won-Lost: 7-13 POR 2005-06 Won-Lost: 1- 3 SAC 2001-02 Won-Lost: 13- 9 SAC 2002-03 Won-Lost: 11- 8 SAC 2003-04 Won-Lost: 7-12 SAC 2004-05 Won-Lost: 7-10 SAC 2005-06 Won-Lost: 1- 5 SA 2001-02 Won-Lost: 17- 4 SA 2002-03 Won-Lost: 13- 5 SA 2003-04 Won-Lost: 13- 6 SA 2004-05 Won-Lost: 10- 9 SA 2005-06 Won-Lost: 0- 3 SEA 2001-02 Won-Lost: 9-13 SEA 2002-03 Won-Lost: 9-11 SEA 2003-04 Won-Lost: 11-12 SEA 2004-05 Won-Lost: 11- 8 SEA 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 2 TOR 2001-02 Won-Lost: 10- 9 TOR 2002-03 Won-Lost: 1-17 TOR 2003-04 Won-Lost: 4-12 TOR 2004-05 Won-Lost: 5-12 TOR 2005-06 Won-Lost: 1- 5 UTA 2001-02 Won-Lost: 10-11 UTA 2002-03 Won-Lost: 9-10 UTA 2003-04 Won-Lost: 8-12 UTA 2004-05 Won-Lost: 6-15 UTA 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 5 WAS 2001-02 Won-Lost: 7-13 WAS 2002-03 Won-Lost: 12- 9 WAS 2003-04 Won-Lost: 7-14 WAS 2004-05 Won-Lost: 11-12 WAS 2005-06 Won-Lost: 2- 3 |
Bosh could have played with Howard and would have opened his game up. Oh well. **** him. Hope they let Parsons walk now
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20 random players. Tell me which ones Wade is better than. |
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Posted via Mobile Device |
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Cavs in talks with free agent center Chris "Birdman" Andersen, sources tell <a href="https://twitter.com/FOXSportsOH">@FOXSportsOH</a>.</p>— Sam Amico (@SamAmicoFSO) <a href="https://twitter.com/SamAmicoFSO/statuses/487789150993526785">July 12, 2014</a></blockquote>
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Here's 30 more players. I could also add some role players that have more impact on an everyday basis than Wade too. Wade isn't a top 50 player.
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Yeah, he might not even be top 20..probably closer to 25. But seriously listing people like Tyreke?
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I actually read an article a few months back (it was one of those that talked about what a great #3/role player Bosh was for Miami) where Bosh basically said the old Bosh was dead and he was glad for it. So we'll see how it goes, but it likely doesn't end well at all.
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Your hardon for Wade makes you completely irrational. Truth is, if those guys were merely 80% of what they were before all three of them joined together Miami likely wins at least three titles. As is, neither Wade nor Bosh was capable of carrying that team for any real stretch of time and Miami rode LeBron so hard that he started sputtering. Bosh is Ryan Anderson with a worst outside shot and more opportunities for cheapies at this point in his career. |
Vince signing with the Grizzlies. Love the signing, it's a great fit. With a healthy Gasol, they're just as good as anybody in the West.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Vince Carter has agreed to a three-year, $12M deal with Memphis, league source tells Yahoo Sports.</p>— Adrian Wojnarowski (@WojYahooNBA) <a href="https://twitter.com/WojYahooNBA/statuses/487805373039247362">July 12, 2014</a></blockquote>
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So Bosh didn't sign with Houston after they cleared room? Wow!
I figured Thunder would miss out on Pau. Still hoping for an upgrade at the 2 or a shooter. People are jumping off the bridge here, but I think they forget they were 5 seconds from a game 7 with a one legged Ibaka in the WCF and are just replacing 3 shit players. Jackson and Lamb will be better. McGary looks ready to contribute now. Don't need an all star just a couple of role players. The Perkins contract will just **** them this one last year. Hopefully they can deal him and act by the all star break. Would have loved to have Gasol, but can't make him want to come here. Lots of good options for him. Hoping they can just get Miller or Morrow and maybe trade for someone like Dunleavy. No shooters on this team. It's been a need for 6 years. |
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You have Rose on your list yet he's played 49 games total in the last 2 years. Yet Wade's the broken down trash. You have Rondo on your list yet he hasn't played more than 68 games in a year over the last 4 years. He's only played 68 games in the last 2 years combined. |
If you want a list of 50 players better than Wade at this point in their career, here it is, in no specific order:
1. Kawhi Leonard 2. Tony Parker 3. Tim Duncan 4. Kevin Durant 5. Russell Westbrook 6. Serge Ibaka 7. Dwight Howard 8. James Harden 9. Chris Paul 10. Blake Griffin 11. Steph Curry 12. Klay Thompson 13. Damien Lillard 14. LaMarcus Aldridge 15. Boogie Cousins 16. Isaiah Thomas 17. Goran Dragic 18. Eric Bledsoe 19. Marcin Gortat 20. Kevin Love 21. Zach Randolph 22. Mike Conley 23. Marc Gasol 24. Ty Lawson 25. Gordon Heyward 26. Anthony Davis 27. Jrue Holliday 28. Paul George 29. Lance Stephenson 30. LeBron James 31. Chris Bosh 32. Kyle Lowry 33. DeMar Derozan 34. Deron Williams 35. Brook Lopez 36. Joe Johnson 37. John Wall 38. Bradley Beal 39. Al Jefferson 40. Rajon Rondo 41. Kyrie Irving 42. Carmelo Anthony 43. Derrick Rose 44. Joakim Noah 45. Luol Deng 46. Al Horford 47. Paul Milsap 48. Andre Drummond 49. Monta Ellis 50. Dirk |
I could maybe only argue against 5-10 of those. And even then, those guys play the full season.
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If pau goes to SA you might as well sign them up for another nba finals
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Spurs dont have the money. They want pau on like a 5 million a year. Im hearing he wants more then that, at least 9-10.
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Bulls and Lakers are completing a sign and trade for Gasol. Bullet dodged there :)
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The Thunder are more interested in resigning Reggie than paying Gasol apparently. Hopefully they can do it before October because I have a feeling his stocks going up next year.
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@chicagobullsbot: Chicago Bulls and LA Lakers are finalizing a sign-and-trade deal that will send Pau Gasol to the Bulls. (Source: Jesús Sánchez/Marca). Will help persuade Melo.
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Really like Vince to my Grizzlies. It gives them a finisher at SF, something they haven't had in a while.
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@BullsSource: Chicago Bulls basically offering Melo $15m-$16m/yr for two seasons, and then a full 4yr/$97m max the following season. This could happen tomorrow
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What's with the need to be a dick? |
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Can someone explain to me how the Suns acquiring Isiah Thomas makes any sense?
Won't they run into the same problem with him that the Kings did? The Kings didnt see him as a starter and Thomas thinks hes a starter so he wanted out, but goes to a team that has Dragic and Bledsoe that sees him as the third guard anyway, so he's still not a starter. Won't the cycle just repeat itself? how do you have a guy who averaged 20 and 6 sit that much? I know his shooting his low, but like someone said in this very thread he looks similar on paper as Kyrie Irving |
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Wow... I think Cleveland is giddy to have him back....
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Bledsoe could be on his way out of Phoenix.
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Bledsoe is a RFA. He's not going anywhere. If they traded for Thomas and someone is going, it's Dragic.
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http://dailythunder.com/2014/07/the-...ay/#more-30358 Messing around with Gasol they let Carter and Miller slip on by. The only hope now is Morrow who they aren't even linking to OKC anymore. OKC will compete because they have Durant and Westbrook, but again aren't doing much to help them out. I expect them to bring in a couple of shells like Butler and Lewis. Extremely frustrating, but again they targeted the right players, and I have no clue what the negotiations looked like. The Perkins contract haunts them. Without that they have the ability to either re-sign Harden or use the money more wisely. To attract free agents here you have to overpay them. Westbrook and Durant don't have that Lebron magnet. I think some of it has to do with them being seen as ball hogs, but I've seen them both try to be unselfish without teammates to finish the plays. Without a solid shooter or 2 I'm afraid this team won't get any further than its been. There is still hope I suppose if they can unload Perk by the all star break. I think what I would do is overpay Allen or Miller to draw them from the Cavs. That is the kind of player they desperately need. Presti has a very patient approach and it's been a big part of what has gotten them this far. They don't like to make panic moves to jeopardize their future. However, if they don't give them players they trust it will be all for naught and Knicks and Lakers fans can start to get excited. As I've always said I won't blame them one bit. If they can't finish the job in the next 2 seasons they should look at other options. OKC may still be the best at that point. It depends on how Jackson, Ibaka, Adams, McGary and Lamb develop. I won't lie. I'm extremely disappointed with this offseason so far. McGary is the only bright spot so far. |
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Ray Allen and Mike Miller are signing with the Cavs. Cavs also in talks with the Birdman.
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do the Cavs plan on going 15 deep or do they plan on trading some of the current bums on their roster (Waiters, Bennett, etc) because Lebrons pals arent signing so current Cavs scrubbies can play over them that's for sure.
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But yeah there's still a chance a few of those scrubbies go to Minnesota with picks.
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Waiters is a bum?
Posted via Mobile Device |
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PG- Irving SG- Allen,Miller SF - Lebron, Wiggins PF - Thompson C - Big Andy, Birdman I think they trade Waiters/Bennett and fill out the roster with more Lebrons pals not that that's a bad thing. Good mix of young and old talent now. |
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Even if they added Allen and Miller, with Wiggins and James that's a four player swap. |
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I got into it because the Cleveland fans overrate things on here for whatever reason. You guys argue that Cleveland never screws up, Anthony Bennett was a good pick because there was nobody else, Dion Waiters is a future all star, etc. For a shit team they get treated on here like they were an Eastern Conference impact team, and that just wasn't the case for four years. Now it's obviously different. You can't really get mad at someone for thinking Anthony Bennett is a worse #1 overall pick than even Eric Fisher. Because it's sadly true. |
Jazz matched the offer for big Gordon Hayward. Now I don't blame him for making a ton of money on a team that will be terrible anyway.
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The Jazz bungled that. They could have signed him for 4-52 last year.
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That cock sucker David Stern ruined the Lakers when he voided the Chris Paul trade.
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Imagine a crunch time five of Westbrook, Reggie Jackson, Durant, Gasol, and Ibaka. That gives you elite perimeter defense with an elite rim protector, a transcendent post passer, three great finishers, two guys who can get their own shots, and two bigs you can run the pick and pop with. |
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