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The Royals had a lot go right last year, namely strong rotation, very strong bullpen, great defense and relatively injury free. If we want to win the division, all those things need to happen again AND our offense must be improved. Lots of ifs.
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ESPN is saying Miguel Cabrera's contract is 10 years, $300 million.
That's including the 2 years left on his current contract. Not sure if those salaries remain the same or not. It extends his contract another 8 seasons. |
I see 10 292 total thru 2023 guaranteed. Their owner doesn't care, he'll be dead by then.
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I think the best way to show what I'm thinking about the Royals is to actually post a couple probability distributions, where each box is 2.5%. This has both how I felt about the team before the 2013 season began, and how I feel now about 2014.
I didn't calculate anything, this is just how likely I think each win total roughly is based on my gut feel. (I could break it up more finely to smooth it out and also get the edge cases beyond the 95% interval, but I wanted to keep it simple) http://i246.photobucket.com/albums/g...ps9a3b7b4f.jpg Last year I picked 86, and thats where they hit. I believed there was some upside maybe to 90 or so, but I also felt that if things went bad, it could go drastically bad. This year I think the range is narrower, its a better team and the upside is a little better (though I'm just not seeing 98+ even if everything goes right), but I think the floor is now a lot higher. This also means that a better team on paper could easily do worse than the 2013 squad just due to luck and we all know that, but this is how I'd quantify it. |
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Just caught that.. Nice! |
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People keep forgetting that Davis and Mendoza started 39 games last season. They combined for an ERA near 11. I am not so sure that on a whole our pitching won't be better. In games started by those two, the Royals went 15-24. |
The Royals have shipped Patrick Schuster back to Arizona.
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Cabrera's extension is 8/248, 31 AAV. He'll be 40 in the last year of that contract.
edit: to clear any confusion, he's already under contract two more years. This extension is tacked onto the end of the current deal, which is why we have different numbers flying around for 8 or 10 years. |
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