Mizzou won the SEC-East, which Sagarin ranked higher than the big "12." Doesn't that suggest that Mizzou should have beaten Okie Lite? Wasn't that the expected outcome?

If you look really close, he rates teams individually too. To answer your other question no, his data had Okie by 1.5 which is where the spread ended up last I heard.

Sagarin = genious

Bettors think so.

What? The computers were wrong you say? How can that be?

Mizzou only had a better record against better opponents than Okie Light and won their division in the toughest conference in the country...guess the computers must have miscalculated that.

His system also thought Alabama was better than OU.

Dumbass.

Howso? Did you watch the game?

So, he was only 11.5 points off (and incorrect on the winner). How far was he off on OU/Alabama?

Of course not.

We only returned two guys from last years rotation and came from behind in several games this year. Good teams you know, come back and win.

Will only get better as they play together more.

Well, since my Google works I can look that up for you. His data expected Alabama to win by 14.3. The Vegas line opened at 14.5 and was pushed up to 16.5. So both Sagarin + the oddsmakers + the public were all incorrect thinking Alabama was better.

http://linemakers.sportingnews.com/n...as-lines-total

That's a lot of verbiage to say that he was off by more than four touchdowns.

You were off by more than 4td on that one I'm sure.

<table class="wikitable sortable jquery-tablesorter"><thead><tr><th title="Sort ascending" role="columnheader button" tabindex="0" class="headerSort">Conference</th> <th title="Sort ascending" role="columnheader button" tabindex="0" class="headerSort">Total games</th> <th title="Sort ascending" role="columnheader button" tabindex="0" class="headerSort">Wins</th> <th title="Sort ascending" role="columnheader button" tabindex="0" class="headerSort">Losses</th> <th title="Sort ascending" role="columnheader button" tabindex="0" class="headerSort">Pct.</th> </tr></thead><tbody> <tr align="center"> <td>Sun Belt</td> <td>2</td> <td>2</td> <td>0</td> <td>1.000</td> </tr> <tr align="center"> <td>SEC</td> <td>10*</td> <td>7</td> <td>2</td> <td>.778</td> </tr> <tr align="center"> <td>Independents</td> <td>3</td> <td>2</td> <td>1</td> <td>.667</td> </tr> <tr align="center"> <td>Pac-12</td> <td>9</td> <td>6</td> <td>3</td> <td>.667</td> </tr> <tr align="center"> <td>Big 12</td> <td>6</td> <td>3</td> <td>3</td> <td>.500</td> </tr> <tr align="center"> <td>C-USA</td> <td>6</td> <td>3</td> <td>3</td> <td>.500</td> </tr> <tr align="center"> <td>MW</td> <td>6</td> <td>3</td> <td>3</td> <td>.500</td> </tr> <tr align="center"> <td>American</td> <td>5</td> <td>2</td> <td>3</td> <td>.400</td> </tr> <tr align="center"> <td>ACC</td> <td>11*</td> <td>4</td> <td>6</td> <td>.400</td> </tr> <tr align="center"> <td>Big Ten</td> <td>7</td> <td>2</td> <td>5</td> <td>.286</td> </tr> <tr align="center"> <td>MAC</td> <td>5</td> <td>0</td> <td>5</td> <td>.000
</td></tr></tbody></table>
*Still has 1 bowl left.