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DJ's left nut 04-21-2025 03:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RunKC (Post 18035209)
Josh Simmons is likely the first tackle taken if he doesn’t get injured. He’s a top 10 pick at worst. Cannot see the Patriots or Bears passing on him if he was healthy. He’s undoubtedly a favorite for this franchise based purely on his traits and film. Gonna come down to Burkholder, who has probably spent 2 months on this kid. If Burkholder signs off you make him a priority.

I just keep reading this and I simply do not understand it at all.

He MIGHT have been a top 10 pick. Barely. IF he'd have made it through the conference schedule while demonstrating a progression that we simply never saw.

He was late 2nd into late 3rd projected pick heading into the season. Anywhere from 50 to 100 on the lists I can find. Not a bad prospect, but by no means a stellar one and that was coming off a season as a starter at LT on a very good Ohio State team.

If he were some home run 1st rounder, he'd have popped at that point. He didn't.

Then he goes into the 2024 season, Ohio State beats the hell out of a few bad teams (where he mostly run blocks) and then he gets hurt. Meanwhile Ohio State barely misses a beat.

There's just nohing THERE to demonstrate that he was a top 10 pick. It's pure projection based on beating bad teams. Because that WASN'T the projection on him heading into that season.

It was like a lot of people just hit 'pause' on the season and decided that he was going to continue to ascend from when he got hurt.

In no way that I can see is a better prospect, even when healthy, than Campbell. I don't think he's better then Membou and man why are so many people so down on Kelvin Banks? He looks better than the healthy version of Simmons and by a fair bit, IMO.

A healthy Simmons MIGHT be the 4th best OT in this class. MIGHT be. He might also have gotten knocked around against the actual competition Ohio State played this season and ended up about where he started -- roughly where Donovan Jackson ended up.

I just do not understand this idea that he's some obvious steal who fell because of injury and that injury notwithstanding, he's a blue-chip talent. No, he just wasn't.

DJ's left nut 04-21-2025 03:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kccrow (Post 18035339)
This is patently false Run. He was never considered the top tackle nor a top 15 pick. He had the potential to be in that conversation had he not gotten injured and had he finished the year with great results against the top-tier competition on their schedule. He didn't and therefore never was. He has his warts, and whether or not he would have run that gauntlet that he missed unscathed and looked like a top tackle is debatable.

The player who was in that conversation was Banks. He's inexplicably been overanalyzed, and not a single reason seems to be legitimate for his stock tanking. Meanwhile, Campbell has maintained #1 status with a legitimate reason not to.

Conerly was beginning to get that talk, and then the Mike Green thing happened at the Senior Bowl, and he went from top-20 rankings (13 on McShay's board) to dropping out of round 1 on some, all for 1 meaningless practice snap.

Ah hell, Crow said that already.

I mean damn - he pretty much said the exact same thing I did, didn't he? Right down to the Banks thing (seriously, why the hell is Banks slipping? I don't think that's real).

Well I said it a week ago and nobody responded so I'm still taking credit for it....

RunKC 04-21-2025 04:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kccrow (Post 18035339)
This is patently false Run. He was never considered the top tackle nor a top 15 pick. He had the potential to be in that conversation had he not gotten injured and had he finished the year with great results against the top-tier competition on their schedule. He didn't and therefore never was. He has his warts, and whether or not he would have run that gauntlet that he missed unscathed and looked like a top tackle is debatable.

The player who was in that conversation was Banks. He's inexplicably been overanalyzed, and not a single reason seems to be legitimate for his stock tanking. Meanwhile, Campbell has maintained #1 status with a legitimate reason not to.

Conerly was beginning to get that talk, and then the Mike Green thing happened at the Senior Bowl, and he went from top-20 rankings (13 on McShay's board) to dropping out of round 1 on some, all for 1 meaningless practice snap.

I’m not referring to what he was at the start of the season, only since February when draft season really began.

Supply and demand is why I think this. Not saying Simmons is an elite prospect. I think he’s good, and quite honestly there’s a tremendous amount of value in that, especially this year. Average LT’s are in huge demand bc there just aren’t very many good ones. It may be worse than QB now bc at least functional QB’s are attainable.

Campbell’s T-Rex arms are a huge deal. I’d bet money that he wouldn’t even be on KC’s draft board bc of that.

Simmons is the only LT prospect in this draft that has what teams are looking for as a complete package at LT. Size, strength, arm length (34 at pro day), technique, footwork. The projection is there despite missing time. Maybe Conerly can be that guy. Maybe. There’s a reason Dane Brugler has Kelvin Banks as a G in his draft guide. A ton of NFL folks think that.

Again there’s always going to be a huge need for competent LT’s. They are exceedingly hard to find these days. And it wouldn’t surprise me if a team like Miami takes that risk with Simmons on Thursday bc of that need.

kccrow 04-21-2025 07:37 PM

I have a really hard time just projecting a guy to OG who has been so ****ing good at LT like Banks has been.

The accolades seem to support that he was considered pretty good: This year, he was a First-Team All-American, won the Lombardi Award, won the Outland Trophy, won the Jacobs Blocking Trophy (SEC), and was named First-Team All-SEC.

And then, if you're talking about Brugler, why would he put that guy behind Tyler Booker, who can't block beyond a small phone booth? Tyler Booker is nearly as overrated as Shemar Stewart.

What's the knock? Length? He is 6'5" 315 with 33-1/2" arms. Membou has 33-1/2" arms and has only ever played RT. Campbell has 33" arms. Ersery has 33-1/2" arms.

You mean to tell me he does any more body catching than those guys? Nah. He's less apt to be an OT and riskier on the edges to longer DEs in the NFL? Nah.

Do I think a team could pick Banks and put him at guard because of draft position and need, plus his ability to actually play OT and worries about their OTs? Yes. He could easily go to Miami at 13 or Seattle at 18. Hell, he could go to SF at 11 and play LG for a year then move to LT when Silverback retires.

I don't see him as a guard, though, and I truly don't think the NFL will see him only as a guard. My only knock on Banks is penalties. He had too many of those.

JohnnyHammersticks 04-21-2025 08:08 PM

New PFF 7 round mock

31. Kansas City Chiefs: DI Walter Nolen, Ole Miss
Nolen can quickly develop into a disruptive interior defensive lineman in the NFL and is coming off a season at Ole Miss with 26 run stops (second most among PFF big board interior defenders). That's certainly worth taking a chance on at the end of Round 1 for the Chiefs, who have a need on the interior alongside Chris Jones.

63. Kansas City Chiefs: T Aireontae Ersery, Minnesota
Ersery is one of the more experienced left tackles in the Power Five, logging over 2,000 snaps at Minnesota over the past three seasons while earning PFF grades above 73.0 in both pass protection and run blocking during that span. He gives Kansas City a reliable developmental option at left tackle to compete with free-agent addition Jaylon Moore.

66. Kansas City Chiefs (via Tennessee Titans): CB Azareye'h Thomas, Florida State
Thomas is a press-man cornerback (200-plus snaps in press coverage last season) with good size and length. That skill set should be enticing to Kansas City, which utilizes press coverage at one of the highest rates in the NFL. Trent McDuffie, Jaylen Watson and Joshua Williams are all in the final year of their current contracts in 2025.

95. Kansas City Chiefs: HB Cameron Skattebo, Arizona State
Skattebo's ability to break tackles (103 missed tackles forced rushing were second to Ashton Jeanty in the FBS) and pick up every yard available should be valued by a team like Kansas City, which has prioritized staying on schedule in the run game over the past few seasons. This is good value for the 50th-ranked player on the PFF big board.

133. Kansas City Chiefs: WR Tory Horton, Colorado State

226. Kansas City Chiefs (via Carolina Panthers): TE Jalin Conyers, Texas Tech

251. Kansas City Chiefs: S Alijah Clark, Syracuse

257. Kansas City Chiefs: WR Konata Mumpfield, Pittsburgh

Link

Dunerdr 04-21-2025 08:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnnyHammersticks (Post 18036833)
New PFF 7 round mock

31. Kansas City Chiefs: DI Walter Nolen, Ole Miss
Nolen can quickly develop into a disruptive interior defensive lineman in the NFL and is coming off a season at Ole Miss with 26 run stops (second most among PFF big board interior defenders). That's certainly worth taking a chance on at the end of Round 1 for the Chiefs, who have a need on the interior alongside Chris Jones.

63. Kansas City Chiefs: T Aireontae Ersery, Minnesota
Ersery is one of the more experienced left tackles in the Power Five, logging over 2,000 snaps at Minnesota over the past three seasons while earning PFF grades above 73.0 in both pass protection and run blocking during that span. He gives Kansas City a reliable developmental option at left tackle to compete with free-agent addition Jaylon Moore.

66. Kansas City Chiefs (via Tennessee Titans): CB Azareye'h Thomas, Florida State
Thomas is a press-man cornerback (200-plus snaps in press coverage last season) with good size and length. That skill set should be enticing to Kansas City, which utilizes press coverage at one of the highest rates in the NFL. Trent McDuffie, Jaylen Watson and Joshua Williams are all in the final year of their current contracts in 2025.

95. Kansas City Chiefs: HB Cameron Skattebo, Arizona State
Skattebo's ability to break tackles (103 missed tackles forced rushing were second to Ashton Jeanty in the FBS) and pick up every yard available should be valued by a team like Kansas City, which has prioritized staying on schedule in the run game over the past few seasons. This is good value for the 50th-ranked player on the PFF big board.

133. Kansas City Chiefs: WR Tory Horton, Colorado State

226. Kansas City Chiefs (via Carolina Panthers): TE Jalin Conyers, Texas Tech

251. Kansas City Chiefs: S Alijah Clark, Syracuse

257. Kansas City Chiefs: WR Konata Mumpfield, Pittsburgh

Link


If it’s not coverly at the end of 1 I’m just not that interested in a T. Ersery is the same thing we’ve taken two years in a row. A project tackle. I know people are talking themselves into it but it’d be hard to expect him to be any more than Kingsley or wanya from my limited viewing.

Bowser 04-21-2025 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dunerdr (Post 18036850)
If it’s not coverly at the end of 1 I’m just not that interested in a T. Ersery is the same thing we’ve taken two years in a row. A project tackle. I know people are talking themselves into it but it’d be hard to expect him to be any more than Kingsley or wanya from my limited viewing.

Was coming in to say the same thing.

If we don't get a guy in the first, take a Logan Thomas type in the later rounds if they are dead set at having bodies at the position in camp. Otherwise, that PFF mock looks pretty tasty.

DJ's left nut 04-21-2025 10:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kccrow (Post 18036802)
I have a really hard time just projecting a guy to OG who has been so ****ing good at LT like Banks has been.

The accolades seem to support that he was considered pretty good: This year, he was a First-Team All-American, won the Lombardi Award, won the Outland Trophy, won the Jacobs Blocking Trophy (SEC), and was named First-Team All-SEC.

And then, if you're talking about Brugler, why would he put that guy behind Tyler Booker, who can't block beyond a small phone booth? Tyler Booker is nearly as overrated as Shemar Stewart.

What's the knock? Length? He is 6'5" 315 with 33-1/2" arms. Membou has 33-1/2" arms and has only ever played RT. Campbell has 33" arms. Ersery has 33-1/2" arms.

You mean to tell me he does any more body catching than those guys? Nah. He's less apt to be an OT and riskier on the edges to longer DEs in the NFL? Nah.

Do I think a team could pick Banks and put him at guard because of draft position and need, plus his ability to actually play OT and worries about their OTs? Yes. He could easily go to Miami at 13 or Seattle at 18. Hell, he could go to SF at 11 and play LG for a year then move to LT when Silverback retires.

I don't see him as a guard, though, and I truly don't think the NFL will see him only as a guard. My only knock on Banks is penalties. He had too many of those.

Right?!?!

If Kelvin Banks "is a guard" then in what universe is there a single OT to come out of this draft?

Length is fine, functional strength is very good. Feet are fine. He's an OT. He was a 3-year starter at OT for a powerhouse program. He's an Outland winner.

I mean better prospects than him have failed at OT and some of them have had nice careers at guard -- there's no telling what the future will hold.

But if some draft head is standing him and Simmons next to each other and your analysis is "Simmons is a prototypical LT and Kelvin Banks is a RG" then I'm gonna be honest, that guy doesn't know what the hell he's talking about.

It's just silly.

kccrow 04-21-2025 10:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dunerdr (Post 18036850)
If it’s not coverly at the end of 1 I’m just not that interested in a T. Ersery is the same thing we’ve taken two years in a row. A project tackle. I know people are talking themselves into it but it’d be hard to expect him to be any more than Kingsley or wanya from my limited viewing.

I don't know if he's a huge project, but he's definitely limited. If that's the type they want to go after, just give me Myles Hinton in the 4th instead. You're getting a better run blocker and a similar plodder in pass pro, but he needs more technique work with his hands and punch.

I'm honestly not all that enamored with taking an OT outside of Round 1 this year. I don't see any of them as better-equipped prospects than what we already have on the roster in Suamataia and Morris. I'd rather go after an OG prospect and keep those 2 developing at OT if that ends up the reality.

DJ's left nut 04-21-2025 10:30 PM

Oh and by the way - it barely matters. Kelvin Banks ain't making it to us. If he's there at 24 then MAYBE you'll see us make that trade up with the Vikings to pick him up.

The Chiefs absolutely value Banks over Simmons. I don't doubt that for a second. Because Banks was simply a better player in EVERY way in college. And he was healthy. He was asked to do more than Simmons. He DID more than Simmons. And he did it against better competition than Simmons. Oh, and he didn't break down in the process while also having just turned 21.

It's a moot point but Banks is a substantially better prospect than Simmons and would've been even had Simmons never gotten hurt. And that's why he won't be within range of us.

kccrow 04-21-2025 10:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18036949)
Oh and by the way - it barely matters. Kelvin Banks ain't making it to us. If he's there at 24 then MAYBE you'll see us make that trade up with the Vikings to pick him up.

The Chiefs absolutely value Banks over Simmons. I don't doubt that for a second. Because Banks was simply a better player in EVERY way in college. And he was healthy. He was asked to do more than Simmons. He DID more than Simmons. And he did it against better competition than Simmons. Oh, and he didn't break down in the process while also having just turned 21.

It's a moot point but Banks is a substantially better prospect than Simmons and would've been even had Simmons never gotten hurt. And that's why he won't be within range of us.

Yeah, and yet we're seeing these draftnik rankings with Banks as like the 26th prospect and behind Simmons and even Conerly on some boards. It's all a giant WTF.

I love Conerly, but I'd take Banks over him. I feel like he's a better run blocker and the pass blocking athleticism is close. Banks has worse hand placement IMHO and lunges a bit more than I like but he can clean that up.

I never saw Banks as a realistic get for KC, and I really still don't. Lance Zierlein is a really solid OL evaluator, and he has Banks as his #3 OT comfortably. He only has him and Campbell separated by 0.01 on his grading scale.

kccrow 04-22-2025 07:10 AM

Luke Easterling (Athlon Sports)
https://athlonsports.com/nfl/2025-nf...dallas-cowboys
1-024 Kelvin Banks Jr, OT, Texas (trade 3-95 to Minnesota to move up)
2-063 Benjamin Morrison, CB, Notre Dame
3-066 Omarr Norman-Lott, DT, Tennessee
4-133 Jaydon Blue, RB, Texas

Brent Sobleski (Bleacher Report)
https://bleacherreport.com/articles/...-dept-rankings
1-031 Tyleik Williams, DT, Ohio State
2-063 Aireontae Ersery, OT, Minnesota
3-066 Damien Martinez, RB, Miami
3-095 Cobee Bryant, CB, Kansas

Shane Hallam (NFL Draft Sharks)
https://www.draftsharks.com/article/...--seven-rounds
1-031 Malaki Starks, S, Georgia
2-063 Donovan Jackson, OT, Ohio State
3-066 Joshua Farmer, DT, Florida State
3-095 Dylan Sampson, RB, Tennessee

Kyle Crabbs (The 33rd Team)
https://www.the33rdteam.com/2025-nfl...ll-projection/
1-031 Kelvin Banks Jr, OT, Texas
2-063 Elic Ayomanor, WR, Stanford
3-066 Princely Umanmielen, ER, Ole Miss
3-095 Ty Robinson, DT, Nebraska

Mike Band (NFL Next Gen Stats)
1-024 Kelvin Banks Jr, OT, Texas (trade up with Minnesota)

Brendan Donahue (Sharp Football Analytics)
https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.co...endan-donahue/
1-031 Josh Simmons, OT, Ohio State

Lou Pickney (formerly Draft Kings, now his own)
https://www.mockdraftnfl.com/
1-031 Josh Conerly Jr, OT, Oregon

Xavier Cromartie (FF Metrics)
https://ffmetrics.com/5468-2025-1st-...artie-ffm-v3-0
1-031 Josh Conerly Jr, OT, Oregon (might change this was posted 4/14)

Cooter Bailey 04-22-2025 07:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kccrow (Post 18037040)
Luke Easterling (Athlon Sports)
https://athlonsports.com/nfl/2025-nf...dallas-cowboys
1-024 Kelvin Banks Jr, OT, Texas (trade 3-95 to Minnesota to move up)
2-063 Benjamin Morrison, CB, Notre Dame
3-066 Omarr Norman-Lott, DT, Tennessee
4-133 Jaydon Blue, RB, Texas

Brent Sobleski (Bleacher Report)
https://bleacherreport.com/articles/...-dept-rankings
1-031 Tyleik Williams, DT, Ohio State
2-063 Aireontae Ersery, OT, Minnesota
3-066 Damien Martinez, RB, Miami
3-095 Cobee Bryant, CB, Kansas

Shane Hallam (NFL Draft Sharks)
https://www.draftsharks.com/article/...--seven-rounds
1-031 Malaki Starks, S, Georgia
2-063 Donovan Jackson, OT, Ohio State
3-066 Joshua Farmer, DT, Florida State
3-095 Dylan Sampson, RB, Tennessee

Kyle Crabbs (The 33rd Team)
https://www.the33rdteam.com/2025-nfl...ll-projection/
1-031 Kelvin Banks Jr, OT, Texas
2-063 Elic Ayomanor, WR, Stanford
3-066 Princely Umanmielen, ER, Ole Miss
3-095 Ty Robinson, DT, Nebraska

Mike Band (NFL Next Gen Stats)
1-024 Kelvin Banks Jr, OT, Texas (trade up with Minnesota)

Brendan Donahue (Sharp Football Analytics)
https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.co...endan-donahue/
1-031 Josh Simmons, OT, Ohio State

Lou Pickney (formerly Draft Kings, now his own)
https://www.mockdraftnfl.com/
1-031 Josh Conerly Jr, OT, Oregon

Xavier Cromartie (FF Metrics)
https://ffmetrics.com/5468-2025-1st-...artie-ffm-v3-0
1-031 Josh Conerly Jr, OT, Oregon (might change this was posted 4/14)

I like Shane Hallam’s version the best.

RunKC 04-22-2025 07:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18036947)
Right?!?!

If Kelvin Banks "is a guard" then in what universe is there a single OT to come out of this draft?

Length is fine, functional strength is very good. Feet are fine. He's an OT. He was a 3-year starter at OT for a powerhouse program. He's an Outland winner.

I mean better prospects than him have failed at OT and some of them have had nice careers at guard -- there's no telling what the future will hold.

But if some draft head is standing him and Simmons next to each other and your analysis is "Simmons is a prototypical LT and Kelvin Banks is a RG" then I'm gonna be honest, that guy doesn't know what the hell he's talking about.

It's just silly.

He’s got a ton of experience at LT in the best conference in CFB. Why do you think this kid is being questioned as a LT? Dane Brugler is about the best at draft stuff as any media draft personality and he has him at G. The talk the entire combine was how Banks , Campbell and Membou were probably better at G.

Even the scouts report from Bob McGinn had the scouts either saying he should be a G or strongly suggesting he “fail at LT first” and could “be a RT”.

The analysis on these kids isn’t exactly what you want to hear if you are looking for a left tackle tbh.

Dunerdr 04-22-2025 08:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kccrow (Post 18036948)
I don't know if he's a huge project, but he's definitely limited. If that's the type they want to go after, just give me Myles Hinton in the 4th instead. You're getting a better run blocker and a similar plodder in pass pro, but he needs more technique work with his hands and punch.

I'm honestly not all that enamored with taking an OT outside of Round 1 this year. I don't see any of them as better-equipped prospects than what we already have on the roster in Suamataia and Morris. I'd rather go after an OG prospect and keep those 2 developing at OT if that ends up the reality.

As always Crow with the much more polished and well thought out version. And of course some insight on a player much deeper than I study lol. Keep up the great work man!


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