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-   -   Chiefs *****The Josh Simmons Thread***** (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=357948)

pugsnotdrugs19 04-25-2025 11:49 AM

While we’re bitching about the possibility of Simmons merely being a depth piece at the second most important position on the roster his rookie year, what exactly did all the Luther Burden stans think his rookie year in KC would look like?

Cause I’ll spoil that one. Not a whole lot of action. Was never unseating the top three WRs as a rookie.

Great teams without holes don’t usually end up drafting day one starters.

Rausch 04-25-2025 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043335)
Because those second and third round OTs have given us so much to be excited and optimistic about the past few years. LMAO

How is this board seemingly so unaware of how hard it is to find long term solutions at this position?

I think we can agree that drafting one in the top 15 gives you the best chance. Yes? Your best opportunity is to grab one of the top 3 prospects at the position.

You eventually have to do it. Pay the price - get the guy. Or you fiddle **** around for 20 years until eventually some 3rd or 5th round guy is a home run all while the odds are against you.

wazu 04-25-2025 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18043282)
I think that's the issue.

I won't speak for Duncan here, but he said that riiiiiiight around the time the "He's squatting 225 lbs" thing came out.

Which, for me, says they CAN'T know that. They can't see that. Because you can't until that ligament really gets taxed and really starts to carry a legitimate load. When it's starting to really have to drive. Or cut WHILE under load.

I - not Duncan or Crow or Burkholder or anyone else - cannot see how that question can POSSIBLY be answered when he's squatting about half what you'd expect from a high level college offensive lineman. That means it just way too early.

And Duncan can actually attest to this -- I disagreed with HIM in PMs about exactly how much risk Simmons carries. I'm absolutely willing to listen to someone explain how they can possibly have this level of insight when it comes to a dexterity and blood flow issue in a replaced ligament. When, by his own admission, Simmons isn't able to actually tax that ligament.

Can he do it under lighter load by higher reps? Shit, can he get on a recumbent bike, turn the tension up and put in 5 miles to provide some rough rough approximation of what load would be and then examine it?

Find me THAT. But I think a prima facia case here has absolutely been made to put the ball back in the other court. There's a LOT of evidence out there that this isn't a surgery that guys come back from with any regularity at all. So please, do explain to me why Simmons will be the exception to that.

One note on squatting 225 pounds. That's a lot of weight, even if it is only half of what he would be at full strength. Like that might be my max if I am at full strength and working out regularly. It doesn't seem impossible to me that they could evaluate how the tendon is doing under load with that weight on it.

O.city 04-25-2025 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043335)
Because those second and third round OTs have given us so much to be excited and optimistic about the past few years. LMAO

How is this board seemingly so unaware of how hard it is to find long term solutions at this position?

But the guys drafting all those 2nd and 3rd rounders sure know how to do it if they get one in the back of the first?

DJ's left nut 04-25-2025 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043335)
Because those second and third round OTs have given us so much to be excited and optimistic about the past few years. LMAO

How is this board seemingly so unaware of how hard it is to find long term solutions at this position?

How can this poster be so clear on the difficulty of finding a LT and simultaneously so certain that Simmons is the answer?

O.city 04-25-2025 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043339)
While we’re bitching about the possibility of Simmons merely being a depth piece at the second most important position on the roster his rookie year, what exactly did all the Luther Burden stans think his rookie year in KC would look like?

Cause I’ll spoil that one. Not a whole lot of action. Was never unseating the top three WRs as a rookie.

People are bitching because the guy had a knee injury that may prohibit him from playing at a level worth drafting him in the first round.

That's it.

Stop trying to read anything else into it.

DJ's left nut 04-25-2025 11:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wazu (Post 18043341)
One note on squatting 225 pounds. That's a lot of weight, even if it is only half of what he would be at full strength. Like that might be my max if I am at full strength and working out regularly. It doesn't seem impossible to me that they could evaluate how the tendon is doing under load with that weight on it.

Not a lot of weight for a college lineman from a P5 school at all. He could do that with essentially the entire load on his right leg and use the left leg merely for balance.

wazu 04-25-2025 11:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043339)
While we’re bitching about the possibility of Simmons merely being a depth piece at the second most important position on the roster his rookie year, what exactly did all the Luther Burden stans think his rookie year in KC would look like?

Cause I’ll spoil that one. Not a whole lot of action. Was never unseating the top three WRs as a rookie.

Great teams without holes don’t usually end up drafting day one starters.

Hold on with that. I would be completely fine with Simmons not playing at all this year. Is anybody actually bitching about what he'll do as a rookie? I think the concern of all is that his ceiling for the rest of his life is low, even if technically he is playing and "healthy".

BigRedChief 04-25-2025 11:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 18043318)
Knee and back injuries to big guys are worse. Much worse. They carry more weight and absorb more punishment.

Correct. My arthritis in my back could have told you that. :)

pugsnotdrugs19 04-25-2025 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 18043342)
But the guys drafting all those 2nd and 3rd rounders sure know how to do it if they get one in the back of the first?

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18043343)
How can this poster be so clear on the difficulty of finding a LT and simultaneously so certain that Simmons is the answer?

I have eyes. His skill far supersedes what Morris and Kingsley do physically.

It’s just not that difficult. The guys who do this for a living are telling you the same thing.

Again, I don’t give a single **** if this doesn’t work out. I’m tired of watching Mahomes play down to his potential because his LT stinks. This guy is our best shot to fix that for the rest of his career.

If you’re different and think 32 just had to be a Pro Bowler lock, which doesn’t exist and certainly didn’t with this board, that’s your prerogative.

duncan_idaho 04-25-2025 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 18043302)
I didn't know that. So you know pretty early if knee surgeries are a success or not? That is good news.

I know my buddy had an acl and mcl (I think) one after the other and said both were painful as hell and a bitch to rehab. You have to deal with the pain or it won't heal right. Do all the rehab or it won't heal right. Do all the stretching or it won't heal right.

Then you have an elevated risk of a different injury due to the tendency to over compensate and use other joints and limbs too much.

Right or wrong we basically agreed to all this risk to save 20 draft slots. That's what it comes down to. We didn't want to pay the price to move up into the top 15 to get a top 15 talent.

That's what the ortho surgeon told me as we were discussing the arthritis in her kneecap after her surgery. That he can see scans a few months out if arthritis is developing as a result of the surgery.

pugsnotdrugs19 04-25-2025 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wazu (Post 18043347)
Hold on with that. I would be completely fine with Simmons not playing at all this year. Is anybody actually bitching about what he'll do as a rookie? I think the concern of all is that his ceiling for the rest of his life is low, even if technically he is playing and "healthy".

O.City just indicated that he didn’t like taking a depth piece at 32. That’s what I was responding to.

RealSNR 04-25-2025 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043339)
While we’re bitching about the possibility of Simmons merely being a depth piece at the second most important position on the roster his rookie year, what exactly did all the Luther Burden stans think his rookie year in KC would look like?

Cause I’ll spoil that one. Not a whole lot of action. Was never unseating the top three WRs as a rookie.

Great teams without holes don’t usually end up drafting day one starters.

"First round picks have to start year one!" has always been a crock of shit to me. But that's just me.

wazu 04-25-2025 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043354)
O.City just indicated that he didn’t like taking a depth piece at 32. That’s what I was responding to.

Gotcha. Yeah, if this were an ACL or something where we just knew we wouldn't have him year 1 this pick would already be in "home run" category for me. Basically my Chiefs draft dream come true.

Rausch 04-25-2025 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigRedChief (Post 18043348)
Correct. My arthritis in my back could have told you that. :)

And you don't collide all day with men as big or bigger than you at NFL speeds.

O.city 04-25-2025 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043349)
I have eyes. His skill far supersedes what Morris and Kingsley do physically.

It’s just not that difficult. The guys who do this for a living are telling you the same thing.

Again, I don’t give a single **** if this doesn’t work out. I’m tired of watching Mahomes play down to his potential because his LT stinks. This guy is our best shot to fix that for the rest of his career.

If you’re different and think 32 just had to be a Pro Bowler lock, which doesn’t exist and certainly didn’t with this board, that’s your prerogative.

Did anyone say pro bowler lock? Can you show me where?

ChiefsCountry 04-25-2025 11:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 18043228)
It seems more like the Comerica Park center field, to me...

It's all honesty more like the Polo Grounds. But hey someone might hit it there

DJ's left nut 04-25-2025 12:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043349)
I have eyes. His skill far supersedes what Morris and Kingsley do physically.

It’s just not that difficult. The guys who do this for a living are telling you the same thing.

Again, I don’t give a single **** if this doesn’t work out. I’m tired of watching Mahomes play down to his potential because his LT stinks. This guy is our best shot to fix that for the rest of his career.

If you’re different and think 32 just had to be a Pro Bowler lock, which doesn’t exist and certainly didn’t with this board, that’s your prerogative.

"I have eyes"

{immediately appeals to authority}

Okay.

Rausch 04-25-2025 12:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wazu (Post 18043356)
Gotcha. Yeah, if this were an ACL or something where we just knew we wouldn't have him year 1 this pick would already be in "home run" category for me. Basically my Chiefs draft dream come true.

Exactly. ACL tears are almost common at this point when they ended you in the 90's.

There hasn't been dramatic progress in this injury. It's still rare and not many good outcomes.
And I'm not against risk. If you'd told me before this draft that Veach was trading up into the top 10 to grab his LTOTF I'd say "He knows what he's doing. Take your shot."

That isn't what we did. We took a big gamble because we didn't want to trade up. We hoped to get lucky like we hoped to get lucky with Kingsly and all our other long shot LT picks.

Rausch 04-25-2025 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18043368)
"I have eyes"

{immediately appeals to authority}

Okay.

I literally am the authority you trust.

I am evidence of why you shouldn't trust it.

O.city 04-25-2025 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RealSNR (Post 18043355)
"First round picks have to start year one!" has always been a crock of shit to me. But that's just me.

It’s burning a year of cheap labor.

Now you’re in year 2 and the guy is getting his feet wet.

But it’s a potential LT….i get it. Hell I’m actually fine with it if he has to sit.

I don’t even really hate the pick. They need a LT of the future so it makes sense.

Hopefully we can eventually build a good enough OL for the qb to avoid the fetal position

DJ's left nut 04-25-2025 12:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 18043369)
Exactly. ACL tears are almost common at this point when they ended you in the 90's.

There hasn't been dramatic progress in this injury. It's still rare and not many good outcomes.
And I'm not against risk. If you'd told me before this draft that Veach was trading up into the top 10 to grab his LTOTF I'd say "He knows what he's doing. Take your shot."

That isn't what we did. We took a big gamble because we didn't want to trade up. We hoped to get lucky like we hoped to get lucky with Kingsly and all our other long shot LT picks.

The draft barely prices ACL injuries into blue chip talents anymore.

31 other teams very clearly did here.

So either Simmons isn't a blue chip talent or this AINT an injury to be hand-waived.

Nirvana58 04-25-2025 12:02 PM

Will just throw this out there.

Roaf was ****ing amazing for us and dude could barely walk.

Rub some dirt on that knee and get out there and protect the GOAT.

DJ's left nut 04-25-2025 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 18043371)
I literally am the authority you trust.

I am evidence of why you shouldn't trust it.

At least he followed it up with a straw man.

Just an aces effort there.

In58men 04-25-2025 12:04 PM

Preseason will show us a lot.

New World Order 04-25-2025 12:05 PM

We have two pretty good options at LT and they will battle it out at camp to see who will start.

I'm excited.

MahomesMagic 04-25-2025 12:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 18043331)
That's not entirely accurate. As I understood it he plays in an odd blocking scheme that doesn't directly translate to many NFL teams and he's going to need polish and technique.

The fact that he is a freak athlete and good mover is why he shouldn't have a steep learning curve.


Blocking scheme is irrelevant.

He is Pro Ready now.

This is not Kingsley.

-King- 04-25-2025 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wisconsin_Chief (Post 18043336)
Not even just that, but the complete and total lack of depth. You're one snap away from Morris being in again, which simply cannot happen. He's a backup RT at best, he can never see the left side again.

Now, you have true competition for Taylor when he knows his ass is going to be cut next year. He needs to put some better tape out there if he wants to land another deal. So, he either steps up or Moore takes his job. Either way, you now have three starting caliber tackles when you ended last season with barely even one in Taylor.

The more time that passes, it's obvious this was the one and only choice, and I bet the Chiefs are freaking thrilled. There will be plenty of RBs, DL and WRs who can contribute day one in rounds 2-3, the same cannot be said for OTs.

It wasn't just the right pick, it was the only pick.

So let's say he starts day 1 (doesn't seem likely given him being ready for TC isn't guaranteed)...why give $21mil guaranteed to a backup? Especially when the story on Moore is that while he was good at LT, he was very bad at RT? In this day one scenario, we have a $21mil backup tackle who can only play on one side. That's terrible value.

I don't see any way Moore doesn't start this season. Hopefully he plays great so we can either extend him and have Simmons play on the right side next year or trade him and we can slide Simmons in at LT. But unless he's just flat out terrible at camp, I don't see a guy that's still recovering from a major injury being able to beat him at camp.

pugsnotdrugs19 04-25-2025 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18043368)
"I have eyes"

{immediately appeals to authority}

Okay.

Can both not be true?

Why would I think he’s not the top notch talent everyone says he is? It’s right there to see.

Dancing bears are too rare to miss when they’re right in front of your face. To pretend Simmons isn’t that would be admitting I can’t evaluate talent, at all.

Chiefnj2 04-25-2025 12:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18043373)

So either Simmons isn't a blue chip talent or this AINT an injury to be hand-waived.

Isn’t this somewhat similar to Nolan Smith falling to the end of the first? Blue chip talent falling down the draft board because of injury? Maybe teams think Simmons will miss some time this year and didn’t draft him in large part for that reason.

Kiimo 04-25-2025 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nirvana58 (Post 18043375)
Will just throw this out there.

Roaf was ****ing amazing for us and dude could barely walk.

Rub some dirt on that knee and get out there and protect the GOAT.




Look, these arguments are dumb. Comparing injuries is dumb. Saying things in this thread like "well it worked out for Trey Smith" when he had blood clots is dumb.

Roaf "can hardly walk" okay? What's the point of saying that? Did he have a torn patellar? Because if not, it's completely useless and a waste of time to post it.



I don't like risk. If he rolls the dice and beats the 11% odds or whatever it's an unreal and complete FIX to our left tackle issue. But even if it works out it doesn't make the bet smart.



That said, I'm not really sure how ELSE we fix the position. You don't get this talent in free agency and you don't get it drafting at 32. It's a gamble that could fix the team for a decade. OR we just turned our first into a 5th.

11%?



https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/...bd_498x284.gif

MahomesMagic 04-25-2025 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefnj2 (Post 18043387)
Isn’t this somewhat similar to Nolan Smith falling to the end of the first? Blue chip talent falling down the draft board because of injury? Maybe teams think Simmons will miss some time this year and didn’t draft him in large part for that reason.



Jeffery Simmons is another example.

Fell due to two reasons. Recent injury and character.


I said before that draft Jeffery Simmons was a top 5 player, way better than Ed Oliver who went tenth to the Bills.


Titans scooped him up and he's been one of the best DT's in football every year.

duncan_idaho 04-25-2025 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wazu (Post 18043341)
One note on squatting 225 pounds. That's a lot of weight, even if it is only half of what he would be at full strength. Like that might be my max if I am at full strength and working out regularly. It doesn't seem impossible to me that they could evaluate how the tendon is doing under load with that weight on it.

It really is not, man. Not for an NFL offensive lineman, defensive lineman, lifebacker, or any NFL player, really. It might be a lot for really skinny WRs or CBs, but even then probably not.

I mean, I can squat 225 one-legged, and I'm a 42-year-old, non-professional athlete who is 6-1/225 pounds. I did six reps on each leg at the gym yesterday (it's hard because my 11" dong gets in the way, but for real, I can do this and it is not a great sign for an NFL dude).

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043339)
While we’re bitching about the possibility of Simmons merely being a depth piece at the second most important position on the roster his rookie year, what exactly did all the Luther Burden stans think his rookie year in KC would look like?

Cause I’ll spoil that one. Not a whole lot of action. Was never unseating the top three WRs as a rookie.

Great teams without holes don’t usually end up drafting day one starters.

The separation between Burden and Simmons for me is definitely not about year 1 contribution (though WR4 in the Chiefs' offense would get a lot of snaps, especially if Rice gets suspended/isn't ready at the start of the year, Brown gets hurt again, Worthy gets hurt).

It's about the risks involved. Burden has great physical traits and needs to be coached to be a little more efficient and refined in his routes, and give better effort. He is otherwise a clean bill of health.

Give me that over a dude with a knee that's a major, major risk and question mark, any day of the week.

If LT is the second-most important position in the NFL, most would argue that WR is the next-most-important on offense. It's certainly the next-most expensive to fill off of rookie contracts. Probably behind pass rusher in importance, but not by much.

DJ's left nut 04-25-2025 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefnj2 (Post 18043387)
Isn’t this somewhat similar to Nolan Smith falling to the end of the first? Blue chip talent falling down the draft board because of injury? Maybe teams think Simmons will miss some time this year and didn’t draft him in large part for that reason.

Nolan Smith fell due to scheme fit issues. Happens a lot to guys who don't appear to fit in both an odd and even front.

Wouldn't happen with an offensive tackle.

O.city 04-25-2025 12:17 PM

The top 3 WRs also has a guy that will be hurt at some point so there’s some layering needed there

DJ's left nut 04-25-2025 12:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 18043397)
The top 3 WRs also has a guy that will be hurt at some point so there’s some layering needed there

And another with a knee injury of his own AND a suspension looming.

pugsnotdrugs19 04-25-2025 12:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 18043397)
The top 3 WRs also has a guy that will be hurt at some point so there’s some layering needed there

I can win a Super Bowl with Rice, Worthy, and whoever else at WR3.

I can’t do that with Wanya Morris at LT.

BigRedChief 04-25-2025 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RealSNR (Post 18043355)
"First round picks have to start year one!" has always been a crock of shit to me. But that's just me.

Bigger crock of shit is....... "We have to play "X" player because we drafted him in the first couple of rounds". But, he sucks. We need to play him to get our money out of him. :banghead:

Rausch 04-25-2025 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MahomesMagic (Post 18043383)
Blocking scheme is irrelevant.

No, it's not. It's a huge part of the problems we're having now with Taylor. That gap between him and Smith makes Smith's job even more difficult.

Quote:

Originally Posted by MahomesMagic (Post 18043383)
He is Pro Ready now.

He isn't even training camp ready now.

RunKC 04-25-2025 12:20 PM

Still cracks me up that people really blame Nagy or even Andy’s playcalling or Mahomes himself for this.

It’s personnel. It’s always been the personnel. It was total shit.

Simmons being good fixes most of this shit. Praying to God we add a WR and RB today.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">All 18 plays where Raiders Had Pressure vs Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs<br><br>Charting:<br>Wanya Morris had 5 Quick Losses; 3 Late Losses for Pressures allowed<br>Jawaan Taylor had 1 Quick Loss (to Crosby); 5 Late Losses (4 to Maxx)<br>Blitz/Other OL had 6 pressures allowed (1 by LT Thuney) <a href="https://t.co/vj46XdZ6fN">pic.twitter.com/vj46XdZ6fN</a></p>&mdash; DMac Wake (@DMacWake316) <a href="https://twitter.com/DMacWake316/status/1862898327508972011?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 30, 2024</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

TwistedChief 04-25-2025 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kiimo (Post 18043388)


In fairness, you just made up these 11% odds.

DJ's left nut 04-25-2025 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043400)
I can win a Super Bowl with Rice, Worthy, and whoever else at WR3.

I can’t do that with Wanya Morris at LT.

And yet we managed with Donovan Smith and have no reason at all to believe we can't get at least that from Moore.

For $15 million/season, I sure as shit hope that's the expectation.

Rausch 04-25-2025 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TwistedChief (Post 18043404)
In fairness, you just made up these 11% odds.

In fairness the odds are much smaller than that. He's being generous.

DJ's left nut 04-25-2025 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TwistedChief (Post 18043404)
In fairness, you just made up these 11% odds.

True.

Based on available data, they aren't THAT good.

O.city 04-25-2025 12:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18043405)
And yet we managed with Donovan Smith and have no reason at all to believe we can't get at least that from Moore.

For $15 million/season, I sure as shit hope that's the expectation.

I’d be curious to see the 22/23/24 splits in regards to the LT spot.

Apparently the 24 Lt spot was so much worse than the other 2 years it debilitated our qbs ability

JohnnyV13 04-25-2025 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 18043391)
It really is not, man. Not for an NFL offensive lineman, defensive lineman, lifebacker, or any NFL player, really. It might be a lot for really skinny WRs or CBs, but even then probably not.

I mean, I can squat 225 one-legged, and I'm a 42-year-old, non-professional athlete who is 6-1/225 pounds. I did six reps on each leg at the gym yesterday (it's hard because my 11" dong gets in the way, but for real, I can do this and it is not a great sign for an NFL dude).



The separation between Burden and Simmons for me is definitely not about year 1 contribution (though WR4 in the Chiefs' offense would get a lot of snaps, especially if Rice gets suspended/isn't ready at the start of the year, Brown gets hurt again, Worthy gets hurt).

It's about the risks involved. Burden has great physical traits and needs to be coached to be a little more efficient and refined in his routes, and give better effort. He is otherwise a clean bill of health.

Give me that over a dude with a knee that's a major, major risk and question mark, any day of the week.
Ok
If LT is the second-most important position in the NFL, most would argue that WR is the next-most-important on offense. It's certainly the next-most expensive to fill off of rookie contracts. Probably behind pass rusher in importance, but not by much.

Wow Duncan,

I'm impressed you're straight up about having a mere 11 inch dong. Dont let anyone make you feel inadequate here. I mean, you stil!.have a tongue, right? Keep.practicing on those inflatable.dolls!!!!

RealSNR 04-25-2025 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18043407)
True.

Based on available data, they aren't THAT good.

Would you say they're better than 3627:1?

TwistedChief 04-25-2025 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 18043406)
In fairness the odds are much smaller than that. He's being generous.

You have no idea. That study is not giving you the probability that someone comes back from injury.

It's taking an extremely small number of cases for offensive linemen with PT injuries and giving you the data around it.

It's not remotely of statistical significance and controls for nothing.

Hence, 11% is a made-up number. What we can say is that historically this injury has been particularly hard on OL and it's been very rare to return to the prior standard of play.

kcfan75 04-25-2025 12:26 PM

Didn't the article say he was "cleared" to squat 225 lbs, not that his current max is 225 lbs. His good leg is probably stronger than three cp'er combined.

Rain Man 04-25-2025 12:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 18043358)
And you don't collide all day with men as big or bigger than you at NFL speeds.

Do we know that for sure?

BossChief 04-25-2025 12:27 PM

If Brett, Rick annd the 2 Andy’s anre on board and are correct by Simmons returning (mostly) to form, this was one of the best picks in Chiefs franchise history and will completely unlock the offense.

If Simmons was fully healthy, we would have needed to trade our whole draft to go get him. So, if he returns to form Rick deserves a huge raise due to the draft and cap value he added with his work with Josh.

I don’t see the other picks available having nearly that kind of impact.

I’m a gambler, so I love the pick.

Now, let’s go make some moves to get some impact players at DL, CB and RB so we can get back to the dance and add more jewelry/trophies.

Rausch 04-25-2025 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rain Man (Post 18043418)
Do we know that for sure?

I wouldn't bet our 1st round pick on it, if that's what you're asking.

duncan_idaho 04-25-2025 12:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kcfan75 (Post 18043416)
Didn't the article say he was "cleared" to squat 225 lbs, not that his current max is 225 lbs. His good leg is probably stronger than three cp'er combined.

The tweet I saw referenced that he was "Already squatting 225 pounds"

BossChief 04-25-2025 12:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18043405)
And yet we managed with Donovan Smith and have no reason at all to believe we can't get at least that from Moore.

For $15 million/season, I sure as shit hope that's the expectation.

That should never preclude us from trying to add a guy with LEGIT Silverback upside AT THE SECOND MOST IMPORTANT POSITION IN THE SPORT. And a position that has derailed every game we’ve lost the last few years.

Simmons works out, MVPat is back with massive passing seasons and an electric offense that is BETTER than the Tyreek/Sammy/Kelce window.

pugsnotdrugs19 04-25-2025 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 18043408)
I’d be curious to see the 22/23/24 splits in regards to the LT spot.

Apparently the 24 Lt spot was so much worse than the other 2 years it debilitated our qbs ability

‘23 offense was down because of Tackle play a lot more than people ever gave credit for. Everyone made it about WRs — but it wasn’t just that.

duncan_idaho 04-25-2025 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnnyV13 (Post 18043410)
Wow Duncan,

I'm impressed you're straight up about having a mere 11 inch dong. Dont let anyone make you feel inadequate here. I mean, you stil!.have a tongue, right? Keep.practicing on those inflatable.dolls!!!!

Call me B Rabbit.

Quote:

This guy ain't no mother****ing MC, I know everything he's got to say against me.

Rausch 04-25-2025 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 18043427)
‘23 offense was down because of Tackle play a lot more than people ever gave credit for. Everyone made it about WRs — but it wasn’t just that.

You can't fix the tackle position if you can't play.

We aren't arguing there isn't a problem - we're arguing this is an even riskier solution than picking Kingsly because our pick may be out of the NFL in 3 years.

kcfan75 04-25-2025 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 18043421)
The tweet I saw referenced that he was "Already squatting 225 pounds"

Ok, you posted this earlier today so I was confused:

"Like I said earlier, if all he has been cleared to do, really, is squat up to 225 pounds, you're not measuring yet if the leg has returned to the full strength and form that it had before the injury. You can't be.
"

He repped 225 thirty-four times in the bench, I have a good feeling he'll get his leg strength back soon.

Marcellus 04-25-2025 12:36 PM

I find it interesting that nobody in sports media is making the arguments a good portion of CP is. The pick is being overwhelmingly approved of by sports media.

Granted I generally despise most sports media so I’m at a crossroads here.

kcfan75 04-25-2025 12:36 PM

He could do a handstand and play left tackle, and play better then our tackles did in the SB.

BossChief 04-25-2025 12:37 PM

This pick absolutely Carrie’s a ton of risk. He could go down this season and not return for a year, two or never.

Good thing these fools hedged their bet before making it.

Rausch 04-25-2025 12:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Marcellus (Post 18043433)
I find it interesting that nobody in sports media is making the arguments a good portion of CP is.

Granted I generally despise most sports media so I’m at a crossroads here.

The entire NFL, other than KC, made the point he wasn't worth taking in the 1st.

We're the outliers here. KC is hoping he beats incredibly long odds.

Rausch 04-25-2025 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BossChief (Post 18043437)
This pick absolutely Carrie’s a ton of risk. He could go down this season and not return for a year, two or never.

Good thing these fools hedged their bet before making it.

Did we?

If we'd have overpayed for the Raven's tackle or traded for Tunsil I'd care less because there'd be a dependable fall back plan. I don't feel like a career back up is a dependable fall back plan.

BossChief 04-25-2025 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 18043421)
The tweet I saw referenced that he was "Already squatting 225 pounds"

To strengthen the ligament, this point of the rehab probably calls for lower weight and higher reps. To lower risk of re-injury and strengthening the affected area.

Educated guess, but highly likely.

Nirvana58 04-25-2025 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kiimo (Post 18043388)
Look, these arguments are dumb. Comparing injuries is dumb. Saying things in this thread like "well it worked out for Trey Smith" when he had blood clots is dumb.

Roaf "can hardly walk" okay? What's the point of saying that? Did he have a torn patellar? Because if not, it's completely useless and a waste of time to post it.



I don't like risk. If he rolls the dice and beats the 11% odds or whatever it's an unreal and complete FIX to our left tackle issue. But even if it works out it doesn't make the bet smart.



That said, I'm not really sure how ELSE we fix the position. You don't get this talent in free agency and you don't get it drafting at 32. It's a gamble that could fix the team for a decade. OR we just turned our first into a 5th.

11%?



https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/...bd_498x284.gif

My post was more tongue in cheek if you couldn't tell.

If the medical checks out. Then we got a blue chip talent at 32.

At the end of the day. Can he protect Mahomes? If we get average to above average LT for 4-5 years. They knocked this pick off out of the park.

chiefzilla1501 04-25-2025 12:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 18043247)
I think a sizeable number of us are looking at Taylor going as a good thing.

I don’t love or hate Taylor. But yeah if you can replace him with someone better, it’s a large expense we don’t have to pay. We will need him no matter what this year but next year is a perfect time to start reconsidering.

smithandrew051 04-25-2025 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 18043440)
Did we?

If we'd have overpayed for the Raven's tackle or traded for Tunsil I'd care less because there'd be a dependable fall back plan. I don't feel like a career back up is a dependable fall back plan.

Ronnie Stanley never hit free agency and I doubt the Texans would’ve ever considered a trade with the Chiefs unless they gel the Chiefs were getting completely ripped off.

Considering the available options, Moore was about the best they could’ve done.

BossChief 04-25-2025 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 18043440)
Did we?

If we'd have overpayed for the Raven's tackle or traded for Tunsil I'd care less because there'd be a dependable fall back plan. I don't feel like a career back up is a dependable fall back plan.

Moore looked pretty good last year. He was solid while Silverback was out.

Sucks for Moore that he will likely lose the competition to Simmons, who is EXTREMELY SMILAR to Silverback. Very similar technique, functional strength, mobility and mentality.

Marcellus 04-25-2025 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 18043438)
The entire NFL, other than KC, made the point he wasn't worth taking in the 1st.

We're the outliers here. KC is hoping he beats incredibly long odds.

The entire NFL didn’t need a starting LT. nor were they picking 32.

So if he was taken 5 picks later you would have been fine?

kcfan75 04-25-2025 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Marcellus (Post 18043448)
The entire NFL didn’t need a starting LT.

Or had a higher pick and got one.

We took the best available LT at the spot we were in.

DJ's left nut 04-25-2025 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Marcellus (Post 18043448)
The entire NFL didn’t need a starting LT.

Nor did we, based on the investment we made in Moore.

And every team in the NFL could use a pro bowl caliber OT with experience on both sides of the line who presents a long-term solution to a difficult position to fill.

Lack of 'need' doesn't explain the slide. Scheme fit, or lack thereof, doesn't explain it.

It's talent, injury or a combination of both.

So either we put more stock in the talent than most or less stock in the injury.

We ARE the outliers.

Rausch 04-25-2025 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chiefzilla1501 (Post 18043443)
I don’t love or hate Taylor. But yeah if you can replace him with someone better, it’s a large expense we don’t have to pay. We will need him no matter what this year but next year is a perfect time to start reconsidering.

Apparently Veach made it clear he's not getting extended and is gone after this year. I don't have a quote but I've heard two different people say this. I'll assume it's true and he addressed it somewhere.

I think we've got options. One failed LT should be a fine guard and the other played well in spot duty at RT last year. Even if LT works out great this year we're back in the market next year at RT if the young talent we have doesn't improve enough to play passable football.

MahomesMagic 04-25-2025 12:49 PM

I mentioned before the draft that our stars were aging out.

Chris Jones and Travis Kelce are not going to be on the team in 3 years or if Jones is still around he won't be the Chris Jones that won 3 SB's.


We need to add elite talent as well as hit on picks.

If we landed a Pro Bowl Tackle at 32 that's a home run value with cost control that helps us win 2-3 more SB's.

Marcellus 04-25-2025 12:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 18043455)
Nor did we, based on the investment we made in Moore.

And every team in the NFL could use a pro bowl caliber OT with experience on both sides of the line who presents a long-term solution to a difficult position to fill.

Lack of 'need' doesn't explain the slide. Scheme fit, or lack thereof, doesn't explain it.

It's talent, injury or a combination of both.

So either we put more stock in the talent than most or less stock in the injury.

We ARE the outliers.

We signed a guy with 7 career starts at LT and that’s enough to put it in the books eh?

Seems to me Veach wants to make sure what happened the last 2 years doesn’t happen again.

Too many eggs in 1 basket has backfired.

DynastyChiefs 04-25-2025 12:49 PM

If anyone does not like the Simmons pick, you can always leave and root for another team

seamonster 04-25-2025 12:49 PM

I'm satisfied. Beyond tanking you either take a flyer out on a project -- like last year's disaster -- or you draft an LT with red-flags.

GordonGekko 04-25-2025 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kcfan75 (Post 18043449)
Or had a higher pick and got one.

We took the best available LT at the spot we were in.

Picking Simmons at pick #31 would have been a B graded pick, add that we got back the 5th rounder and that vaults the pick to an A, not sure why people are upset. A lot of these first rounders last night are not going to work out, there is a gamble with all of them

Rausch 04-25-2025 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Marcellus (Post 18043448)

So if he was taken 5 picks later you would have been fine?

Yes. That's my whole point.

If we'd have drafted Player X at 31 and then traded a 2nd and 4th to move up in round 2 for this risk I'd have liked the pick a helluva' lot more.

Just like I'd have agreed with drafting a guy in round 3 over round 1. The risk of giving up a 1st round pick is greater than a 4th round pick. You get that, right?

DJ's left nut 04-25-2025 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Marcellus (Post 18043458)
We signed a guy with 7 career starts at LT and that’s a bough to put it in the books eh?

Seems to me Veach wants to make sure what happened the last 2 years doesn’t happen again.

Too many eggs in 1 basket has backfired.

If you commit $15-$30 million to a player, that's more than a flyer.

And if you draft a player with a ruptured patella and no NFL experience to be your starting left tackle 10 months removed from his injury, that's more than insane.

I haven't viewed this through the lens of acquiring a 2025 starting LT at all. I hope to God the Chiefs haven't either.

FloridaMan88 04-25-2025 12:52 PM

The narrative that the Chiefs forced the Simmons pick and overlooked his medicals seems to contradicted by the evaluation timeline that Veach described yesterday.

The Chiefs started to do a deep dive into his medical history at the Combine, with considerable follow up by Burkholder after that.

That all started taking place before the start of free agency, so the Chiefs still had another option (free agency/trade) to address LT, if they saw that Simmons’ medicals were too much of a red flag.

This is a calculated risk, but not desperation.


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