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-   -   Chiefs An analysis of franchise momentum: The Chiefs' Dow Jones Average. (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=216061)

Rain Man 02-13-2023 03:34 PM

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Time for an update.

I also discovered and fixed a scoring error in last year's index where I had underweighted the monumental importance of playoff games. That is now fixed.

As background, the best time to be a Chiefs fan before the Andy Reid era was 1969, when Hank Stram ruled the sidelines. The score after Super Bowl IV was 33.4825.

The low point of the franchise was the end of the 2012 season when Andy was brought aboard, at a score of -27.7736.

Talk about a turnround.

The 2020 division win over the Browns brought the score to 35.4573, topping the Stram era.

The 2021 division win over the Bills pushed us over 40 points for the first time, at 42.2041.

The Week 17 win over the Broncos pushed us to a new all-time high at 42.3905.

And then we didn't lose again. Today I am delighted to announce that the Franchise Momentum Index has surpassed 50 points for the first time ever. As of today, our score is 51.5711, making today the best time in history to be a Chiefs fan. I bet you wouldn't have guessed that.

Graystoke 02-13-2023 03:55 PM

The graph from 2019 to present is a good representation of what is happening in my pants right now.

Rain Man 07-21-2024 07:35 PM

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It's kind of obvious at this point, but I updated our franchise momentum graph, and this is the best time to be a Chiefs fan by about a million miles. Our franchise momentum is almost double what it was at the peak of the Stram years.

The other interesting point is that you'll see that we dipped pretty badly in the back half of the regular season. Our franchise momentum had hit an all-time high-water mark against the Chargers in Week 7 as we brought our record to 6-1. We then played .500 ball for the rest of the regular season before carving a path of wanton destruction through the postseason. Four straight postseason wins and another Super Bowl championship spiked us up to a new all-time high, which is where we sit today.

trndobrd 07-21-2024 08:57 PM

What is the statistical correlation between the Dow Jones and Chris Jones?

IA_Chiefs_fan 07-21-2024 09:15 PM

I somehow missed this until now. It's so freaking great. Thank you.

cmh6476 07-21-2024 10:26 PM

We need a bar aligning the HC with the ebbs and flows

RedinTexas 07-22-2024 06:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rain Man (Post 6164352)
Here's how it works. Starting with Day 1 of the franchise, I looked at every regular and post-season game in our history. Each week I did the following:

A win is worth 1 point and a loss is worth -1 point.
I then add it to 99 percent of the score of the previous week.

...

I made a couple of adjustments, too. I made a playoff game worth 3 points for a win and -3 for a loss, and I also added or subtracted 1 point at the end of each regular season depending on whether or not we made the playoffs. These points get tossed in with the rest of the scores.

I hadn't seen this before either. I really like it.

You know what you're doing here better than I do, but I have a suggestion for a change.

First, playoff wins are a big deal, but playoff losses are still in the playoffs. Maybe a playoff loss shouldn't count as much against the franchise as a playoff win counts for the franchise.

Second, not all playoff games are equal. A wildcard win is not anywhere nearly as significant as a Super Bowl win. Maybe there should be a sliding scale of points in the playoffs.

Again, you're the one on top of this and I'm not saying you definitely should change it. I'm just throwing it out there.

ThaVirus 07-22-2024 06:30 AM

So glad I bought back in the 90s and diamond handsed this bitch up until now

Megatron96 07-22-2024 11:26 AM

Forgot all about his. Love this thread. Wonder how high the index will go if we win it all this year? Should put up a poll or place some bets on it for fun.

ChiefsFan63 07-22-2024 02:11 PM

This is amazing work. My first time seeing it. Thank you!


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